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ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. TABLE OF CONTENTS
ITEM 8. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
ITEM 15. EXHIBITS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2010 |
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OR |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the transition period from to |
Commission File No. 0-26456
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Bermuda (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) |
Not applicable (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) |
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Wessex House, 45 Reid Street |
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Hamilton HM 12, Bermuda | (441) 278-9250 | |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:
Title of each class | Name of each exchange on which registered | |
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Common Shares, $0.01 par value per share | NASDAQ Stock Market (Common Shares) | |
8.000% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares, Series A, $0.01 par value per share 7.875% Non-Cumulative Preferred Shares, Series B, $0.01 par value per share |
New York Stock Exchange |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act: None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes ý No o
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act. Yes o No ý
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Exchange Act during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ý No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files). Yes ý No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of "large accelerated filer," "accelerated filer" and "smaller reporting company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated Filer ý | Accelerated Filer o | Non-accelerated Filer o (Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
Smaller reporting company o |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o No ý
The aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates, computed by reference to the closing price as reported by the NASDAQ Stock Market as of the last business day of the Registrant's most recently completed second fiscal quarter, was approximately $3.36 billion.
As of February 24, 2011, there were 44,940,218 of the registrant's common shares outstanding.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of Part III and Part IV incorporate by reference our definitive proxy statement for the 2011 annual meeting of shareholders to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission pursuant to Regulation 14A before April 30, 2011.
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PLSRA") provides a "safe harbor" for forward-looking statements. This report or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of us may include forward-looking statements, which reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by reference in this report are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, for purposes of the PLSRA or otherwise, can generally be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may," "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "anticipate," "believe" or "continue" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature or their negative or variations or similar terminology.
Forward-looking statements involve our current assessment of risks and uncertainties. Actual events and results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements are discussed below, elsewhere in this report and in our periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), and include:
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All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with other cautionary statements that are included herein or elsewhere. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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PART I
As used in this report, references to "we," "us," "our" or the "Company" refer to the consolidated operations of Arch Capital Group Ltd. ("ACGL") and its subsidiaries. Tabular amounts are in U.S. Dollars in thousands, except share amounts, unless otherwise noted. We refer you to Item 1A "Risk Factors" for a discussion of risk factors relating to our business.
General
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda public limited liability company with approximately $4.91 billion in capital at December 31, 2010 and, through operations in Bermuda, the United States, Europe and Canada, writes insurance and reinsurance on a worldwide basis. While we are positioned to provide a full range of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance lines, we focus on writing specialty lines of insurance and reinsurance. For 2010, we wrote $2.51 billion of net premiums and reported net income available to common shareholders of $816.7 million. Diluted book value per share was $89.98 at December 31, 2010, compared to $73.01 per share at December 31, 2009.
ACGL's registered office is located at Clarendon House, 2 Church Street, Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda (telephone number: (441) 295-1422), and its principal executive offices are located at Wessex House, 45 Reid Street, Hamilton HM 12, Bermuda (telephone number: (441) 278-9250). ACGL makes available free of charge through its website, located at http://www.archcapgroup.bm, its annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and all amendments to those reports as soon as reasonably practicable after such material is electronically filed with, or furnished to, the SEC. The public may read and copy any materials ACGL files with the SEC at the SEC's Public Reference Room at 100 F Street, NE, Washington, D.C. 20549. The public may obtain information on the operation of the Public Reference Room by calling 1-800-SEC-0330. The SEC also maintains an Internet site that contains reports, proxy and information statements, and other information regarding issuers that file electronically with the SEC (such as ACGL) and the address of that site is http://www.sec.gov.
Our History
Our current operations were built on an existing underwriting platform through an underwriting initiative in October 2001 to meet current and future demand in the global insurance and reinsurance markets. Since that time, we have attracted a proven management team with extensive industry experience and enhanced our existing global underwriting platform for our insurance and reinsurance businesses. It is our belief that our underwriting platform, our experienced management team and our strong capital base that is unencumbered by significant pre-2002 risks have enabled us to establish a strong presence in the insurance and reinsurance markets.
Prior to the 2001 underwriting initiative, our insurance underwriting platform consisted of Arch Insurance (Bermuda), a division of Arch Reinsurance Ltd. ("Arch Re Bermuda"), our Bermuda-based reinsurer and insurer, and our U.S.-licensed insurers, Arch Insurance Company ("Arch Insurance"), Arch Excess & Surplus Insurance Company ("Arch E&S") and Arch Specialty Insurance Company ("Arch Specialty"). We established Arch Insurance Company (Europe) Limited ("Arch Insurance Company Europe"), our United Kingdom-based subsidiary, in 2004 and we expanded our North American presence when Arch Insurance opened a branch office in Canada in 2005. In 2009, we established a managing agent and syndicate at Lloyd's of London ("Lloyd's"). Our Lloyd's syndicate 2012 ("Arch Syndicate 2012") commenced underwriting in 2009. See "OperationsInsurance Operations" for further details on our insurance operations.
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Prior to the 2001 underwriting initiative, our reinsurance underwriting platform consisted of Arch Re Bermuda and Arch Reinsurance Company ("Arch Re U.S."), our U.S.-licensed reinsurer. Our reinsurance operations in Europe began in November 2006 with the formation of a Swiss branch of Arch Re Bermuda, and the formation of a Danish underwriting agency in 2007. In addition to the U.S. reinsurance activities of Arch Re U.S., we launched our property facultative reinsurance underwriting operations in 2007, which underwrite in the U.S. and Canada and, commencing in 2011, throughout Europe. In addition, we formed Arch Reinsurance Europe Underwriting Limited ("Arch Re Europe"), our Ireland-based reinsurance company, in 2008. See "OperationsReinsurance Operations" for further details on our reinsurance operations.
In January 2008, Arch Re Bermuda and Gulf Investment Corporation GSC ("GIC") entered into a joint venture agreement for the purpose of forming a reinsurance company in the Dubai International Financial Centre. GIC is owned equally by the six member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council ("GCC"), which include Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. In May 2008, we provided $100.0 million of funding to Gulf Reinsurance Limited ("Gulf Re"), a newly formed reinsurer based in the Dubai International Financial Centre, pursuant to the joint venture agreement with GIC. Gulf Re provides property and casualty reinsurance primarily in the member states of the GCC.
The growth of our insurance and reinsurance platforms was supported through the net proceeds of: (1) an equity capital infusion of $763 million led by funds affiliated with Warburg Pincus LLC ("Warburg Pincus funds") and Hellman & Friedman LLC ("Hellman & Friedman funds") in late 2001; (2) a public offering of 7.5 million of our common shares with net proceeds of $179 million in April 2002; (3) the exercise of class A warrants by our principal shareholders and other investors in September 2002, which provided net proceeds of $74 million; (4) a March 2004 public offering of 4.7 million of our common shares with net proceeds of $179 million; (5) a May 2004 public offering of $300 million principal amount of our 7.35% senior notes due May 2034; (6) a February 2006 public offering of $200 million of our 8.00% series A non-cumulative preferred shares with a liquidation preference of $25.00 per share; and (7) a May 2006 public offering $125 million of our 7.875% series B non-cumulative preferred shares with a liquidation preference of $25.00 per share.
In February 2011, the board of directors of ACGL authorized the investment of up to an additional $1.0 billion in ACGL's common shares through its share repurchase program. Repurchases under the share repurchase program may be effected from time to time in open market or privately negotiated transactions through December 31, 2012. Since the inception of the share repurchase program in February 2007 through February 24, 2011, ACGL has repurchased approximately 33.4 million common shares for an aggregate purchase price of $2.42 billion. At February 24, 2011, the total remaining authorization under the share repurchase program was $1.08 billion.
Operations
We classify our businesses into two underwriting segments, insurance and reinsurance. For an analysis of our underwriting results by segment, see note 3, "Segment Information," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsResults of Operations."
Our Insurance Operations
Our insurance operations are conducted in Bermuda, the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia and South Africa. Our insurance operations in Bermuda are conducted through Arch Insurance (Bermuda), a division of Arch Re Bermuda. In the U.S., our insurance group's principal insurance subsidiaries are Arch Insurance, Arch Specialty, Arch E&S and Arch Indemnity Insurance Company ("Arch Indemnity"). Arch Insurance is an admitted insurer in 50 states, the District of Columbia,
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Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands and Guam with a branch office in Canada. Arch Specialty is an approved excess and surplus lines insurer in 49 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands and an admitted insurer in one state. Arch E&S, which is not currently writing business, is an approved excess and surplus lines insurer in 47 states and the District of Columbia and an admitted insurer in one state. Arch Indemnity, which is not currently writing business, is an admitted insurer in 49 states and the District of Columbia. The headquarters for our insurance group's U.S. support operations (excluding underwriting units) is in Jersey City, New Jersey. The insurance group has additional offices throughout the U.S., including four regional offices located in: Alpharetta, Georgia; Chicago, Illinois; New York, New York; and San Francisco, California. The headquarters for Arch Insurance's branch office in Canada is in Toronto, Ontario.
Our insurance group's European operations are conducted on two platforms: Arch Insurance Company Europe and Arch Syndicate 2012 (the U.K. insurance operations are collectively referred to as "Arch Insurance Europe"). Arch Insurance Europe conducts is operations from London. Arch Insurance Company Europe is approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer in 17 states and the District of Columbia and also has branches in Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Spain and Sweden. Arch Underwriting at Lloyd's Ltd ("AUAL") is the managing agent of Arch Syndicate 2012 and is responsible for the daily management of Arch Syndicate 2012. Arch Syndicate 2012 has enhanced our underwriting platform by providing us with access to Lloyd's extensive distribution network and worldwide licenses. Arch Underwriting at Lloyd's (Australia) Pty Ltd ("AUAL Australia"), based in Sydney, Australia, and Arch Underwriting at Lloyd's (South Africa) (Pty) Limited ("AUAL South Africa"), based in Johannesburg, South Africa, were each formed in 2009 as services companies to underwrite on behalf of Arch Syndicate 2012.
As of February 15, 2011, our insurance group had approximately 1,100 employees.
Strategy. Our insurance group's strategy is to operate in lines of business in which underwriting expertise can make a meaningful difference in operating results. The insurance group focuses on talent-intensive rather than labor-intensive business and seeks to operate profitably (on both a gross and net basis) across all of its product lines. To achieve these objectives, our insurance group's operating principles are to:
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standards across all types of business. Our insurance group's senior management closely monitors the underwriting process.
Our insurance group writes business on both an admitted and non-admitted basis. Our insurance group focuses on the following areas:
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clients primarily in the energy industry. The property unit also provides contractors all risk, erection all risk, aviation (which is currently in runoff) and stand alone terrorism insurance coverage for commercial clients.
Underwriting Philosophy. Our insurance group's underwriting philosophy is to generate an underwriting profit (on both a gross and net basis) through prudent risk selection and proper pricing across all types of business. One key to this philosophy is the adherence to uniform underwriting standards across each product line that focuses on the following:
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Premiums Written and Geographic Distribution. Set forth below is summary information regarding net premiums written for our insurance group:
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Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||
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2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
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Amount | % of Total |
Amount | % of Total |
Amount | % of Total |
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INSURANCE SEGMENT |
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Net premiums written |
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Property, energy, marine and aviation |
$ | 321,529 | 19.4 | $ | 353,761 | 20.8 | $ | 334,635 | 20.2 | ||||||||||
Programs |
273,076 | 16.5 | 274,735 | 16.1 | 270,449 | 16.3 | |||||||||||||
Professional liability |
240,345 | 14.5 | 235,892 | 13.8 | 246,891 | 14.9 | |||||||||||||
Executive assurance |
224,497 | 13.5 | 220,088 | 12.9 | 193,602 | 11.7 | |||||||||||||
Construction |
135,619 | 8.2 | 154,087 | 9.0 | 165,490 | 10.0 | |||||||||||||
Casualty |
107,962 | 6.5 | 103,546 | 6.1 | 116,096 | 7.0 | |||||||||||||
Travel and accident |
71,237 | 4.3 | 68,617 | 4.0 | 61,986 | 3.7 | |||||||||||||
National accounts casualty |
67,925 | 4.1 | 79,088 | 4.6 | 47,936 | 2.9 | |||||||||||||
Healthcare |
37,508 | 2.3 | 42,350 | 2.5 | 44,596 | 2.7 | |||||||||||||
Surety |
34,149 | 2.1 | 43,353 | 2.5 | 50,376 | 3.0 | |||||||||||||
Other(1) |
145,116 | 8.6 | 128,767 | 7.7 | 125,546 | 7.6 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,658,963 | 100.0 | $ | 1,704,284 | 100.0 | $ | 1,657,603 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Net premiums written by client location |
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United States |
$ | 1,183,238 | 71.3 | $ | 1,268,347 | 74.4 | $ | 1,242,906 | 75.0 | ||||||||||
Europe |
272,348 | 16.4 | 267,093 | 15.7 | 244,849 | 14.8 | |||||||||||||
Other |
203,377 | 12.3 | 168,844 | 9.9 | 169,848 | 10.2 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,658,963 | 100.0 | $ | 1,704,284 | 100.0 | $ | 1,657,603 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Net premiums written by underwriting location |
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United States |
$ | 1,133,173 | 68.3 | $ | 1,243,063 | 72.9 | $ | 1,236,712 | 74.6 | ||||||||||
Europe |
436,483 | 26.3 | 384,363 | 22.6 | 342,021 | 20.6 | |||||||||||||
Other |
89,307 | 5.4 | 76,858 | 4.5 | 78,870 | 4.8 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 1,658,963 | 100.0 | $ | 1,704,284 | 100.0 | $ | 1,657,603 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Marketing. Our insurance group's products are marketed principally through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. Clients (insureds) are referred to our insurance group through a large number of international, national and regional brokers and captive managers who receive from the insured or insurer a set fee or brokerage commission usually equal to a percentage of gross premiums. In the past, our insurance group also entered into contingent commission arrangements with some brokers that provide for the payment of additional commissions based on volume or profitability of business. Currently, some of our contracts with brokers provide for additional commissions based on volume. We have also entered into service agreements with select international brokers that provide access to their proprietary industry analytics. In general, our insurance group has no implied or explicit commitments to accept business from any particular broker and, neither brokers nor any other third parties have the authority to bind our insurance group, except in the case where underwriting authority may be delegated contractually to select program administrators. Such administrators are subject to a due diligence financial and operational review prior to any such delegation of authority and ongoing reviews and audits are carried out as deemed necessary by our
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insurance group to assure the continuing integrity of underwriting and related business operations. See "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Our CompanyWe could be materially adversely affected to the extent that managing general agents, general agents and other producers in our program business exceed their underwriting authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us." For information on major brokers, see note 13, "Commitments and ContingenciesConcentrations of Credit Risk," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
Risk Management and Reinsurance. In the normal course of business, our insurance group may cede a portion of its premium on a quota share or excess of loss basis through treaty or facultative reinsurance agreements. Reinsurance arrangements do not relieve our insurance group from its primary obligations to insureds. Reinsurance recoverables are recorded as assets, predicated on the reinsurers' ability to meet their obligations under the reinsurance agreements. If the reinsurers are unable to satisfy their obligations under the agreements, our insurance subsidiaries would be liable for such defaulted amounts. Our insurance subsidiaries, through their respective reinsurance security committees ("RSC"), are selective with regard to reinsurers, seeking to place reinsurance with only those reinsurers which meet and maintain specific standards of established criteria for financial strength. Each RSC evaluates the financial viability of its reinsurers through financial analysis, research and review of rating agencies' reports and also monitors reinsurance recoverables and collateral with unauthorized reinsurers. The financial analysis includes ongoing assessments of reinsurers, including a review of the financial stability, appropriate licensing, reputation, claims paying ability and underwriting philosophy of each reinsurer. Our insurance group will continue to evaluate its reinsurance requirements. See note 4, "Reinsurance," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
For catastrophe-exposed insurance business, our insurance group seeks to limit the amount of exposure to catastrophic losses it assumes through a combination of managing aggregate limits, underwriting guidelines and reinsurance. For a discussion of our risk management policies, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsCritical Accounting Policies, Estimates and Recent Accounting PronouncementsCeded Reinsurance" and "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Our IndustryThe failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations."
