
Simply Good Foods delivered a Q4 marked by steady sales and a notable beat on profitability, as reflected by the positive market reaction following earnings. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to robust consumption growth in the Quest and OWYN brands, which together accounted for the majority of net sales. CEO Geoff Tanner pointed to “double-digit growth from Quest and OWYN” and highlighted the company’s ongoing execution of productivity initiatives to offset rising input costs and tariffs. Although declines in the Atkins brand tempered overall results, strong innovation and distribution gains supported the company’s showing.
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Simply Good Foods (SMPL) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $340.2 million vs analyst estimates of $336.1 million (flat year on year, 1.2% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.39 vs analyst estimates of $0.36 (8.2% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $55.62 million vs analyst estimates of $55.72 million (16.4% margin, in line)
- Operating Margin: 11%, down from 16% in the same quarter last year
- Market Capitalization: $1.94 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Simply Good Foods’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Peter Grom (UBS) questioned the basis for management’s confidence in a second-half inflection. CEO Geoff Tanner cited “line of sight to new distribution, innovation launches, and merchandising gains,” but acknowledged that elasticity effects and headwinds remain in the short term.
- Brian Holland (D.A. Davidson) asked about strategies to revive growth in the legacy Quest Bars business. Tanner called flat performance “unacceptable” and outlined a multipronged plan including platform innovation, enhanced merchandising, and greater marketing investment.
- Megan Clapp (Morgan Stanley) probed lingering OWYN inventory and margin trajectory. CFO Chris Bealer responded that “shipment to consumption” alignment should improve in Q2 and noted mid-36% gross margins as a likely exit point for 2025.
- Alexia Howard (Bernstein) inquired about long-term margin expansion and the impact of cost synergies from OWYN. Bealer highlighted pricing and productivity as primary drivers and described the mix shift away from Atkins as structurally beneficial.
- Matt Smith (Stifel) asked about timing of tariff relief and capital allocation. Bealer said tariff benefits would phase in during the second half, while Tanner reiterated a flexible approach to M&A and an opportunistic share buyback strategy.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will look for (1) evidence of improved momentum in Quest Bars and further gains in salty snack distribution, (2) stabilization of Atkins consumption and signs of success in brand modernization efforts, and (3) margin recovery as lower cocoa costs and tariff relief begin to flow through. The impact of new product launches and the pace of household penetration growth in OWYN will also be closely watched.
Simply Good Foods currently trades at $20.99, up from $19.37 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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