Claims Management. Our insurance group's claims management function is performed by claims professionals, as well as experienced external claims managers (third party administrators), where appropriate. In addition to investigating, evaluating and resolving claims, members of our insurance group's claims departments work with underwriting professionals as functional teams in order to develop products and services desired by the group's customers.
Our Reinsurance Operations
Our reinsurance operations are conducted on a worldwide basis through our reinsurance subsidiaries, Arch Re Bermuda, Arch Re U.S. and Arch Re Europe. Arch Re Bermuda is a registered Class 4 insurer and long-term insurer and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Arch Re U.S. is licensed or is an accredited or otherwise approved reinsurer in 50 states and the District of Columbia and operates out of its office in Morristown, New Jersey. Our property facultative reinsurance operations are conducted primarily through Arch Re U.S. with certain executive functions conducted through Arch Re Facultative Underwriters Inc. located in Farmington, Connecticut. The property facultative reinsurance operations have offices throughout the U.S. and Canada and through a property facultative division of Arch Re Europe which was established in 2011. Arch Re Europe, licensed and authorized as a non-life reinsurer and a life reinsurer, is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland with a branch office in Switzerland.
As of February 15, 2011, our reinsurance group had approximately 180 employees.
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Strategy. Our reinsurance group's strategy is to capitalize on our financial capacity, experienced management and operational flexibility to offer multiple products through our operations. The reinsurance group's operating principles are to:
Our reinsurance group writes business on both a proportional and non-proportional basis and writes both treaty and facultative business. In a proportional reinsurance arrangement (also known as pro rata reinsurance, quota share reinsurance or participating reinsurance), the reinsurer shares a proportional part of the original premiums and losses of the reinsured. The reinsurer pays the cedent a commission which is generally based on the cedent's cost of acquiring the business being reinsured (including commissions, premium taxes, assessments and miscellaneous administrative expenses) and may also include a profit factor. Non-proportional (or excess of loss) reinsurance indemnifies the reinsured against all or a specified portion of losses on underlying insurance policies in excess of a specified amount, which is called a "retention." Non-proportional business is written in layers and a reinsurer or group of reinsurers accepts a band of coverage up to a specified amount. The total coverage purchased by the cedent is referred to as a "program." Any liability exceeding the upper limit of the program reverts to the cedent.
The reinsurance group's treaty operations generally seek to write significant lines on less commoditized classes of coverage, such as specialty property and casualty reinsurance treaties. However, with respect to other classes of coverage, such as property catastrophe and casualty clash, the reinsurance group's treaty operations participate in a relatively large number of treaties where they believe that they can underwrite and process the business efficiently. The reinsurance group's property facultative operations write reinsurance on a facultative basis whereby they assume part of the risk under a single insurance contract. Facultative reinsurance is typically purchased by ceding companies for individual risks not covered by their reinsurance treaties, for unusual risks or for amounts in excess of the limits on their reinsurance treaties.
Our reinsurance group focuses on the following areas:
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Underwriting Philosophy. Our reinsurance group employs a disciplined, analytical approach to underwriting reinsurance risks that is designed to specify an adequate premium for a given exposure commensurate with the amount of capital it anticipates placing at risk. A number of our reinsurance group's underwriters are also actuaries. It is our reinsurance group's belief that employing actuaries on the front-end of the underwriting process gives it an advantage in evaluating risks and constructing a high quality book of business.
As part of the underwriting process, our reinsurance group typically assesses a variety of factors, including:
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Premiums Written and Geographic Distribution. Set forth below is summary information regarding net premiums written for our reinsurance group:
|
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||
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2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||||||||||
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Amount | % of Total |
Amount | % of Total |
Amount | % of Total |
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REINSURANCE SEGMENT |
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Net premiums written |
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Property excluding property catastrophe(1) |
$ | 249,791 | 29.3 | $ | 349,915 | 33.0 | $ | 328,684 | 28.6 | ||||||||||
Property catastrophe |
202,989 | 23.8 | 237,445 | 22.4 | 231,146 | 20.1 | |||||||||||||
Casualty(2) |
186,774 | 21.9 | 325,699 | 30.8 | 347,198 | 30.2 | |||||||||||||
Other specialty |
131,158 | 15.4 | 65,189 | 6.2 | 146,452 | 12.8 | |||||||||||||
Marine and aviation |
77,063 | 9.0 | 77,677 | 7.3 | 90,733 | 7.9 | |||||||||||||
Other |
4,302 | 0.6 | 2,903 | 0.3 | 3,910 | 0.4 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 852,077 | 100.0 | $ | 1,058,828 | 100.0 | $ | 1,148,123 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Net premiums written by client location |
|||||||||||||||||||
United States |
$ | 496,947 | 58.3 | $ | 668,985 | 63.2 | $ | 631,896 | 55.0 | ||||||||||
Europe |
195,006 | 22.9 | 213,211 | 20.1 | 331,072 | 28.8 | |||||||||||||
Bermuda |
75,517 | 8.9 | 127,212 | 12.0 | 137,215 | 12.0 | |||||||||||||
Other |
84,607 | 9.9 | 49,420 | 4.7 | 47,940 | 4.2 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 852,077 | 100.0 | $ | 1,058,828 | 100.0 | $ | 1,148,123 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Net premiums written by underwriting location |
|||||||||||||||||||
Bermuda |
$ | 461,890 | 54.2 | $ | 596,334 | 56.3 | $ | 662,896 | 57.7 | ||||||||||
United States |
307,639 | 36.1 | 396,947 | 37.5 | 419,805 | 36.6 | |||||||||||||
Other |
82,548 | 9.7 | 65,547 | 6.2 | 65,422 | 5.7 | |||||||||||||
Total |
$ | 852,077 | 100.0 | $ | 1,058,828 | 100.0 | $ | 1,148,123 | 100.0 | ||||||||||
Marketing. Our reinsurance group generally markets its reinsurance products through brokers, except our property facultative reinsurance group, which generally deals directly with the ceding companies. Brokers do not have the authority to bind our reinsurance group with respect to reinsurance agreements, nor does our reinsurance group commit in advance to accept any portion of the business that brokers submit to them. Our reinsurance group generally pays brokerage fees to brokers based on negotiated percentages of the premiums written through such brokers. For information on major brokers, see note 13, "Commitments and ContingenciesConcentrations of Credit Risk," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
Risk Management and Retrocession. Our reinsurance group currently purchases "common account" retrocessional arrangements for certain treaties. Such arrangements reduce the effect of individual or aggregate losses to all companies participating in such treaties, including the reinsurers. Our reinsurance group will continue to evaluate its retrocessional requirements. See note 4, "Reinsurance," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
For catastrophe exposed reinsurance business, our reinsurance group seeks to limit the amount of exposure it assumes from any one reinsured and the amount of the aggregate exposure to catastrophe
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losses from a single event in any one geographic zone. For a discussion of our risk management policies, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsCritical Accounting Policies, Estimates and Recent Accounting PronouncementsCeded Reinsurance" and "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Our IndustryThe failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations."
Claims Management. Claims management includes the receipt of initial loss reports, creation of claim files, determination of whether further investigation is required, establishment and adjustment of case reserves and payment of claims. Additionally, audits are conducted for both specific claims and overall claims procedures at the offices of selected ceding companies. Our reinsurance group makes use of outside consultants for claims work from time to time.
Employees
As of February 15, 2011, ACGL and its subsidiaries employed approximately 1,340 full-time employees.
Reserves
Reserve estimates are derived after extensive consultation with individual underwriters, actuarial analysis of the loss reserve development and comparison with industry benchmarks. Our reserves are established and reviewed by experienced internal actuaries. Generally, reserves are established without regard to whether we may subsequently contest the claim. We do not currently discount our loss reserves except for excess workers' compensation and employers' liability loss reserves in our insurance operations.
Loss reserves represent estimates of what the insurer or reinsurer ultimately expects to pay on claims at a given time, based on facts and circumstances then known, and it is probable that the ultimate liability may exceed or be less than such estimates. Even actuarially sound methods can lead to subsequent adjustments to reserves that are both significant and irregular due to the nature of the risks written. Loss reserves are inherently subject to uncertainty. In establishing the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, we have made various assumptions relating to the pricing of our reinsurance contracts and insurance policies and have also considered available historical industry experience and current industry conditions. The timing and amounts of actual claim payments related to recorded reserves vary based on many factors including large individual losses, changes in the legal environment, as well as general market conditions. The ultimate amount of the claim payments could differ materially from our estimated amounts. Certain lines of business written by us, such as excess casualty, have loss experience characterized as low frequency and high severity. This may result in significant variability in loss payment patterns and, therefore, may impact the related asset/liability investment management process in order to be in a position, if necessary, to make these payments. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsCritical Accounting Policies, Estimates and Recent Accounting PronouncementsReserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses."
The following table represents the development of loss reserves as determined under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") for 2000 through 2010. With respect to 2000, no reserves are reported in the table below because all reserves for business written through May 5, 2000 were assumed by White Mountains Reinsurance Company of America ("WTM Re") in the May 5, 2000 asset sale, and we did not write or assume any business during 2000 subsequent to the asset sale. Activity subsequent to 2000 relates to acquisitions made by us and our underwriting initiatives that commenced in October 2001.
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This table does not present accident or policy year development data and, instead, presents an analysis of the claim development of gross and net balance sheet reserves existing at each calendar year-end in subsequent calendar years. The top line of the table shows the reserves, net of reinsurance recoverables, at the balance sheet date for each of the indicated years. This represents the estimated amounts of net losses and loss adjustment expenses arising in all prior years that are unpaid at the balance sheet date, including incurred but not reported ("IBNR") reserves. The table also shows the re-estimated amount of the previously recorded reserves based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimate changes as more information becomes known about the frequency and severity of claims for individual years. The "cumulative redundancy (deficiency)" represents the aggregate change in the estimates over all prior years. The table also shows the cumulative amounts paid as of successive years with respect to that reserve liability. In addition, the table reflects the claim development of the gross balance sheet reserves for ending reserves at December 31, 2000 through
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December 31, 2009. With respect to the information in the table, it should be noted that each amount includes the effects of all changes in amounts for prior periods.
Development of GAAP Reserves
Cumulative Redundancy (Deficiency)
|
Years Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(U.S. dollars in millions) |
2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance recoverables |
| $ | 21 | $ | 381 | $ | 1,543 | $ | 2,875 | $ | 4,063 | $ | 4,911 | $ | 5,483 | $ | 5,938 | $ | 6,214 | $ | 6,395 | ||||||||||||||
Cumulative net paid losses as of: |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
One year later |
| 15 | 82 | 278 | 449 | 745 | 843 | 954 | 1,167 | 1,106 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Two years later |
| 19 | 141 | 437 | 811 | 1,332 | 1,486 | 1,817 | 2,114 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three years later |
| 24 | 172 | 596 | 1,110 | 1,688 | 2,040 | 2,308 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four years later |
| 26 | 204 | 706 | 1,300 | 1,993 | 2,375 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Five years later |
| 26 | 218 | 787 | 1,478 | 2,249 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Six years later |
| 25 | 233 | 853 | 1,629 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seven years later |
| 25 | 243 | 930 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Eight years later |
| 25 | 257 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nine years later |
| 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ten years later |
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net re-estimated reserve as of: |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
One year later |
| 25 | 340 | 1,444 | 2,756 | 3,986 | 4,726 | 5,173 | 5,749 | 6,067 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Two years later |
| 25 | 335 | 1,353 | 2,614 | 3,809 | 4,387 | 4,959 | 5,620 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Three years later |
| 27 | 335 | 1,259 | 2,487 | 3,541 | 4,164 | 4,849 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Four years later |
| 27 | 313 | 1,237 | 2,353 | 3,381 | 4,107 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Five years later |
| 28 | 316 | 1,187 | 2,305 | 3,359 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Six years later |
| 26 | 302 | 1,183 | 2,291 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Seven years later |
| 25 | 291 | 1,191 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Eight years later |
| 26 | 292 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nine years later |
| 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ten years later |
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cumulative net redundancy (deficiency) |
| $ | (7 | ) | $ | 89 | $ | 352 | $ | 584 | $ | 704 | $ | 804 | $ | 634 | $ | 318 | $ | 147 | |||||||||||||||
Cumulative net redundancy (deficiency) as a percentage of net reserves |
| (33.3 | ) | 23.5 | 22.8 | 20.3 | 17.3 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 5.3 | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
| $ | 111 | $ | 592 | $ | 1,912 | $ | 3,493 | $ | 5,453 | $ | 6,463 | $ | 7,092 | $ | 7,667 | $ | 7,873 | $ | 8,098 | ||||||||||||||
Reinsurance recoverable |
| (90 | ) | (211 | ) | (369 | ) | (618 | ) | (1,390 | ) | (1,552 | ) | (1,609 | ) | (1,729 | ) | (1,659 | ) | (1,703 | ) | ||||||||||||||
Net reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses |
| $ | 21 | $ | 381 | $ | 1,543 | $ | 2,875 | $ | 4,063 | $ | 4,911 | $ | 5,483 | $ | 5,938 | $ | 6,214 | $ | 6,395 | ||||||||||||||
Gross re-estimated reserve |
| 181 | 518 | 1,491 | 2,812 | 4,697 | 5,441 | 6,331 | 7,222 | 7,721 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Re-estimated reinsurance recoverable |
| (153 | ) | (226 | ) | (300 | ) | (521 | ) | (1,338 | ) | (1,334 | ) | (1,482 | ) | (1,602 | ) | (1,654 | ) | ||||||||||||||||
Net re-estimated reserve |
| 28 | 292 | 1,191 | 2,291 | 3,359 | 4,107 | 4,849 | 5,620 | 6,067 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gross re-estimated redundancy (deficiency) |
| $ | (70 | ) | $ | 74 | $ | 421 | $ | 681 | $ | 756 | $ | 1,022 | $ | 761 | $ | 445 | $ | 152 | |||||||||||||||
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The following table represents an analysis of losses and loss adjustment expenses and a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses.
|
Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at beginning of year |
$ | 7,873,412 | $ | 7,666,957 | $ | 7,092,452 | ||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
1,659,500 | 1,729,135 | 1,609,619 | |||||||||
Net reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at beginning of year |
6,213,912 | 5,937,822 | 5,482,833 | |||||||||
Net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses relating to losses occurring in: |
||||||||||||
Current year |
1,664,411 | 1,843,875 | 2,158,914 | |||||||||
Prior years |
(146,696 | ) | (189,201 | ) | (310,170 | ) | ||||||
Total net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses |
1,517,715 | 1,654,674 | 1,848,744 | |||||||||
Foreign exchange (gains) losses |
(29,089 |
) |
60,506 |
(133,881 |
) |
|||||||
Net paid losses and loss adjustment expenses relating to losses occurring in: |
||||||||||||
Current year |
(200,789 | ) | (272,295 | ) | (305,513 | ) | ||||||
Prior years |
(1,106,496 | ) | (1,166,795 | ) | (954,361 | ) | ||||||
Total net paid losses and loss adjustment expenses |
(1,307,285 | ) | (1,439,090 | ) | (1,259,874 | ) | ||||||
Net reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at end of year |
6,395,253 |
6,213,912 |
5,937,822 |
|||||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
1,703,201 | 1,659,500 | 1,729,135 | |||||||||
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at end of year |
$ | 8,098,454 | $ | 7,873,412 | $ | 7,666,957 | ||||||
Our initial reserving method to date has to a large extent been the expected loss method, which is commonly applied when limited loss experience exists. We select the initial expected loss and loss adjustment expense ratios based on information derived by our underwriters and actuaries during the initial pricing of the business, supplemented by industry data where appropriate. These ratios consider, among other things, rate changes and changes in terms and conditions that have been observed in the market. Any estimates and assumptions made as part of the reserving process could prove to be inaccurate due to several factors, including the fact that relatively limited historical information has been reported to us through December 31, 2010. We employ a number of different reserving methods depending on the segment, the line of business, the availability of historical loss experience and the stability of that loss experience. Over time, we have given additional weight to our historical loss experience in our reserving process due to the continuing maturation of our reserves, and the increased availability and credibility of the historical experience. For additional information regarding the key underlying movements in our losses and loss adjustment expenses in 2008, 2009 and 2010 by segment, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsResults of Operations."
Unpaid and paid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable were approximately $1.76 billion at December 31, 2010. We are subject to credit risk with respect to our reinsurance and retrocessions because the ceding of risk to reinsurers and retrocessionaires does not relieve us of our liability to the clients or companies we insure or reinsure. Our failure to establish adequate reinsurance or retrocessional arrangements or the failure of our existing reinsurance or retrocessional arrangements to
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protect us from overly concentrated risk exposure could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. Although we monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and retrocessionaires and attempt to place coverages only with substantial, financially sound carriers, we may not be successful in doing so.
Investments
At December 31, 2010, consolidated cash and invested assets totaled approximately $11.84 billion, as summarized in the table below. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesFinancial ConditionInvestable Assets" and note 7, "Investment Information," of the notes accompanying our financial statements.
The following table summarizes the market value of our cash and invested assets at December 31, 2010 and 2009:
|
December 31, | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | |||||||
Cash and short-term investments(1) |
$ | 1,278,581 | $ | 910,054 | |||||
Fixed maturities and fixed maturities pledged under securities lending agreements, at market value(1): |
|||||||||
Corporate bonds |
2,839,344 | 3,134,088 | |||||||
Mortgage backed securities |
1,806,813 | 1,449,382 | |||||||
Municipal bonds |
1,182,100 | 957,752 | |||||||
Commercial mortgage backed securities |
1,167,299 | 1,185,799 | |||||||
U.S. government and government agencies |
872,149 | 1,553,672 | |||||||
Non-U.S. government securities |
732,666 | 752,215 | |||||||
Asset backed securities |
558,032 | 567,844 | |||||||
Sub-total |
9,158,403 | 9,600,752 | |||||||
TALF investments, at market value(2) |
402,449 | 250,265 | |||||||
Equity securities available for sale, at market value |
363,255 | 36,623 | |||||||
Other investments |
349,272 | 135,549 | |||||||
Investment funds accounted for using the equity method |
434,600 | 391,869 | |||||||
Total cash and investments |
11,986,560 | 11,325,112 | |||||||
Securities transactions entered into but not settled at the balance sheet date |
(144,047 | ) | 50,790 | ||||||
Total cash and invested assets |
$ | 11,842,513 | $ | 11,375,902 | |||||
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securities, less a 'haircut' that varies based on the type of collateral. We can deliver the collateralized securities to a special purpose vehicle created by the FRBNY in full defeasance of the borrowings. At December 31, 2010, we had $402.4 million of securities under TALF which are reflected as "TALF investments, at market value" and $325.8 million of secured financing from the FRBNY that is reflected as "TALF borrowings, at market value."
Our current investment guidelines and approach stress preservation of capital, market liquidity and diversification of risk. Our investments are subject to market-wide risks and fluctuations, as well as to risks inherent in particular securities. While maintaining our emphasis on preservation of capital and liquidity, we expect our portfolio to become more diversified and, as a result, we may expand into areas which are not currently part of our investment strategy. At December 31, 2010, approximately 94% of our fixed maturities and fixed maturities pledged under securities lending agreements were rated investment grade by the major rating agencies, primarily Standard & Poor's Rating Services ("Standard & Poor's"), compared to 95% at December 31, 2009. At December 31, 2010 and 2009, our fixed maturities, fixed maturities pledged under securities lending agreements and short-term investments had an average credit quality rating of "AA+". Our investment portfolio had an average effective duration of approximately 2.83 years and 2.87 years at December 31, 2010 and 2009, respectively.
The credit quality distribution of our fixed maturities and fixed maturities pledged under securities lending agreements, excluding TALF investments, at December 31, 2010 and 2009 are shown below:
|
December 31, | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | ||||||||||||
Rating(1)
|
Estimated Market Value |
% of Total |
Estimated Market Value |
% of Total |
||||||||||
AAA |
$ | 6,531,757 | 71.3 | $ | 7,072,381 | 73.7 | ||||||||
AA |
1,053,666 | 11.5 | 1,281,377 | 13.3 | ||||||||||
A |
605,483 | 6.6 | 547,104 | 5.7 | ||||||||||
BBB |
388,564 | 4.2 | 231,988 | 2.4 | ||||||||||
BB |
133,673 | 1.5 | 85,952 | 0.9 | ||||||||||
B |
242,479 | 2.6 | 209,417 | 2.2 | ||||||||||
Lower than B |
109,596 | 1.2 | 80,871 | 0.8 | ||||||||||
Not rated |
93,185 | 1.1 | 91,662 | 1.0 | ||||||||||
Total |
$ | 9,158,403 | 100.0 | $ | 9,600,752 | 100.0 | ||||||||
For 2010, 2009 and 2008, set forth below is the pre-tax total return (before investment expenses) of our investment portfolio (including fixed maturities, short-term investments and fixed maturities and short-term investments pledged under securities lending agreements) compared to the benchmark return against which we measured our portfolio during the year. The benchmark return index is a customized combination of indices intended to approximate a target portfolio by asset mix and average credit quality while also matching the approximate estimated duration and currency mix of our
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insurance and reinsurance liabilities (see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsGeneralFinancial MeasuresTotal Return on Investments").
|
Arch Portfolio(1) |
Benchmark Return Index |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-tax total return (before investment expenses): |
||||||||
Year ended December 31, 2010 |
7.00 | % | 6.38 | % | ||||
Year ended December 31, 2009 |
11.28 | % | 9.71 | % | ||||
Year ended December 31, 2008 |
(2.84 | )% | (1.42 | )% |
Ratings
Our ability to underwrite business is dependent upon the quality of our claims paying ability and financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent agencies. Such ratings from third party internationally recognized statistical rating organizations or agencies are instrumental in establishing the competitive positions of companies in our industry. We believe that the primary users of such ratings include commercial and investment banks, policyholders, brokers, ceding companies and investors. Insurance ratings are also used by insurance and reinsurance intermediaries as an important means of assessing the financial strength and quality of insurers and reinsurers, and have become an increasingly important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance and reinsurance companies. These ratings are often an important factor in the decision by an insured or intermediary of whether to place business with a particular insurance or reinsurance provider. Periodically, rating agencies evaluate us to confirm that we continue to meet their criteria for the ratings assigned to us by them. A.M. Best Company ("A.M. Best") maintains a letter scale rating system ranging from "A++" (Superior) to "F" (In Liquidation). Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") maintains a letter scale rating from "Aaa" (Exceptional) to "NP" (Not Prime). Standard & Poor's maintains a letter scale rating system ranging from "AAA" (Extremely Strong) to "R" (Under Regulatory Supervision). Fitch Ratings ("Fitch") maintains a letter scale rating system ranging from "AAA" (Exceptionally Strong) to "C" (Distressed).
Our reinsurance subsidiaries, Arch Re U.S., Arch Re Bermuda and Arch Re Europe (Standard & Poor's and Fitch only), and our principal insurance subsidiaries, Arch Insurance, Arch E&S, Arch Specialty and Arch Insurance Company Europe, each currently has a financial strength rating of "A" (Excellent, the third highest out of fifteen rating levels) with a positive outlook from A.M. Best, "A2" (Good, the sixth highest out of 21 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Moody's, "A+" (Strong, the fifth highest out of 21 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Standard & Poor's, and "A+" (Strong, the fifth highest out of 24 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Fitch. A.M. Best has assigned a financial strength rating of "NR-3" (Rating Procedure Inapplicable") to Arch Indemnity, which is not writing business currently. Lloyd's has financial strength ratings of "A" (Excellent) with a stable outlook from A.M. Best, "A+" (Strong) with a stable outlook from Standard & Poor's and "A+" (Strong) with a stable outlook from Fitch.
ACGL has received counterparty (issuer) credit ratings of "A-" (seventh highest out of 21 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Standard & Poor's, "Baa1" (eighth highest out of 21 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Moody's and "A" long term issuer rating (sixth highest out of 23 rating levels) with a stable outlook from Fitch. A counterparty credit rating provides an opinion on an issuer's overall capacity and willingness to meet its financial commitments as they become due, but is not specific to a particular financial obligation.
The financial strength ratings assigned by rating agencies to insurance and reinsurance companies represent independent opinions of financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations and
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are not directed toward the protection of investors, nor are they recommendations to buy, hold or sell any securities. We can offer no assurances that our ratings will remain at their current levels, or that our security will be accepted by brokers and our insureds and reinsureds. A ratings downgrade or the potential for such a downgrade, or failure to obtain a necessary rating, could adversely affect both our relationships with agents, brokers, wholesalers and other distributors of our existing products and services and new sales of our products and services. In addition, under certain of the reinsurance agreements assumed by our reinsurance operations, upon the occurrence of a ratings downgrade or other specified triggering event with respect to our reinsurance operations, such as a reduction in surplus by specified amounts during specified periods, our ceding company clients may be provided with certain rights, including, among other things, the right to terminate the subject reinsurance agreement and/or to require that our reinsurance operations post additional collateral. In the event of a ratings downgrade or other triggering event, the exercise of such contract rights by our clients could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations, as well as our ongoing business and operations. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources."
Competition
The worldwide reinsurance and insurance businesses are highly competitive. We compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers and reinsurers, some of which have greater financial, marketing and management resources than we have and have had longer-term relationships with insureds and brokers than us. We compete with other insurers and reinsurers primarily on the basis of overall financial strength, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, geographic scope of business, strength of client relationships, premiums charged, contract terms and conditions, products and services offered, speed of claims payment, reputation, employee experience, and qualifications and local presence.
In our insurance business, we compete with insurers that provide specialty property and casualty lines of insurance, including: ACE Limited, Allied World Assurance Company, Ltd., Alterra Capital Holdings Limited, Argo Insurance Group, AXIS Capital Holdings Limited, Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., Chartis, Inc., Chubb Corporation, Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd., The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc., Ironshore Inc., Lloyd's, The Travelers Companies, Validus Holdings Ltd, W.R. Berkley Corp., XL Capital Ltd. and Zurich Insurance Group. In our reinsurance business, we compete with reinsurers that provide property and casualty lines of reinsurance, including ACE Limited, Alterra Capital Holdings Limited, Argo International Holdings, Ltd., AXIS Capital Holdings Limited, Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd., Everest Re Group Ltd., Hannover Rückversicherung AG, Lloyd's, Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., Munich Re Group, PartnerRe Ltd., Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd., RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd., Swiss Reinsurance Company, Transatlantic Holdings, Inc., Validus Holdings Ltd and XL Capital Ltd. We do not believe that we have a significant market share in any of our markets.
Enterprise Risk Management
Enterprise Risk Management ("ERM") is a key element in our philosophy, strategy and culture. We employ an ERM framework that includes underwriting, reserving, investment, credit and operational risks. Risk appetite and exposure limits are set by our executive management team, reviewed with our board of directors and board level committees and routinely discussed with business unit management. These limits are integrated into our operating guidelines and the exposures are aggregated and monitored periodically by our corporate risk management team. The reporting, review and approval of risk management information is integrated into our annual planning process, capital modeling and allocation, reinsurance purchasing strategy and reviewed at insurance business reviews,
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reinsurance underwriting meetings and board level committees. For a discussion of our risk management policies, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsCritical Accounting Policies, Estimates and Recent Accounting PronouncementsCeded Reinsurance" and "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Our IndustryThe failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations."
Regulation
U.S. Insurance Regulation
General. In common with other insurers, our U.S.-based subsidiaries are subject to extensive governmental regulation and supervision in the various states and jurisdictions in which they are domiciled and licensed and/or approved to conduct business. The laws and regulations of the state of domicile have the most significant impact on operations. This regulation and supervision is designed to protect policyholders rather than investors. Generally, regulatory authorities have broad regulatory powers over such matters as licenses, standards of solvency, premium rates, policy forms, marketing practices, claims practices, investments, security deposits, methods of accounting, form and content of financial statements, reserves and provisions for unearned premiums, unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, reinsurance, minimum capital and surplus requirements, dividends and other distributions to shareholders, periodic examinations and annual and other report filings. In addition, transactions among affiliates, including reinsurance agreements or arrangements, as well as certain third party transactions, require prior regulatory approval from, or prior notice to, the applicable regulator under certain circumstances. Certain insurance regulatory requirements are highlighted below. In addition, regulatory authorities conduct periodic financial, claims and market conduct examinations. Arch Insurance Company Europe is also subject to certain governmental regulation and supervision in the various states where it has been approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer.
Although there is still pending certain civil litigation arising out of the investigation by the New York Attorney General and others into contingent commission payments to brokers (and the disclosures relating to such payments), alleged "bid-rigging," alleged "steering," and other practices in the insurance industry, a number of brokers announced that they have reached agreement with the New York Attorney General and other state insurance regulatory authorities that would allow them to collect contingent commissions once again. However, we cannot predict the effect that this agreement, the pending civil litigation, any current or future government investigations or prosecutions and/or resulting changes in insurance practices (including future legislation and/or regulations that may become applicable to our business) will have on the insurance industry, the regulatory framework or our business. See "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Our IndustryOur reliance on brokers subjects us to their credit risk." Although certain brokers have announced new fee structures in response to the industry investigations and, as part of these new initiatives, have requested that our insurance subsidiaries enter into standardized payment arrangements, we have determined to negotiate payment arrangements with our brokers on a case by case basis. However, this has not affected certain agreements between our insurance subsidiaries and managing general agents providing for the payment to such agents of additional commissions based upon the profitability of the business produced by those agents.
Credit for Reinsurance. Arch Re U.S. is subject to insurance regulation and supervision that is similar to the regulation of licensed primary insurers. However, except for certain mandated provisions that must be included in order for a ceding company to obtain credit for reinsurance ceded, the terms and conditions of reinsurance agreements generally are not subject to regulation by any governmental authority. This contrasts with admitted primary insurance policies and agreements, the rates and terms of which generally are regulated by state insurance regulators. As a practical matter, however, the rates charged by primary insurers do have an effect on the rates that can be charged by reinsurers.
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A primary insurer ordinarily will enter into a reinsurance agreement only if it can obtain credit for the reinsurance ceded on its U.S. statutory-basis financial statements. In general, credit for reinsurance is allowed in the following circumstances:
As a result of the requirements relating to the provision of credit for reinsurance, Arch Re U.S. and Arch Re Bermuda are indirectly subject to certain regulatory requirements imposed by jurisdictions in which ceding companies are licensed.
Arch Re U.S. is licensed or is an accredited or otherwise approved reinsurer in 50 states and the District of Columbia. Arch Insurance is licensed as an insurer in 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands and Guam with a branch office in Canada. Arch Specialty is licensed in one state and approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer in 49 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Arch E&S is licensed in one state and approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer in 47 states and the District of Columbia. Arch Indemnity is licensed as an insurer in 49 states and the District of Columbia. Arch Insurance Company Europe is approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer in 17 states and the District of Columbia. Neither Arch Re Bermuda nor Arch Re Europe expects to become licensed, accredited or so approved in any U.S. jurisdiction.
Holding Company Acts. All states have enacted legislation that regulates insurance holding company systems. These regulations generally provide that each insurance company in the system is required to register with the insurance department of its state of domicile and furnish information concerning the operations of companies within the holding company system which may materially affect the operations, management or financial condition of the insurers within the system. All transactions within a holding company system affecting insurers must be fair and reasonable. Notice to the insurance departments is required prior to the consummation of transactions affecting the ownership or control of an insurer and of certain material transactions between an insurer and any entity in its holding company system. In addition, certain of such transactions cannot be consummated without the applicable insurance department's prior approval. In 2010, the NAIC approved the Insurance Holding Company System Regulatory Act, which proposes to revise the current framework for evaluating risks of an insurer within a holding company group. This legislation has been sent to the members of the NAIC for adoption.
Regulation of Dividends and Other Payments from Insurance Subsidiaries. The ability of an insurer to pay dividends or make other distributions is subject to insurance regulatory limitations of the insurance company's state of domicile. Generally, such laws limit the payment of dividends or other distributions above a specified level. Dividends or other distributions in excess of such thresholds are "extraordinary" and are subject to prior regulatory approval. Such dividends or distributions may be subject to applicable withholding or other taxes. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of
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Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources" and note 18, "Statutory Information," of the notes accompanying our financial statements.
Insurance Regulatory Information System Ratios. The National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") Insurance Regulatory Information System ("IRIS") was developed by a committee of state insurance regulators and is intended primarily to assist state insurance departments in executing their statutory mandates to oversee the financial condition of insurance companies operating in their respective states. IRIS identifies 13 industry ratios (referred to as "IRIS ratios") and specifies "usual values" for each ratio. Departure from the usual values of the IRIS ratios can lead to inquiries from individual state insurance commissioners as to certain aspects of an insurer's business. For 2010, certain of our U.S.-based subsidiaries generated IRIS ratios that were outside of the usual values. To date, none of these subsidiaries has received any notice of regulatory review but there is no assurance that we may not be notified in the future.
Accreditation. The NAIC has instituted its Financial Regulation Accreditation Standards Program ("FRASP") in response to federal initiatives to regulate the business of insurance. FRASP provides a set of standards designed to establish effective state regulation of the financial condition of insurance companies. Under FRASP, a state must adopt certain laws and regulations, institute required regulatory practices and procedures, and have adequate personnel to enforce such items in order to become an "accredited" state. If a state is not accredited, other states may not accept certain financial examination reports of insurers prepared solely by the regulatory agency in such unaccredited state. The respective states in which Arch Re U.S., Arch Insurance, Arch E&S, Arch Specialty and Arch Indemnity are domiciled are accredited states.
Risk-Based Capital Requirements. In order to enhance the regulation of insurer solvency, the NAIC adopted in December 1993 a formula and model law to implement risk-based capital requirements for property and casualty insurance companies. These risk-based capital requirements are designed to assess capital adequacy and to raise the level of protection that statutory surplus provides for policyholder obligations. The risk-based capital model for property and casualty insurance companies measures three major areas of risk facing property and casualty insurers:
An insurer will be subject to varying degrees of regulatory action depending on how its statutory surplus compares to its risk-based capital calculation. For equity investments in an insurance company affiliate, the risk-based capital requirements for the equity securities of such affiliate would generally be our U.S.-based subsidiaries' proportionate share of the affiliate's risk-based capital requirement.
Under the approved formula, an insurer's total adjusted capital is compared to its authorized control level risk-based capital. If this ratio is above a minimum threshold, no company or regulatory action is necessary. Below this threshold are four distinct action levels at which a regulator can intervene with increasing degrees of authority over an insurer as the ratio of surplus to risk-based capital requirement decreases. The four action levels include:
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Each of our U.S. subsidiaries' surplus (as calculated for statutory purposes) is above the risk-based capital thresholds that would require either company or regulatory action.
Guaranty Funds and Assigned Risk Plans. Most states require all admitted insurance companies to participate in their respective guaranty funds which cover certain claims against insolvent insurers. Solvent insurers licensed in these states are required to cover the losses paid on behalf of insolvent insurers by the guaranty funds and are generally subject to annual assessments in the states by the guaranty funds to cover these losses. Participation in state-assigned risk plans may take the form of reinsuring a portion of a pool of policies or the direct issuance of policies to insureds. The calculation of an insurer's participation in these plans is usually based on the amount of premium for that type of coverage that was written by the insurer on a voluntary basis. Assigned risk pools tend to produce losses which result in assessments to insurers writing the same lines on a voluntary basis.
Federal Regulation. Although state regulation is the dominant form of regulation for insurance and reinsurance business, the federal government has shown concern over the adequacy of state regulation. It is not possible to predict the future impact of any potential federal regulations or other possible laws or regulations on our U.S.-based subsidiaries' capital and operations, and such laws or regulations could materially adversely affect their business. In addition, a number of federal laws affect and apply to the insurance industry, including various privacy laws and the economic and trade sanctions implemented by the Office of Foreign Assets Control ("OFAC"). OFAC maintains and enforces economic sanctions against certain foreign countries and groups and prohibits U.S. persons from engaging in certain transactions with certain persons or entities.
Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007. The Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 was amended and extended by the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 and amended and extended again by the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007 ("TRIPRA") through December 31, 2014. TRIPRA provides a federal backstop for insurance-related losses resulting from any act of terrorism on U.S. soil or against certain U.S. air carriers, vessels or foreign missions. Under TRIPRA, all U.S.-based property and casualty insurers are required to make terrorism insurance coverage available in specified commercial property and casualty insurance lines. Under TRIPRA, the federal government will pay 85% of covered losses after an insurer's losses exceed a deductible determined by a statutorily prescribed formula, up to a combined annual aggregate limit for the federal government and all insurers of $100 billion. If an act (or acts) of terrorism result in covered losses exceeding the $100 billion annual limit, insurers with losses exceeding their deductibles will not be responsible for additional losses. The deductible for each year is based on the insurer's direct commercial earned premiums for property and casualty insurance, excluding certain lines of business such as commercial auto, surety, professional liability and earthquake lines of business, for the prior calendar year multiplied by 20%. The specified percentages for prior periods were 15% for 2005, 17.5% for 2006, 20% for 2007, 20% for 2008 through 2010.
Our U.S.-based property and casualty insurers, Arch Insurance, Arch Specialty, Arch E&S and Arch Indemnity, are subject to TRIPRA. TRIPRA specifically excludes reinsurance business and, accordingly, does not apply to our reinsurance operations. Our insurance group's deductible for 2010 was approximately $247.0 million (i.e., 20.0% of earned premiums). Based on 2010 direct commercial earned premiums, our insurance group's deductible for 2011 will be approximately $232.2 million (i.e., 20.0% of such earned premiums). TRIPRA extends through 2014.
The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act. The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 ("GLBA"), which implements fundamental changes in the regulation of the financial services industry in the United States, was enacted on November 12, 1999. The GLBA permits the transformation of the already converging banking, insurance and securities industries by permitting mergers that combine commercial banks, insurers and securities firms under one holding company, a "financial holding company." Bank holding companies and other entities that qualify and elect to be treated as financial holding companies may
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engage in activities, and acquire companies engaged in activities, that are "financial" in nature or "incidental" or "complementary" to such financial activities. Such financial activities include acting as principal, agent or broker in the underwriting and sale of life, property, casualty and other forms of insurance and annuities.
Until the passage of the GLBA, the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 had limited the ability of banks to engage in securities-related businesses, and the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956 had restricted banks from being affiliated with insurers. With the passage of the GLBA, among other things, bank holding companies may acquire insurers, and insurance holding companies may acquire banks. The ability of banks to affiliate with insurers may affect our U.S. subsidiaries' product lines by substantially increasing the number, size and financial strength of potential competitors.
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act ("Dodd-Frank"), which includes provisions relating to regulating financial institutions and the business of insurance, was enacted July 21, 2010. Dodd-Frank creates the Federal Insurance Office within the Department of Treasury which is not a federal regulator or supervisor of insurance, but will monitor the insurance industry for systemic risk, administer the TRIPRA, consult with the states regarding insurance matters and develop federal policy on aspects of international insurance matters. Effective 12 months from the date of enactment, Dodd-Frank also creates a uniform system for non-admitted insurance premium tax payments which will be based on the home state of the policyholder and provides for single state regulation for financial solvency and credit for reinsurance.
Legislative and Regulatory Proposals. From time to time various regulatory and legislative changes have been proposed in the insurance and reinsurance industry. Among the proposals that have in the past been or are at present being considered are the possible introduction of federal regulation in addition to, or in lieu of, the current system of state regulation of insurers. In addition, there are a variety of proposals being considered by various state legislatures. One ongoing initiative is the Solvency Modernization Initiative ("SMI"), which is a self-examination of the U.S. insurance solvency regulation framework being undertaken by the NAIC. This includes a review of international developments regarding supervision, banking supervision, international accounting standards and their potential use in U.S. insurance regulation. The SMI is focusing on five key areas: capital requirements, governance and risk management, group supervision, statutory accounting and financial reporting and reinsurance.
The NAIC adopted its Reinsurance Regulatory Modernization Framework Proposal (the "Reinsurance Proposal") in December 2008. The Reinsurance Proposal is intended to eliminate the universal 100 percent collateral requirement presently imposed on foreign reinsurers, such as Arch Re Bermuda, and establishes instead a sliding scale percentage rating system for assessing collateral obligations. To this end, the Reinsurance Proposal creates two new classes of reinsurers in the United States: "national" reinsurers and "port of entry" ("POE") reinsurers. A national reinsurer is licensed and domiciled in a U.S. home state and approved by such state to transact reinsurance business across the U.S. while submitting solely to the regulatory authority of the home state supervisor. A POE reinsurer is defined as a non-U.S. assuming reinsurer that is certified in a port of entry state and approved by such state to provide creditable reinsurance to the U.S. market. The Reinsurance Proposal also creates a single regulatory body, the Reinsurance Supervision Review Department ("RSRD"), that will establish uniform standards for evaluating reinsurance regulations of the United States and foreign countries. Through the use of uniform standards, the RSRD will determine whether POE reinsurers qualify for reduced collateral requirements. The Reinsurance Proposal, however, is not self-executing and does not become effective until Congress enacts legislation that preempts state laws that impose higher collateral requirements than the domestic or port of entry states require. To date, the NAIC has not found significant support in Congress. In response to the lack of support for federal legislation, many states, such as New York and Florida, have enacted state regulations aimed at reducing collateral
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requirements on foreign insurers. There are several other states which have introduced similar legislation similar to the Reinsurance Proposal.
We are unable to predict whether any of these proposed laws and regulations will be adopted, the form in which any such laws and regulations would be adopted, or the effect, if any, these developments would have on our operations and financial condition. See "U.S. Insurance RegulationGeneral."
Bermuda Insurance Regulation
The Insurance Act 1978, as Amended, and Related Regulations of Bermuda (the "Insurance Act"). As a holding company, ACGL is not subject to Bermuda insurance regulations. The Insurance Act, which regulates the insurance business of Arch Re Bermuda, provides that no person shall carry on any insurance business in or from within Bermuda unless registered as an insurer under the Insurance Act by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (the "BMA"), which is responsible for the day-to-day supervision of insurers. Under the Insurance Act, insurance business includes reinsurance business. The registration of an applicant as an insurer is subject to its complying with the terms of its registration and such other conditions as the BMA may impose from time to time.
The Insurance Act imposes solvency and liquidity standards and auditing and reporting requirements on Bermuda insurance companies and grants to the BMA powers to supervise, investigate and intervene in the affairs of insurance companies. Certain significant aspects of the Bermuda insurance regulatory framework are set forth below.
Classification of Insurers. The Insurance Act distinguishes between insurers carrying on long-term business and insurers carrying on general business. There are six classifications of insurers carrying on general business, with Class 4 insurers subject to the strictest regulation. Arch Re Bermuda is registered as both a long-term insurer and a Class 4 insurer in Bermuda and is regulated as such under the Insurance Act.
The Bermuda Insurance Amendment (No. 3) Act 2010, among other things, creates five new classes of long-term insurers (being Classes A to E), with Class E insurers expected to be subject to the strictest regulation. Prior to September 30, 2011 Arch Re Bermuda will be required to apply to be re-registered as either a Class C, Class D, or Class E insurer, with the Class being determined based upon the total assets of Arch Re Bermuda. It is anticipated that in due course, each Class C, Class D and Class E long term insurer, including Arch Re Bermuda, will be required to maintain total statutory capital and surplus equal to or exceeding its target capital level based on enhanced capital requirements calculated using a risk based capital model currently being developed by the BMA for long-term insurers. Arch Re Bermuda will also be subject to a new minimum margin of solvency, based on its re-classification as a Class C, Class D or Class E insurer as described above. The minimum margin of solvency:
Cancellation of Insurer's Registration. An insurer's registration may be canceled by the BMA on certain grounds specified in the Insurance Act, including failure of the insurer to comply with its obligations under the Insurance Act or if, in the opinion of the BMA, the insurer has not been carrying on business in accordance with sound insurance principles. We believe we are in compliance with applicable regulations under the Insurance Act.
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Principal Representative. An insurer is required to maintain a principal office in Bermuda and to appoint and maintain a principal representative in Bermuda. It is the duty of the principal representative upon reaching the view that there is a likelihood of the insurer for which the principal representative acts becoming insolvent or that a reportable "event" has, to the principal representative's knowledge, occurred or is believed to have occurred, to immediately notify the BMA and to make a report in writing to the BMA within 14 days of the prior notification setting out all the particulars of the case that are available to the principal representative.
Approved Independent Auditor. A Class 4 insurer must appoint an independent auditor who annually audits and reports on the insurer's financial statements prepared under generally accepted accounting principles or international financial reporting standards ("GAAP financial statements") and statutory financial statements and the statutory financial return of the insurer, all of which, in the case of Arch Re Bermuda, are required to be filed annually with the BMA. The independent auditor must be approved by the BMA.
Approved Actuary. Arch Re Bermuda, as a registered long-term insurer, is required to submit an annual actuary's certificate when filing its statutory financial returns. The actuary, who is normally a qualified life actuary, must be approved by the BMA.
Approved Loss Reserve Specialist. As a registered Class 4 insurer, Arch Re Bermuda is required to submit an opinion of its approved loss reserve specialist with its statutory financial return in respect of its loss and loss expense provisions. The loss reserve specialist, who will normally be a qualified casualty actuary, must be approved by the BMA.
Annual Financial Statements, Annual Statutory Financial Return and Annual Capital and Solvency Return. Arch Re Bermuda must prepare annual statutory financial statements as prescribed in the Insurance Act with respect to both its general business and its long-term business. The statutory financial statements are distinct from the annual GAAP basis financial statements referred to below. Arch Re Bermuda is also required to prepare and file with the BMA statutory financial returns with respect to its general business and long-term business. The statutory financial return for a Class 4 insurer includes, among other things, a report of the approved independent auditor on the statutory financial statement of such insurer, solvency certificates, the statutory financial statements for the general business, the opinion of the loss reserve specialist and a schedule of reinsurance ceded. The statutory financial return for a long-term insurer shall include a report of the approved independent auditor on the statutory financial statements of such insurer, the statutory financial statements related to the long-term business, a declaration of the statutory ratios, the long-term business solvency certificate and a certificate from the approved actuary. Arch Re Bermuda is also required to file audited GAAP basis annual financial statements, which must be available to the public. In addition, Arch Re Bermuda is required to file a capital and solvency return which shall include the regulatory risk based capital model, a schedule of fixed income investments by rating categories, a schedule of net reserves for losses and loss expense provisions by line of business, a schedule of premiums written by line of business, a schedule of risk management and a schedule of fixed income securities.
Minimum Solvency Margin, Enhanced Capital Requirement and Restrictions on Dividends and Distributions. Under the Insurance Act, Arch Re Bermuda must ensure that the value of its general business assets exceeds the amount of its general business liabilities by an amount greater than the prescribed minimum solvency margin and enhanced capital requirement. As a Class 4 insurer and long-term insurer, Arch Re Bermuda:
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more than 25% of gross premiums when computing net premiums written), and (C) 15% of net discounted aggregate losses and loss expense provisions and other insurance reserves;
Minimum Liquidity Ratio. The Insurance Act provides a minimum liquidity ratio for general business insurers such as Arch Re Bermuda. An insurer engaged in general business is required to maintain the value of its relevant assets at not less than 75% of the amount of its relevant liabilities. Relevant assets include cash and time deposits, quoted investments, unquoted bonds and debentures, first liens on real estate, investment income due and accrued, accounts and premiums receivable and reinsurance balances receivable. The relevant liabilities are total general business insurance reserves and total other liabilities less deferred income tax and sundry liabilities (by interpretation, those not specifically defined).
Long-Term Business Fund. An insurer carrying on long-term business is required to keep its accounts in respect of its long-term business separate from any accounts kept in respect of any other business and all receipts of its long-term business form part of its long-term business fund. No payment may be made directly or indirectly from an insurer's long-term business fund for any purpose other than a purpose related to the insurer's long-term business, unless such payment can be made out of any
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surplus certified by the insurer's approved actuary to be available for distribution otherwise than to policyholders. Arch Re Bermuda may not declare or pay a dividend to any person other than a policyholder unless the value of the assets in its long-term business fund, as certified by its approved actuary, exceeds the liabilities of the insurer's long-term business (as certified by the insurer's approved actuary) by the amount of the dividend and at least the $250,000 minimum solvency margin prescribed by the Insurance Act, and the amount of any such dividend may not exceed the aggregate of that excess (excluding the said $250,000) and any other funds properly available for payment of dividends, such as funds arising out of business of the insurer other than long-term business.
Restrictions on Transfer of Business and Winding-Up. Arch Re Bermuda, as a long-term insurer, is subject to the following provisions of the Insurance Act:
Supervision, Investigation and Intervention. The BMA may appoint an inspector with extensive powers to investigate the affairs of an insurer if the BMA believes that an investigation is required in the interest of the insurer's policyholders or persons who may become policyholders. In order to verify or supplement information otherwise provided to the BMA, the BMA may direct an insurer to produce documents or information relating to matters connected with the insurer's business.
If it appears to the BMA that there is a risk of the insurer becoming insolvent, or that it is in breach of the Insurance Act or any conditions imposed upon its registration, the BMA may, among other things, direct the insurer (1) not to take on any new insurance business, (2) not to vary any insurance contract if the effect would be to increase the insurer's liabilities, (3) not to make certain investments, (4) to realize certain investments, (5) to maintain in, or transfer to the custody of, a specified bank, certain assets, (6) not to declare or pay any dividends or other distributions or to restrict the making of such payments, (7) to limit its premium income, (8) not to enter into specified transactions with any specified person or persons of a specified class, (9) to provide such written particulars relating to the financial circumstances of the insurer as the BMA thinks fit, (10) to obtain the opinion of a loss reserve specialist and submit it to the BMA and/or (11) to remove a controller or officer.
Group Supervision. The BMA has chosen Arch Re Bermuda as the designated insurer for the purposes of group supervision, and the BMA will act as group supervisor. As group supervisor, the BMA will gather relevant and essential information on and assess the financial situation of the group, and coordinate the dissemination of such information to other relevant competent authorities for the purposes of assisting in their regulatory functions and the enforcement of regulatory action against the group or any of its members. The BMA may establish rules applicable to group supervision that will regulate group solvency, risk concentration and intra-group transactions, and the systems of governance and risk management applicable to the group. ACGL is not an insurer and, as such, is not regulated in Bermuda. However, pursuant to its functions as group supervisor, the BMA may include any member of the group within its group supervision, including ACGL.
Shareholder Controllers. Any person who, directly or indirectly, becomes a holder of at least 10%, 20%, 33% or 50% of the common shares of ACGL must notify the BMA in writing within 45 days of becoming such a holder. The BMA may, by written notice, object to such a person if it appears to the BMA that the person is not fit and proper to be such a holder. The BMA may require the holder to reduce their holding of common shares in ACGL and direct, among other things, that voting rights attaching to the common shares shall not be exercisable. A person that does not comply with such a notice or direction from the BMA will be guilty of an offense.
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For as long as ACGL has a subsidiary that is an insurer registered under the Insurance Act, the BMA may at any time, by written notice, object to a person holding 10% or more of its common shares if it appears to the BMA that the person is not or is no longer fit and proper to be such a holder. In such a case, the BMA may require the shareholder to reduce its holding of common shares in ACGL and direct, among other things, that such shareholder's voting rights attaching to the common shares shall not be exercisable. A person who does not comply with such a notice or direction from the BMA will be guilty of an offense.
Insurance Code of Conduct. Arch Re Bermuda will be subject to the Insurance Code of Conduct (the "Code"), which establishes duties and standards which must be complied with by all insurers registered under the Insurance Act, including the procedures and sound principles to be observed by such insurers. The Code is expected to become effective on June 30, 2011. Failure to comply with the requirements under the Code will be a factor taken into account by the BMA in determining whether an insurer is conducting its business in a sound and prudent manner as prescribed by the Insurance Act. Such failure to comply with the requirements of the Code could result in the BMA exercising its powers of intervention (see Supervision, Intervention and Investigation above) and will be a factor in calculating the operational risk charge applicable in accordance with that insurer's risk based capital model.
Certain Bermuda Law Considerations
ACGL and Arch Re Bermuda have been designated as non-resident for exchange control purposes by the BMA and are required to obtain the permission of the BMA for the issue and transfer of all of their shares. The BMA has given its consent for:
Transfers and issues of ACGL's common shares to any resident in Bermuda for exchange control purposes may require specific prior approval under the Exchange Control Act 1972. Arch Re Bermuda's common shares cannot be issued or transferred without the consent of the BMA. Because we are designated as non-resident for Bermuda exchange control purposes, we are allowed to engage in transactions, and to pay dividends to Bermuda non-residents who are holders of our common shares, in currencies other than the Bermuda Dollar.
In accordance with Bermuda law, share certificates are issued only in the names of corporations or individuals. In the case of an applicant acting in a special capacity (for example, as an executor or trustee), certificates may, at the request of the applicant, record the capacity in which the applicant is acting. Notwithstanding the recording of any such special capacity, we are not bound to investigate or incur any responsibility in respect of the proper administration of any such estate or trust. We will take no notice of any trust applicable to any of our common shares whether or not we have notice of such trust.
ACGL and Arch Re Bermuda are incorporated in Bermuda as "exempted companies." As a result, they are exempt from Bermuda laws restricting the percentage of share capital that may be held by non-Bermudians, but they may not participate in certain business transactions, including (1) the acquisition or holding of land in Bermuda (except that required for their business and held by way of lease or tenancy for terms of not more than 50 years) without the express authorization of the Bermuda legislature, (2) the taking of mortgages on land in Bermuda to secure an amount in excess of $50,000 without the consent of the Minister of Finance, (3) the acquisition of any bonds or debentures
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secured by any land in Bermuda, other than certain types of Bermuda government securities or (4) the carrying on of business of any kind in Bermuda, except in furtherance of their business carried on outside Bermuda or under license granted by the Minister of Finance. While an insurer is permitted to reinsure risks undertaken by any company incorporated in Bermuda and permitted to engage in the insurance and reinsurance business, generally it is not permitted without a special license granted by the Minister of Finance to insure Bermuda domestic risks or risks of persons of, in or based in Bermuda.
ACGL and Arch Re Bermuda also need to comply with the provisions of The Bermuda Companies Act 1981, as amended (the "Companies Act") regulating the payment of dividends and making distributions from contributed surplus. A company shall not declare or pay a dividend, or make a distribution out of contributed surplus, if there are reasonable grounds for believing that: (a) the company is, or would after the payment be, unable to pay its liabilities as they become due; or (b) the realizable value of the company's assets would thereby be less than the aggregate of its liabilities and its issued share capital and share premium accounts. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources" and note 18, "Statutory Information," of the notes accompanying our financial statements.
Under Bermuda law, only persons who are Bermudians, spouses of Bermudians, holders of a permanent resident's certificate or holders of a working resident's certificate ("exempted persons") may engage in gainful occupation in Bermuda without an appropriate governmental work permit. Our success may depend in part upon the continued services of key employees in Bermuda. Certain of our current key employees are not exempted persons and, as such, require specific approval to work for us in Bermuda. A work permit may be granted or extended upon showing that, after proper public advertisement, no exempted person is available who meets the minimum standards reasonably required by the employer. The Bermuda government has a policy that places a six-year term limit on individuals with work permits, subject to certain exemptions for key employees.
United Kingdom Insurance Regulation
General. The Financial Services Authority (the "FSA") regulates insurance and reinsurance companies operating in the U.K. under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (the "FSMA"). In May 2004, Arch Insurance Company Europe was licensed and authorized by the FSA. It holds the relevant permissions for the classes of insurance business which it underwrites in the U.K. In 2009, AUAL was licensed and authorized by the FSA and the Lloyd's Franchise Board. AUAL holds the relevant permissions for the classes of insurance business which are underwritten in the U.K. by the Arch Syndicate 2012. Arch Syndicate 2012 has one member, Arch Syndicate Investments Ltd. All U.K. companies are also subject to a range of statutory provisions, including the laws and regulations of the Companies Acts 1985 and 2006 (as amended) (the "U.K. Companies Acts").
The primary statutory goals of the FSA are to maintain and promote confidence in the U.K. financial system, secure the appropriate degree of protection for consumers and reduce financial crime. The FSA regulatory regime imposes risk management, solvency and capital requirements on U.K. insurance companies. The FSA has broad authority to supervise and regulate insurance companies which extends to enforcement of the provisions of the FSMA and intervention in the operations of an insurance company. The FSA regime is based on principles from which all of its rules and guidance derive. Among these principles, the FSA increasingly emphasizes a "culture of compliance" in those firms it regulates. The FSA carries out regular Advanced Risk Responsive Operating Framework ("ARROW") assessments of regulated firms to ensure that compliance with its rules and guidance. The FSA conducted risk assessments of Arch Insurance Company Europe in 2006 and 2008, and will continue to do so again approximately every two years, including the operations of AUAL and the Arch Syndicate 2012. The assessments provided the FSA's views on Arch Insurance Company Europe's risk
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profile and its regulatory capital requirements. In some cases, the FSA may require remedial action or adjustments to a company's management, operations, capital requirements, claims management or business plan. The FSA has announced that greater focus will be placed on senior management arrangements, systems and controls, the fair treatment of clients and making further progress towards the development of enhanced risk-based minimum capital requirements for non life insurance companies, working together with the regulatory bodies of the Member States of the European Union ("EU") and the European Commission, which acts as the initiator of action and executive body of the EU. The U.K. government announced in 2010 that the FSA will be replaced by two new agencies, the Prudential Regulation Authority ("PRA") and the Consumer Protection and Markets Authority ("CPMA"). The PRA will be responsible for prudential regulation of banks and insurers, while the CPMA will be responsible for the conduct of business regulation and the wholesale and retail markets. The legislation covering this change is anticipated during the course of 2012. Arch Insurance Company Europe and, it is anticipated, AUAL, will be subject to regulation by both the PRA and CPMA.
Lloyd's Supervision. The operations of AUAL and related Arch Syndicate 2012 and its corporate member, Arch Syndicate Investments Ltd ("ASIC"), are subject to the byelaws and regulations made by (or on behalf of) the Council of Lloyd's, and requirements made under those byelaws. The Council of Lloyd's, established in 1982 by Lloyd's Act 1982, has overall responsibility and control of Lloyd's. Those byelaws, regulations and requirements provide a framework for the regulation of the Lloyd's market, including specifying conditions in relation to underwriting and claims operations of Lloyd's participants. Lloyd's is also subject to the provisions of the FSMA and is itself authorized and regulated as an insurer by the FSA. Those entities acting within the Lloyd's market are required to comply with the requirements of the FSMA and provisions of the FSA's rules, although the FSA has delegated certain of it powers, including some of those relating to prudential requirements, to Lloyd's. ASIC, as a member of Lloyd's, is required to contribute 2.0% of Arch Syndicate 2012's premium income limit for each year of account to the Lloyd's central fund, which will reduce to 0.5% in 2012. The Lloyd's central fund is available if members of Lloyd's assets are not sufficient to meet claims for which the member is liable. As a member of Lloyd's ASIC may also be required to contribute to the central fund by way of a supplement to a callable lawyer of up to 3% of Arch Syndicate 2012's premium income limit for the relevant year of account. In addition, AUAL, on behalf of Arch Syndicate 2012, is approved to underwrite excess and surplus lines insurance in most states in the U.S. through Lloyd's licenses. Such activities must be in compliance with the Lloyd's requirements.
Financial Resources. Arch Insurance Europe is required to demonstrate to the FSA that it has adequate financial assets to meet the financial resources requirement for its category. On a periodic basis, Arch Insurance Europe is required to provide the FSA and Lloyd's with its own risk-based assessment of its capital needs, taking into account comprehensive risk factors, including market, credit, operational, liquidity and group risks to generate a revised calculation of its expected liabilities which, in turn, enable the FSA to provide individual capital guidance to Arch Insurance Europe. Arch Insurance Europe's surplus is above the risk-based capital threshold allowed by the FSA's individual capital assessment of Arch Insurance Europe. The FSA requires that Arch Insurance Europe maintain a margin of solvency calculation based on the classes of business for which it is authorized and within its premium income projections applied to its worldwide general business.
Reporting Requirements. Like all U.K. companies, Arch Insurance Europe must file and submit its annual audited financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and related reports to the Registrar of Companies under the U.K. Companies Acts together with an annual return of certain core corporate information and changes from the prior year. This requirement is in addition to the regulatory returns required to be filed annually with the FSA and, in the case of AUAL and ASIC, Lloyd's.
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Restrictions on Payment of Dividends. Under English law, all companies are restricted from declaring a dividend to their shareholders unless they have "profits available for distribution." The calculation as to whether a company has sufficient profits is based on its accumulated realized profits minus its accumulated realized losses. U.K. insurance regulatory laws do not prohibit the payment of dividends, but the FSA requires that insurance companies maintain certain solvency margins and may restrict the payment of a dividend by Arch Insurance Company Europe, AUAL or ASIC. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources" and note 18, "Statutory Information," of the notes accompanying our financial statements.
European Union Considerations. Through their respective authorizations in the U.K., a Member State of the EU, Arch Insurance Company Europe's and AUAL's authorizations are recognized throughout the European Economic Area ("EEA"), subject only to certain notification and application requirements. This authorization enables Arch Insurance Company Europe and AUAL to establish a branch in any other Member State of the EU, where it will be subject to the insurance regulations of each such Member State with respect to the conduct of its business in such Member State, but remain subject only to the financial and operational supervision by the FSA. The framework for the establishment of branches in Member States of the EU other than the U.K. was generally set forth, and remains subject to, directives adopted by the European Council, the legislative body of the EU, which directives are then implemented in each Member State. Arch Insurance Company Europe currently has branches in Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Spain and Sweden and may establish branches in other Member States of the EU in the future. Further, through its authorizations in an EU Member State, Arch Insurance Company Europe and AUAL have the freedom to provide insurance services anywhere in the EEA subject to compliance with certain rules governing such provision, including notification to the FSA.
In addition, the European Commission, which acts as the initiator of action and executive body of the EU, has introduced a new directive on insurance regulation and solvency requirements known as Solvency II. This directive was approved by the European Parliament in April 2009 and adopted by the European Council in November 2009. Currently, the European Commission, with the assistance of the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority ("EIOPA" and formerly the Committee of European Insurance Occupational Pensions Supervisors), is advising the European Commission on implementation of the Directive and undertaking a three stage process of consultation with Member State regulators and insurance firms. This is following a time table that envisages implementation of Solvency II from November 1, 2012 (with an expected deferral to January 1, 2013 with potential transitional provisions). Solvency II is a new regulatory regime which will impose economic risk-based solvency requirements across all EU Member States and consists of three pillars: (1) Pillar Iquantitative capital requirements, based on a valuation of the entire balance sheet; (2) Pillar IIqualitative regulatory review, which includes governance, internal controls, enterprise risk management and supervisory review process and (3) Pillar IIImarket discipline, which is accomplished through reporting of the insurer's financial condition to regulators and the public. Arch Insurance Europe will be required to comply with Solvency II requirements.
Canada Insurance Regulation
The Canadian branch office of Arch Insurance is subject to federal, as well as provincial and territorial, regulation in Canada. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions ("OSFI") is the federal regulatory body that, under the Insurance Companies Act (Canada), regulates federal Canadian and non-Canadian insurance companies operating in Canada. The primary goal of OSFI is to supervise the safety and soundness of insurance companies with the aim of securing the appropriate level of protection of insureds by imposing risk management, solvency and capital requirements on such companies. In addition, the Canadian branch is subject to regulation in the provinces and territories in
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which it underwrites insurance, and the primary goal of insurance regulation at the provincial and territorial levels is to govern the market conduct of insurance companies. The Canadian branch is licensed to carry on insurance business by OSFI and in each province and territory, except for Prince Edward Island.
Under the Insurance Companies Act (Canada), the Canadian branch office is required to maintain an adequate margin of assets over liabilities in Canada, calculated in accordance with a test promulgated by OSFI called the Branch Adequacy of Assets Test (or BAAT). The Canadian branch office is also required to file financial information with OSFI on an ongoing basis, including annual audited financial statements in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles and other returns and quarterly unaudited financial statements. The Canadian branch office's appointed actuary must report annually on the adequacy of the branch's reserves. OSFI's continuing supervision includes analysis of this information and periodic examinations of the Canadian branch office. OSFI has implemented a risk-based methodology for assessing insurance companies operating in Canada known as its "Supervisory Framework". In applying the Supervisory Framework, OSFI considers the inherent risks of the business and the quality of risk management for each significant activity of operating entity.
Ireland Reinsurance Regulation
General. The Central Bank of Ireland ("CBOI", which replaced the Irish Financial Services Regulatory Authority) regulates insurance and reinsurance companies authorized in Ireland, including Arch Re Europe, which was licensed and authorized by the CBOI as a non-life reinsurer in October 2008 and as a life reinsurer in November 2009.
Arch Re Europe must also comply with the European Communities (Reinsurance) Regulations, 2006, rules made thereunder and, insofar as relevant to reinsurance, the Irish Insurance Acts 1909 to 2000, regulations promulgated thereunder, regulations relating to reinsurance business promulgated under the European Communities Act 1972, the Irish Central Bank Acts 1942 to 2004 as amended, regulations promulgated thereunder and directions, guidelines and codes of conduct issued by the CBOI. Irish authorized reinsurers, such as Arch Re Europe, are also subject to the general body of Irish laws and regulations including the provisions of the Companies Acts 1963-2009.
Financial Resources. Arch Re Europe is required to maintain reserves, particularly in respect of underwriting liabilities and a solvency margin as provided for in the European Communities (Reinsurance) Regulations, 2006, related guidance and the European Communities Insurance Accounts Regulations, 1996. Assets constituting statutory reserves must comply with certain principles including obligations to secure sufficiency, liquidity, security, quality, profitability and currency matching of investments. Statutory reserves must be actuarially certified annually.
Reporting Requirements. Like most Irish companies, Arch Re Europe must file and submit its annual audited financial statements in accordance with Irish generally accepted accounting principles and related reports to the Registrar of Companies ("Registrar") under the Companies Acts 1963-2009 together with an annual return of certain core corporate information. Changes to core corporate information during the year must also be notified to the Registrar. These requirements are in addition to the regulatory returns required to be filed annually with the CBOI.
Restrictions on Payment of Dividends. Under Irish company law, Arch Re Europe is permitted to make distributions only out of profits available for distribution. A company's profits available for distribution are its accumulated, realized profits, so far as not previously utilized by distribution or capitalization, less its accumulated, realized losses, so far as not previously written off in a reduction or reorganization of capital duly made. Further, the CBOI has powers to intervene if a dividend payment were to lead to a breach of regulatory capital requirements. See "Management's Discussion and
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Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources" and note 18, "Statutory Information," of the notes accompanying our financial statements.
European Union Considerations. As a reinsurance company authorized in Ireland, a Member State of the EU, Arch Re Europe's authorization is recognized throughout the EEA, subject only to any notification requirements imposed by other EU Member States. This authorization enables Arch Re Europe to provide reinsurance services, or to establish a branch, in any other Member State of the EEA. Although, in doing so, it may be subject to the laws of such Member States with respect to the conduct of its business in such Member State, company law registrations and other matters, it will remain subject to financial and operational supervision by the CBOI only. Arch Re Bermuda has a branch in Denmark, Arch Re Accident & Health ApS ("Arch Re Denmark"), an underwriting agency. Arch Re Denmark underwrites accident and health business for Arch Re Europe. Arch Re Europe also has a branch outside the EEA, Arch Reinsurance Europe Underwriting Limited, Dublin (Ireland), Zurich Branch ("Arch Re Europe Swiss Branch").
Switzerland Reinsurance Regulation
In November 2006, Arch Re Bermuda opened Arch Reinsurance Ltd., Hamilton (Bermuda), European Branch Zurich ("Arch Re Bermuda Swiss Branch"). In December 2008, Arch Re Europe opened Arch Re Europe Swiss Branch as a branch office. Upon the opening of this branch in the fourth quarter of 2008, the operations of Arch Re Bermuda Swiss Branch were transferred to Arch Re Europe Swiss Branch. Arch Re Bermuda Swiss Branch was formally de-registered from the commercial register of the Canton of Zurich in early 2009. As both Arch Re Europe and Arch Re Bermuda are domiciled outside of Switzerland and their activities were and are limited to reinsurance, their respective branches in Switzerland were and are not required to be licensed by the Swiss insurance regulatory authorities.
European Union Insurance and Reinsurance Regulation
The single system established in the EU for regulation and supervision of the general insurance sector and its single passport regime had until 2007 applied only to direct insurance, and there was no common regulation of reinsurance in the EU. However, direct insurers established in a Member State of the EEA who were also authorized by their domestic regulatory authorities to transact reinsurance have had freedom to establish branches in and provide insurance services to all EEA states and that freedom has in practice been extended to their reinsurance activities. In December 2005, the EU published the Reinsurance Directive (the "Directive") as a first step in harmonization of reinsurance regulation in the single market. Member States of the EU and the EEA were required to implement the Directive by December 2007. Several Member States were late in the implementation of the Directive and, in a few cases, further legislation is still necessary. Pure reinsurers established in a Member State of the EU now have freedom to establish branches in and provide services to all EEA states under a regime comparable to that enjoyed by direct insurers and they will be subject to similar rules in relation to licensing and financial supervision.
Arch Insurance Company Europe and AUAL, being established in the U.K. and authorized by the FSA, are able, subject to regulatory notifications and there being no objection from the FSA and the Member States concerned, to establish branches and provide insurance and reinsurance services in all EEA Member States. Arch Re Europe, being established in Ireland and authorized by the CBOI to write reinsurance, is able, subject to similar regulatory notifications and there being no objection from the CBOI and the Member States concerned, to establish branches and provide reinsurance services in those EEA states which have implemented the Directive. The Directive itself does not prohibit EEA insurers from obtaining reinsurance from reinsurers licensed outside the EEA, such as Arch Re Bermuda. As such, and subject to the specific rules in particular Member States, Arch Re Bermuda
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may do business from Bermuda with insurers in EEA Member States, but it may not directly operate its reinsurance business within the EEA. Unless agreement is reached between the European Commission and Bermuda to accord Bermuda based reinsurers with market access on the basis of the equivalent nature of Bermuda regulation, each individual EEA Member State may impose conditions on reinsurance provided by Bermuda based reinsurers which could restrict their future provision of reinsurance to the EEA Member State concerned. A number of EEA Member States currently restrict the extent to which Bermudian reinsurers may promote their services in those Member States and a few have certain prohibitions on the purchase of insurance from reinsurers not authorized in the EEA.
The following summary of the taxation of ACGL and the taxation of our shareholders is based upon current law and is for general information only. Legislative, judicial or administrative changes may be forthcoming that could affect this summary.
The following legal discussion (including and subject to the matters and qualifications set forth in such summary) of certain tax considerations (a) under "Taxation of ACGLBermuda" and "Taxation of ShareholdersBermuda Taxation" is based upon the advice of Conyers Dill & Pearman Limited, Hamilton, Bermuda and (b) under "Taxation of ACGLUnited States," "Taxation of ShareholdersUnited States Taxation," "Taxation of Our U.S. Shareholders" and "United States Taxation of Non-U.S. Shareholders" is based upon the advice of Cahill Gordon & Reindel LLP, New York, New York (the advice of such firms does not include accounting matters, determinations or conclusions relating to the business or activities of ACGL). The summary is based upon current law and is for general information only. The tax treatment of a holder of our shares (common shares, series A non-cumulative preferred shares or series B non-cumulative preferred shares), or of a person treated as a holder of our shares for U.S. federal income, state, local or non-U.S. tax purposes, may vary depending on the holder's particular tax situation. Legislative, judicial or administrative changes or interpretations may be forthcoming that could be retroactive and could affect the tax consequences to us or to holders of our shares.
Taxation of ACGL
Bermuda
Under current Bermuda law, ACGL is not subject to tax on income or capital gains. ACGL has obtained from the Minister of Finance under the Exempted Undertakings Tax Protection Act 1966 an assurance that, in the event that Bermuda enacts legislation imposing tax computed on profits, income, any capital asset, gain or appreciation, or any tax in the nature of estate duty or inheritance, the imposition of any such tax shall not be applicable to ACGL or to any of our operations or our shares, debentures or other obligations until March 28, 2016. We could be subject to taxes in Bermuda after that date. This assurance will be subject to the proviso that it is not to be construed so as to prevent the application of any tax or duty to such persons as are ordinarily resident in Bermuda (we are not so currently affected) or to prevent the application of any tax payable in accordance with the provisions of the Land Tax Act 1967 or otherwise payable in relation to any property leased to us or our insurance subsidiary. We pay annual Bermuda government fees, and our Bermuda insurance and reinsurance subsidiary pays annual insurance license fees. In addition, all entities employing individuals in Bermuda are required to pay a payroll tax and other sundry taxes payable, directly or indirectly, to the Bermuda government.
United States
ACGL and its non-U.S. subsidiaries intend to conduct their operations in a manner that will not cause them to be treated as engaged in a trade or business in the United States and, therefore, will not
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be required to pay U.S. federal income taxes (other than U.S. excise taxes on insurance and reinsurance premium and withholding taxes on dividends and certain other U.S. source investment income). However, because definitive identification of activities which constitute being engaged in a trade or business in the U.S. is not provided by the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code"), or regulations or court decisions, there can be no assurance that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service will not contend successfully that ACGL or its non-U.S. subsidiaries are or have been engaged in a trade or business in the United States. A foreign corporation deemed to be so engaged would be subject to U.S. income tax, as well as the branch profits tax, on its income, which is treated as effectively connected with the conduct of that trade or business unless the corporation is entitled to relief under the permanent establishment provisions of a tax treaty. Such income tax, if imposed, would be based on effectively connected income computed in a manner generally analogous to that applied to the income of a domestic corporation, except that deductions and credits generally are not permitted unless the foreign corporation has timely filed a U.S. federal income tax return in accordance with applicable regulations. Penalties may be assessed for failure to file tax returns. The 30% branch profits tax is imposed on net income after subtracting the regular corporate tax and making certain other adjustments.
Under the income tax treaty between Bermuda and the United States (the "Treaty"), ACGL's Bermuda insurance subsidiaries will be subject to U.S. income tax on any insurance premium income found to be effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business only if that trade or business is conducted through a permanent establishment in the United States. No regulations interpreting the Treaty have been issued. While there can be no assurances, ACGL does not believe that any of its Bermuda insurance subsidiaries has a permanent establishment in the United States. Such subsidiaries would not be entitled to the benefits of the Treaty if (i) less than 50% of ACGL's shares were beneficially owned, directly or indirectly, by Bermuda residents or U.S. citizens or residents, or (ii) any such subsidiary's income were used in substantial part to make disproportionate distributions to, or to meet certain liabilities to, persons who are not Bermuda residents or U.S. citizens or residents. While there can be no assurances, ACGL believes that its Bermuda insurance subsidiaries are eligible for Treaty benefits.
The Treaty clearly applies to premium income, but may be construed as not protecting investment income. If ACGL's Bermuda insurance subsidiaries were considered to be engaged in a U.S. trade or business and were entitled to the benefits of the Treaty in general, but the Treaty were not found to protect investment income, a portion of such subsidiaries' investment income could be subject to U.S. federal income tax.
Non-U.S. insurance companies carrying on an insurance business within the United States have a certain minimum amount of effectively connected net investment income, determined in accordance with a formula that depends, in part, on the amount of U.S. risk insured or reinsured by such companies. If any of ACGL's non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries is considered to be engaged in the conduct of an insurance business in the United States, a significant portion of such company's investment income could be subject to U.S. income tax.
Non-U.S. corporations not engaged in a trade or business in the United States are nonetheless subject to U.S. income tax on certain "fixed or determinable annual or periodic gains, profits and income" derived from sources within the United States as enumerated in Section 881(a) of the Code (such as dividends and certain interest on investments), subject to exemption under the Code or reduction by applicable treaties.
The United States also imposes an excise tax on insurance and reinsurance premiums paid to non-U.S. insurers or reinsurers with respect to risks located in the United States. The rates of tax, unless reduced by an applicable U.S. tax treaty, are 4% for non-life insurance premiums and 1% for life insurance and all reinsurance premiums.
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United Kingdom
Our U.K. subsidiaries are companies incorporated in the U.K. and are therefore resident in the U.K. for corporation tax purposes and will be subject to U.K. corporate tax on their respective worldwide profits. The current rate of U.K. corporation tax is 28% on profits, but with progressive decreases to take effect on April 1, 2011 through 2015 from 27% to 24%.
Canada
In January 2005, Arch Insurance received its federal license to commence underwriting in Canada and began writing business in the first quarter of 2005 through its branch operation. The branch operation is taxed on net business income earned in Canada. The general federal corporate income tax rate in Canada is currently 16.5%. The general federal corporate income tax rate in Canada is legislated to be reduced to 15% in 2012. Provincial and territorial corporate income tax rates are added to the general federal corporate income tax rate and generally vary between 10% and 16%. Canadian income taxes are also creditable to our U.S. operations.
Ireland
Arch Re Europe was licensed and authorized by the CBOI as a non-life reinsurer in October 2008 and as a life reinsurer in November 2009. Arch Re Europe is incorporated and resident in Ireland for corporation tax purposes and will be subject to Irish corporate tax on its worldwide profits, including profits of its Swiss branch operations. Any Swiss tax payable will be creditable against Arch Re Europe's Irish corporate tax liability. The current rate of Irish corporation tax applicable to such profits is 12.5%.
Switzerland
Arch Re Bermuda Swiss Branch was established as a branch office of Arch Re Bermuda, but was de-registered from the commercial register of the Canton of Zurich in the first quarter of 2009. Its operations were transferred to Arch Re Europe's Swiss branch in the fourth quarter of 2008. Arch Re Bermuda Swiss Branch was, and Arch Re Europe Swiss Branch is, subject to Swiss corporation tax on the profit which is allocated to the branch. The effective tax rate is approximately 21.17% for Swiss federal, cantonal and communal corporation taxes on the profit. The effective tax for the annual cantonal and communal capital taxes on the equity which is allocated to Arch Re Bermuda is approximately 0.172%.
Denmark
Arch Re Denmark, established as a subsidiary of Arch Re Bermuda, is subject to Danish corporation taxes on its profits at a rate of 25%.
Taxation of Shareholders
The following summary sets forth certain United States federal income tax considerations related to the purchase, ownership and disposition of our common shares and our series A non-cumulative preferred shares and our series B non-cumulative preferred shares (collectively referred to as the "preferred shares"). Unless otherwise stated, this summary deals only with shareholders ("U.S. Holders") that are United States Persons (as defined below) who hold their common shares and preferred shares as capital assets and as beneficial owners. The following discussion is only a general summary of the United States federal income tax matters described herein and does not purport to address all of the United States federal income tax consequences that may be relevant to a particular shareholder in light of such shareholder's specific circumstances. In addition, the following summary does not describe the United States federal income tax consequences that may be relevant to certain
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types of shareholders, such as banks, insurance companies, regulated investment companies, real estate investment trusts, financial asset securitization investment trusts, dealers in securities or traders that adopt a mark-to-market method of tax accounting, tax exempt organizations, expatriates or persons who hold the common shares or preferred shares as part of a hedging or conversion transaction or as part of a straddle, who may be subject to special rules or treatment under the Code. This discussion is based upon the Code, the Treasury regulations promulgated thereunder and any relevant administrative rulings or pronouncements or judicial decisions, all as in effect on the date of this annual report and as currently interpreted, and does not take into account possible changes in such tax laws or interpretations thereof, which may apply retroactively. This discussion does not include any description of the tax laws of any state or local governments within the United States, or of any foreign government, that may be applicable to our common shares or preferred shares or the shareholders. Persons considering making an investment in the common shares or preferred shares should consult their own tax advisors concerning the application of the United States federal tax laws to their particular situations as well as any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or foreign taxing jurisdiction prior to making such investment.
If a partnership holds our common shares or preferred shares, the tax treatment of a partner will generally depend upon the status of the partner and the activities of the partnership. If you are a partner of a partnership holding our common shares or preferred shares, you should consult your tax advisor.
For purposes of this discussion, the term "United States Person" means:
Bermuda Taxation
Currently, there is no Bermuda withholding tax on dividends paid by us.
United States Taxation
Taxation of Dividends. The preferred shares should be properly classified as equity rather than debt for U.S. federal income tax purposes. Subject to the discussions below relating to the potential application of the CFC, "related person insurance income" ("RPII") and PFIC rules, as defined below, cash distributions, if any, made with respect to our common shares or preferred shares will constitute dividends for U.S. federal income tax purposes to the extent paid out of our current or accumulated earnings and profits (as computed using U.S. tax principles). If a U.S. Holder of our common shares or our preferred shares is an individual or other non-corporate holder, dividends paid, if any, to that holder in taxable years beginning before January 1, 2013 that constitute qualified dividend income will be taxable at the rate applicable for long-term capital gains (generally up to 15%), provided that such person meets a holding period requirement. Generally in order to meet the holding period
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requirement, the United States Person must hold the common shares for more than 60 days during the 121-day period beginning 60 days before the ex-dividend date and must hold preferred shares for more than 90 days during the 181-day period beginning 90 days before the ex-dividend date. Dividends paid, if any, with respect to common shares or preferred shares generally will be qualified dividend income, provided the common shares or preferred shares are readily tradable on an established securities market in the U.S. in the year in which the shareholder receives the dividend (which should be the case for shares that are listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange) and ACGL is not considered to be a passive foreign investment company in either the year of the distribution or the preceding taxable year. No assurance can be given that the preferred shares will be considered readily tradable on an established securities market in the United States. See "Taxation of Our U.S. Shareholders" below. After December 31, 2012, qualified dividend income will no longer be taxed at the rate applicable for long-term capital gains unless Congress enacts legislation providing otherwise.
For taxable years beginning after December 31, 2012, a U.S. Holder that is an individual, estate or a trust that does not fall into a special class of trusts that is exempt from such tax, will be subject to a 3.8% tax on the lesser of (1) the U.S. Holder's "net investment income" for the relevant taxable year and (2) the excess of the U.S. Holder's modified adjusted gross income for the taxable year over a certain threshold (which in the case of individual will be between $125,000 and $250,000, depending on the individual's circumstances). A U.S. Holder's net investment income will generally include its dividend income and its net gains from the disposition of our common shares and preferred shares, unless such dividend income or net gains are derived in the ordinary course of the conduct of a trade or business (other than a trade or business that consists of certain passive or trading activities).
Distributions with respect to the common shares and the preferred shares will not be eligible for the dividends-received deduction allowed to U.S. corporations under the Code. To the extent distributions on our common shares and preferred shares exceed our earnings and profits, they will be treated first as a return of the U.S. Holder's basis in our common shares and our preferred shares to the extent thereof, and then as gain from the sale of a capital asset.
Sale, Exchange or Other Disposition. Subject to the discussions below relating to the potential application of the CFC, RPII and PFIC rules, holders of common shares and preferred shares generally will recognize capital gain or loss for U.S. federal income tax purposes on the sale, exchange or disposition of common shares or preferred shares, as applicable.
Redemption of Preferred Shares. A redemption of the preferred shares will be treated under section 302 of the Code as a dividend if we have sufficient earnings and profits, unless the redemption satisfies one of the tests set forth in section 302(b) of the Code enabling the redemption to be treated as a sale or exchange, subject to the discussion herein relating to the potential application of the CFC, RPII and PFIC rules. Under the relevant Code section 302(b) tests, the redemption should be treated as a sale or exchange only if it (1) is substantially disproportionate, (2) constitutes a complete termination of the holder's stock interest in us or (3) is "not essentially equivalent to a dividend." In determining whether any of these tests are met, shares considered to be owned by the holder by reason of certain constructive ownership rules set forth in the Code, as well as shares actually owned, must generally be taken into account. It may be more difficult for a United States Person who owns, actually or constructively by operation of the attribution rules, any of our other shares to satisfy any of the above requirements. The determination as to whether any of the alternative tests of section 302(b) of the Code is satisfied with respect to a particular holder of the preference shares depends on the facts and circumstances as of the time the determination is made.
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Taxation of Our U.S. Shareholders
Controlled Foreign Corporation Rules
Under our bye-laws, the 9.9% voting restriction applicable to the Controlled Shares of a U.S. Person (as defined in our bye-laws) generally does not apply to certain of our investors. Depending upon the ownership of these investors and as a result of certain attribution rules, we and our foreign subsidiaries could be controlled foreign corporations ("CFCs"). That status as a CFC would not cause us or any of our subsidiaries to be subject to U.S. federal income tax. Such status also would have no adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences for any U.S. Holder that is considered to own less than 10% of the total combined voting power of our shares or those of our foreign subsidiaries. Only U.S. Holders that are considered to own 10% or more of the total combined voting power of our shares or those of our foreign subsidiaries (taking into account shares actually owned by such U.S. Holder as well as shares attributed to such U.S. Holder under the Code or the regulations thereunder) (a "10% U.S. Voting Shareholder") would be affected by our status as a CFC. The preferred shares generally should not be considered voting stock for purposes of determining whether a United States Person would be a "10% U.S. Voting Shareholder." The shares may, however, become entitled to vote (as a class along with any other class of preferred shares of ACGL then outstanding) for the election of two additional members of the board of directors of ACGL if ACGL does not declare and pay dividends for the equivalent of six or more dividend periods. In such case, the preferred shares should be treated as voting stock for as long as such voting rights continue. Our bye-laws are intended to prevent any U.S. Holder from being considered a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder by limiting the votes conferred by the Controlled Shares (as defined in our bye-laws) of any U.S. Person to 9.9% of the total voting power of all our shares entitled to vote. However, because under our bye-laws certain funds associated with Warburg Pincus and Hellman & Friedman generally are entitled to vote their directly owned common shares in full, a U.S. Holder that is attributed (under the Code or the regulations thereunder) common shares owned by such funds may be considered a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder. If you are a direct or indirect investor in a fund associated with Warburg Pincus or Hellman & Friedman, additional common shares could be attributed to you for purposes of determining whether you are considered to be a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder. If we are a CFC, a U.S. Holder that is considered a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder would be subject to current U.S. federal income taxation (at ordinary income tax rates) to the extent of all or a portion of the undistributed earnings and profits of ACGL and our subsidiaries attributable to "subpart F income" (including certain insurance premium income and investment income) and may be taxable at ordinary income tax rates on any gain realized on a sale or other disposition (including by way of repurchase or liquidation) of our shares to the extent of the current and accumulated earnings and profits attributable to such shares.
While our bye-laws are intended to prevent any member from being considered a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder (except as described above), there can be no assurance that a U.S. Holder will not be treated as a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder, by attribution or otherwise, under the Code or any applicable regulations thereunder. See "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to TaxationU.S. persons who hold our common shares or preferred shares may be subject to U.S. income taxation at ordinary income rates on our undistributed earnings and profits."
Related Person Insurance Income Rules
Generally, we do not expect the gross RPII (related person insurance income) of any of our non-U.S. subsidiaries to equal or exceed 20% of its gross insurance income in any taxable year for the foreseeable future and do not expect the direct or indirect insureds (and related persons) of any such subsidiary to directly or indirectly own 20% or more of either the voting power or value of our stock. Consequently, we do not expect any U.S. person owning common shares or preferred shares to be required to include in gross income for U.S. federal income tax purposes RPII income, but there can be no assurance that this will be the case.
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Section 953(c)(7) of the Code generally provides that Section 1248 of the Code (which generally would require a U.S. Holder to treat certain gains attributable to the sale, exchange or disposition of common shares or preferred shares as a dividend) will apply to the sale or exchange by a U.S. shareholder of shares in a foreign corporation that is characterized as a CFC under the RPII rules if the foreign corporation would be taxed as an insurance company if it were a domestic corporation, regardless of whether the U.S. shareholder is a 10% U.S. Voting Shareholder or whether the corporation qualifies for either the RPII 20% ownership exception or the RPII 20% gross income exception. Although existing Treasury Department regulations do not address the question, proposed Treasury regulations issued in April 1991 create some ambiguity as to whether Section 1248 and the requirement to file Form 5471 would apply when the foreign corporation has a foreign insurance subsidiary that is a CFC for RPII purposes and that would be taxed as an insurance company if it were a domestic corporation. We believe that Section 1248 and the requirement to file Form 5471 will not apply to a less than 10% U.S. Shareholder because ACGL is not directly engaged in the insurance business. There can be no assurance, however, that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service will interpret the proposed regulations in this manner or that the Treasury Department will not take the position that Section 1248 and the requirement to file Form 5471 will apply to dispositions of our common shares or our preferred shares.
If the U.S. Internal Revenue Service or U.S. Treasury Department were to make Section 1248 and the Form 5471 filing requirement applicable to the sale of our shares, we would notify shareholders that Section 1248 of the Code and the requirement to file Form 5471 will apply to dispositions of our shares. Thereafter, we would send a notice after the end of each calendar year to all persons who were shareholders during the year notifying them that Section 1248 and the requirement to file Form 5471 apply to dispositions of our shares by U.S. Holders. We would attach to this notice a copy of Form 5471 completed with all our information and instructions for completing the shareholder information.
Tax-Exempt Shareholders
Tax-exempt entities may be required to treat certain Subpart F insurance income, including RPII, that is includible in income by the tax-exempt entity as unrelated business taxable income. Prospective investors that are tax exempt entities are urged to consult their tax advisors as to the potential impact of the unrelated business taxable income provisions of the Code.
Passive Foreign Investment Companies
Sections 1291 through 1298 of the Code contain special rules applicable with respect to foreign corporations that are "passive foreign investment companies" ("PFICs"). In general, a foreign corporation will be a PFIC if 75% or more of its income constitutes "passive income" or 50% or more of its assets produce passive income. If we were to be characterized as a PFIC, U.S. Holders would be subject to a penalty tax at the time of their sale of (or receipt of an "excess distribution" with respect to) their common shares or preferred shares. In general, a shareholder receives an "excess distribution" if the amount of the distribution is more than 125% of the average distribution with respect to the shares during the three preceding taxable years (or shorter period during which the taxpayer held the stock). In general, the penalty tax is equivalent to an interest charge on taxes that are deemed due during the period the shareholder owned the shares, computed by assuming that the excess distribution or gain (in the case of a sale) with respect to the shares was taxable in equal portions throughout the holder's period of ownership. The interest charge is equal to the applicable rate imposed on underpayments of U.S. federal income tax for such period. A U.S. shareholder may avoid some of the adverse tax consequences of owning shares in a PFIC by making a qualified electing fund ("QEF")
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election. A QEF election is revocable only with the consent of the IRS and has the following consequences to a shareholder:
The PFIC statutory provisions contain an express exception for income "derived in the active conduct of an insurance business by a corporation which is predominantly engaged in an insurance business..." This exception is intended to ensure that income derived by a bona fide insurance company is not treated as passive income, except to the extent such income is attributable to financial reserves in excess of the reasonable needs of the insurance business. The PFIC statutory provisions contain a look-through rule that states that, for purposes of determining whether a foreign corporation is a PFIC, such foreign corporation shall be treated as if it "received directly its proportionate share of the income" and as if it "held its proportionate share of the assets" of any other corporation in which it owns at least 25% of the stock. We believe that we are not a PFIC, and we will use reasonable best efforts to cause us and each of our non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries not to constitute a PFIC.
No regulations interpreting the substantive PFIC provisions have yet been issued. Each U.S. Holder should consult his tax advisor as to the effects of these rules.
United States Taxation of Non-U.S. Shareholders
Taxation of Dividends
Cash distributions, if any, made with respect to common shares or preferred shares held by shareholders who are not United States Persons ("Non-U.S. holders") generally will not be subject to United States withholding tax.
Sale, Exchange or Other Disposition
Non-U.S. holders of common shares or preferred shares generally will not be subject to U.S. federal income tax with respect to gain realized upon the sale, exchange or other disposition of such shares unless such gain is effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business of the Non-U.S. holder in the United States or such person is present in the United States for 183 days or more in the taxable year the gain is realized and certain other requirements are satisfied.
Information Reporting and Backup Withholding
Non-U.S. holders of common shares or preferred shares will not be subject to U.S. information reporting or backup withholding with respect to dispositions of common shares effected through a non-U.S. office of a broker, unless the broker has certain connections to the United States or is a United States person. No U.S. backup withholding will apply to payments of dividends, if any, on our common shares or our preferred shares.
Other Tax Laws
Shareholders should consult their own tax advisors with respect to the applicability to them of the tax laws of other jurisdictions.
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Set forth below are risk factors relating to our business. You should also refer to the other information provided in this report, including our "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and our accompanying consolidated financial statements, as well as the information under the heading "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements."
Risks Relating to Our Industry
We operate in a highly competitive environment, and we may not be able to compete successfully in our industry.
The insurance and reinsurance industry is highly competitive. We compete with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers and reinsurers, many of which have greater financial, marketing and management resources than we do, as well as other potential providers of capital willing to assume insurance and/or reinsurance risk. We also compete with new companies that continue to be formed to enter the insurance and reinsurance markets. In our insurance business, we compete with insurers that provide specialty property and casualty lines of insurance, including ACE Limited, Allied World Assurance Company, Ltd., Alterra Capital Holdings Limited, Argo Insurance Group, AXIS Capital Holdings Limited, Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., Chartis Inc., Chubb Corporation, Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd., The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc., Ironshore Inc., Lloyd's, The Travelers Companies, Validus Holdings Ltd, W.R. Berkley Corp., XL Capital Ltd. and Zurich Insurance Group. In our reinsurance business, we compete with reinsurers that provide property and casualty lines of reinsurance, including ACE Limited, Alterra Capital Holdings Limited, Argo International Holdings, Ltd., AXIS Capital Holdings Limited, Berkshire Hathaway, Inc., Endurance Specialty Holdings Ltd., Everest Re Group Ltd., Hannover Rückversicherung AG, Lloyd's, Montpelier Re Holdings Ltd., Munich Re Group, PartnerRe Ltd., Platinum Underwriters Holdings, Ltd., RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd., Swiss Reinsurance Company, Transatlantic Holdings, Inc., Validus Holdings Ltd and XL Capital Ltd. We do not believe that we have a significant market share in any of our markets.
Financial institutions and other capital markets participants also offer alternative products and services similar to our own or alternative products that compete with insurance and reinsurance products. In addition, we may not be aware of other companies that may be planning to enter the segments of the insurance and reinsurance market in which we operate.
Our competitive position is based on many factors, including our perceived overall financial strength, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, geographic scope of business, client and broker relationships, premiums charged, contract terms and conditions, products and services offered (including the ability to design customized programs), speed of claims payment, reputation, experience and qualifications of employees and local presence. We may not be successful in competing with others on any of these bases, and the intensity of competition in our industry may erode profitability and result in less favorable policy terms and conditions for insurance and reinsurance companies generally, including us.
The insurance and reinsurance industry is highly cyclical, and we expect to continue to experience periods characterized by excess underwriting capacity and unfavorable premium rates.
Historically, insurers and reinsurers have experienced significant fluctuations in operating results due to competition, frequency of occurrence or severity of catastrophic events, levels of capacity, general economic conditions, changes in equity, debt and other investment markets, changes in legislation, case law and prevailing concepts of liability and other factors. In particular, demand for reinsurance is influenced significantly by the underwriting results of primary insurers and prevailing general economic conditions. The supply of insurance and reinsurance is related to prevailing prices
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and levels of surplus capacity that, in turn, may fluctuate in response to changes in rates of return being realized in the insurance and reinsurance industry on both underwriting and investment sides. As a result, the insurance and reinsurance business historically has been a cyclical industry characterized by periods of intense price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity as well as periods when shortages of capacity permitted favorable premium levels and changes in terms and conditions. The supply of insurance and reinsurance has increased over the past several years and may increase further, either as a result of capital provided by new entrants or by the commitment of additional capital by existing insurers or reinsurers. Continued increases in the supply of insurance and reinsurance may have consequences for us, including fewer contracts written, lower premium rates, increased expenses for customer acquisition and retention, and less favorable policy terms and conditions.
We could face unanticipated losses from war, terrorism and political instability, and these or other unanticipated losses could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
We have substantial exposure to unexpected, large losses resulting from future man-made catastrophic events, such as acts of war, acts of terrorism and political instability. These risks are inherently unpredictable. It is difficult to predict the timing of such events with statistical certainty or estimate the amount of loss any given occurrence will generate. In certain instances, we specifically insure and reinsure risks resulting from acts of terrorism. Even in cases where we attempt to exclude losses from terrorism and certain other similar risks from some coverages written by us, we may not be successful in doing so. Moreover, irrespective of the clarity and inclusiveness of policy language, there can be no assurance that a court or arbitration panel will not limit enforceability of policy language or otherwise issue a ruling adverse to us. Accordingly, while we believe our reinsurance programs, together with the coverage provided under TRIPRA, are sufficient to reasonably limit our net losses relating to potential future terrorist attacks, we can offer no assurance that our available capital will be adequate to cover losses when they materialize. To the extent that an act of terrorism is certified by the Secretary of the Treasury, our U.S. insurance operations may be covered under TRIPRA for up to 85% of its losses for 2010 and future years, in each case subject to a mandatory deductible of 20% for 2010 through 2014. If an act (or acts) of terrorism result in covered losses exceeding the $100 billion annual limit, insurers with losses exceeding their deductibles will not be responsible for additional losses. It is not possible to completely eliminate our exposure to unforecasted or unpredictable events, and to the extent that losses from such risks occur, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
The insurance and reinsurance industry is subject to regulatory and legislative initiatives or proposals from time to time which could adversely affect our business.
From time to time, various regulatory and legislative changes have been proposed in the insurance and reinsurance industry. Among the proposals that have in the past been or are at present being considered are the possible introduction of federal regulation in addition to, or in lieu of, the current system of state regulation of insurers.
The extreme turmoil in the financial markets has increased the likelihood of changes in the way the financial services industry is regulated. Governmental authorities in the U.S. and worldwide have become increasingly interested in potential risks posed by the insurance industry as a whole, and to commercial and financial systems in general. While we cannot predict the exact nature, timing or scope of possible governmental initiatives, there may be increased regulatory intervention in our industry in the future. For example, the U.S. federal government has increased its scrutiny of the insurance regulatory framework in recent years, and some state legislators have considered or enacted laws that will alter and likely increase state regulation of insurance and reinsurance companies and holding companies. Moreover, the NAIC, which is an association of the insurance commissioners of all 50 states and the District of Columbia and state regulators, regularly reexamine existing laws and
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regulations. There are also a variety of proposals being considered by various state legislatures. Solvency II, the EU regulatory regime which was enacted in November 2009, imposes new solvency and governance requirements across all EU Member States and is expected to be implemented in January 2013. Solvency II imposes significant requirements for our EU-based regulated companies which require substantial documentation and implementation effort. Regulators in Bermuda and other jurisdictions in which we operate are also considering various proposals for financial and regulatory reform. The BMA has implemented and is expected to propose additional requirements on the companies it regulates, such as Arch Re Bermuda, as part of its efforts to achieve equivalence under Solvency II. The future impact of such initiatives, if any, on our results of operations or our financial condition cannot be determined at this time. We are unable to predict whether any of these laws and regulations will be adopted, the form in which any such laws and regulations would be adopted, or the effect, if any, these developments would have on our operations and financial condition.
Claims for catastrophic events could cause large losses and substantial volatility in our results of operations, and, as a result, the value of our securities, including our common shares and preferred shares, may fluctuate widely, and could have a material adverse effect on our financial position and results of operations.
We have large aggregate exposures to natural and man-made catastrophic events. Catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, floods, windstorms, earthquakes, hailstorms, tornados, explosions, severe winter weather, fires, droughts and other natural disasters. Catastrophes can also cause losses in non-property business such as workers' compensation or general liability. In addition to the nature of the property business, we believe that economic and geographic trends affecting insured property, including inflation, property value appreciation and geographic concentration tend to generally increase the size of losses from catastrophic events over time. Our actual losses from catastrophic events which may occur may vary materially from our current estimates due to the inherent uncertainties in making such determinations resulting from several factors, including the potential inaccuracies and inadequacies in the data provided by clients, brokers and ceding companies, the modeling techniques and the application of such techniques, the contingent nature of business interruption exposures, the effects of any resultant demand surge on claims activity and attendant coverage issues.
In addition, over the past several years, changing weather patterns and climatic conditions, such as global warming, have added to the unpredictability and frequency of natural disasters in certain parts of the world and created additional uncertainty as to future trends and exposures. Although the loss experience of catastrophe insurers and reinsurers has historically been characterized as low frequency, there is a growing consensus today that climate change increases the frequency and severity of extreme weather events and, in recent years, the frequency of major catastrophes appears to have increased. Claims for catastrophic events could expose us to large losses and cause substantial volatility in our results of operations, which could cause the value of our securities, including our common shares and preferred shares, to fluctuate widely.
Underwriting claims and reserving for losses are based on probabilities and related modeling, which are subject to inherent uncertainties.
Our success is dependent upon our ability to assess accurately the risks associated with the businesses that we insure and reinsure. We establish reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses which represent estimates involving actuarial and statistical projections, at a given point in time, of our expectations of the ultimate settlement and administration costs of losses incurred. We utilize actuarial models as well as available historical insurance industry loss ratio experience and loss development patterns to assist in the establishment of loss reserves. Actual losses and loss adjustment expenses paid will deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements.
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If our loss reserves are determined to be inadequate, we will be required to increase loss reserves at the time of such determination with a corresponding reduction in our net income in the period in which the deficiency becomes known. It is possible that claims in respect of events that have occurred could exceed our claim reserves and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, in a particular period, or our financial condition in general. As a compounding factor, although most insurance contracts have policy limits, the nature of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance is such that losses can exceed policy limits for a variety of reasons and could significantly exceed the premiums received on the underlying policies, thereby further adversely affecting our financial condition.
As of December 31, 2010, our reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, were approximately $6.40 billion. Such reserves were established in accordance with applicable insurance laws and GAAP. Loss reserves are inherently subject to uncertainty. In establishing the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, we have made various assumptions relating to the pricing of our reinsurance contracts and insurance policies and have also considered available historical industry experience and current industry conditions. Any estimates and assumptions made as part of the reserving process could prove to be inaccurate due to several factors, including the fact that relatively limited historical information has been reported to us through December 31, 2010.
The failure of any of the loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
We have large aggregate exposures to natural and man-made catastrophic events. Catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, floods, windstorms, earthquakes, hailstorms, tornados, explosions, severe winter weather, fires, droughts and other natural disasters. Catastrophes can also cause losses in non-property business such as workers' compensation or general liability. In addition to the nature of property business, we believe that economic and geographic trends affecting insured property, including inflation, property value appreciation and geographic concentration, tend to generally increase the size of losses from catastrophic events over time.
We have substantial exposure to unexpected, large losses resulting from future man-made catastrophic events, such as acts of war, acts of terrorism and political instability. These risks are inherently unpredictable. It is difficult to predict the timing of such events with statistical certainty or estimate the amount of loss any given occurrence will generate. It is not possible to completely eliminate our exposure to unforecasted or unpredictable events and, to the extent that losses from such risks occur, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected. Therefore, claims for natural and man-made catastrophic events could expose us to large losses and cause substantial volatility in our results of operations, which could cause the value of our common shares to fluctuate widely. In certain instances, we specifically insure and reinsure risks resulting from terrorism. Even in cases where we attempt to exclude losses from terrorism and certain other similar risks from some coverages written by us, we may not be successful in doing so. Moreover, irrespective of the clarity and inclusiveness of policy language, there can be no assurance that a court or arbitration panel will limit enforceability of policy language or otherwise issue a ruling adverse to us.
We seek to limit our loss exposure by writing a number of our reinsurance contracts on an excess of loss basis, adhering to maximum limitations on reinsurance written in defined geographical zones, limiting program size for each client and prudent underwriting of each program written. In the case of proportional treaties, we may seek per occurrence limitations or loss ratio caps to limit the impact of losses from any one or series of events. In our insurance operations, we seek to limit our exposure through the purchase of reinsurance. We cannot be certain that any of these loss limitation methods will be effective. We also seek to limit our loss exposure by geographic diversification. Geographic zone limitations involve significant underwriting judgments, including the determination of the area of the
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zones and the inclusion of a particular policy within a particular zone's limits. There can be no assurance that various provisions of our policies, such as limitations or exclusions from coverage or choice of forum, will be enforceable in the manner we intend. Disputes relating to coverage and choice of legal forum may also arise. Underwriting is inherently a matter of judgment, involving important assumptions about matters that are inherently unpredictable and beyond our control, and for which historical experience and probability analysis may not provide sufficient guidance. One or more catastrophic or other events could result in claims that substantially exceed our expectations, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or our results of operations, possibly to the extent of eliminating our shareholders' equity.
For our natural catastrophe exposed business, we seek to limit the amount of exposure we will assume from any one insured or reinsured and the amount of the exposure to catastrophe losses from a single event in any geographic zone. We monitor our exposure to catastrophic events, including earthquake and wind, and periodically reevaluate the estimated probable maximum pre-tax loss for such exposures. Our estimated probable maximum pre-tax loss is determined through the use of modeling techniques, but such estimate does not represent our total potential loss for such exposures. Our models employ both proprietary and vendor-based systems and include cross-line correlations for property, marine, offshore energy, aviation, workers compensation and personal accident. We seek to limit the probable maximum pre-tax loss to a specific level for severe catastrophic events. Currently, we seek to limit our 1-in-250 year return period net probable maximum loss from a severe catastrophic event in any geographic zone to approximately 25% of total shareholders' equity. We reserve the right to change this threshold at any time. Net probable maximum loss estimates are net of expected reinsurance recoveries, before income tax and before excess reinsurance reinstatement premiums. Loss estimates are reflective of the zone indicated and not the entire portfolio. Since hurricanes and windstorms can affect more than one zone and make multiple landfalls, our loss estimates include clash estimates from other zones. Our loss estimates do not represent our maximum exposures and it is highly likely that our actual incurred losses would vary materially from the modeled estimates. There can be no assurances that we will not suffer pre-tax losses greater than 25% of our total shareholders' equity from one or more catastrophic events due to several factors, including the inherent uncertainties in estimating the frequency and severity of such events and the margin of error in making such determinations resulting from potential inaccuracies and inadequacies in the data provided by clients and brokers, the modeling techniques and the application of such techniques or as a result of a decision to change the percentage of shareholders' equity exposed to a single catastrophic event. Catastrophe modeling is a relatively new discipline that utilizes a mix of historical data, scientific theory and mathematical methods. We believe that there is considerable uncertainty in the data and parameter inputs for insurance industry catastrophe models. In that regard, there is no universal standard in the preparation of insured data for use in the models and the running of modeling software. In our view, the accuracy of the models depends heavily on the availability of detailed insured loss data from actual recent large catastrophes. Due to the limited number of events, there is significant potential for substantial differences between the modeled loss estimate and actual company experience for a single large catastrophic event. This potential difference could be even greater for perils with less modeled annual frequency, such as U.S. earthquake, or less modeled annual severity, such as European windstorm. We are also reliant upon third-party estimates of industry insured exposures and there is significant variation possible around the relationship between our loss and that of the industry following a catastrophic event. In addition, actual losses may increase if our reinsurers fail to meet their obligations to us or the reinsurance protections purchased by us are exhausted or are otherwise unavailable. See "Risk FactorsRisk Relating to Our Industry" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsNatural and Man-Made Catastrophic Events." Depending on business opportunities and the mix of business that may comprise our insurance and reinsurance portfolio, we may seek to adjust our self-imposed limitations on probable maximum pre-tax loss for catastrophe exposed business.
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The risk associated with reinsurance underwriting could adversely affect us.
Like other reinsurers, our reinsurance group does not separately evaluate each of the individual risks assumed under reinsurance treaties. Therefore, we are largely dependent on the original underwriting decisions made by ceding companies. We are subject to the risk that the ceding companies may not have adequately evaluated the risks to be reinsured and that the premiums ceded may not adequately compensate us for the risks we assume.
While reinsurance and retrocessional coverage will be used to limit our exposure to risks, the availability of such arrangements may be limited, and counterparty credit and other risks associated with our reinsurance arrangements may result in losses which could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
For the purposes of managing risk, we use reinsurance and also may use retrocessional arrangements. In the normal course of business, our insurance subsidiaries cede a portion of their premiums through pro rata, excess of loss and facultative reinsurance agreements. Our reinsurance subsidiaries purchase a limited amount of retrocessional coverage as part of their aggregate risk management program. In addition, our reinsurance subsidiaries participate in "common account" retrocessional arrangements for certain pro rata treaties. Such arrangements reduce the effect of individual or aggregate losses to all companies participating on such treaties, including the reinsurers, such as our reinsurance subsidiaries, and the ceding company. The availability and cost of reinsurance and retrocessional protection is subject to market conditions, which are beyond our control. As a result of such market conditions and other factors, we may not be able to successfully mitigate risk through reinsurance and retrocessional arrangements.
Further, we are subject to credit risk with respect to our reinsurance and retrocessions because the ceding of risk to reinsurers and retrocessionaires does not relieve us of our liability to the clients or companies we insure or reinsure. We monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers and attempt to place coverages only with carriers we view as substantial and financially sound. Although we have not experienced any material credit losses to date, an inability of our reinsurers or retrocessionnaires to meet their obligations to us could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. Our losses for a given event or occurrence may increase if our reinsurers or retrocessionaires dispute or fail to meet their obligations to us or the reinsurance or retrocessional protections purchased by us are exhausted or are otherwise unavailable for any reason. Our failure to establish adequate reinsurance or retrocessional arrangements or the failure of our existing reinsurance or retrocessional arrangements to protect us from overly concentrated risk exposure could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
Our reliance on brokers subjects us to their credit risk.
In accordance with industry practice, we generally pay amounts owed on claims under our insurance and reinsurance contracts to brokers, and these brokers, in turn, pay these amounts to the clients that have purchased insurance or reinsurance from us. In some jurisdictions, if a broker fails to make such payment, we may remain liable to the insured or ceding insurer for the deficiency. Likewise, in certain jurisdictions, when the insured or ceding company pays the premiums for these contracts to brokers for payment to us, these premiums are considered to have been paid and the insured or ceding company will no longer be liable to us for those amounts, whether or not we have actually received the premiums from the broker. Consequently, we assume a degree of credit risk associated with our brokers. To date, we have not experienced any losses related to this credit risk.
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We cannot predict the effect that certain investigations and litigation currently being conducted by state insurance regulatory authorities and others will have on the industry or our business, and the effects of emerging claims and coverage issues and certain proposed legislation are uncertain.
Although there is still pending certain civil litigation arising out of the investigation by the New York Attorney General and others into contingent commission payments to brokers (and the disclosures relating to such payments), alleged "bid-rigging," alleged "steering," and other practices in the insurance industry, a number of brokers announced that they have reached agreement with the New York Attorney General and other state insurance regulatory authorities that would allow them to collect contingent commissions once again. However, we cannot predict the effect that this agreement, the pending civil litigation, any current or future government investigations or prosecutions and/or resulting changes in insurance practices (including future legislation and/or regulations that may become applicable to our business) will have on the insurance industry, the regulatory framework or our business.
The effects of emerging claims and coverage issues are uncertain. The insurance industry is also affected by political, judicial and legal developments which have in the past resulted in new or expanded theories of liability. These or other changes could impose new financial obligations on us by extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent or otherwise require us to make unplanned modifications to the products and services that we provide, or cause the delay or cancellation of products and services that we provide. In some instances, these changes may not become apparent until some time after we have issued insurance or reinsurance contracts that are affected by the changes. As a result, the full extent of liability under our insurance or reinsurance contracts may not be known for many years after a contract is issued. The effects of unforeseen developments or substantial government intervention could adversely impact our ability to achieve our goals.
Changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements may materially impact our reported financial results.
Developments in accounting practices, for example a convergence of U.S. GAAP with IFRS may require considerable additional expense to comply with, particularly if we are required to prepare information relating to prior periods for comparable purposes or to apply the new requirements retroactively. The impact of changes in current accounting practices and future pronouncements cannot be predicted, but may affect the results of our operations, including among other things, the calculation of net income.
Risks Relating to Our Company
Our success will depend on our ability to maintain and enhance effective operating procedures and internal controls and ERM program.
We continue to enhance our operating procedures and internal controls (including the timely and successful implementation of our information technology initiatives, which include the implementation of improved computerized systems and programs to replace and support manual systems, and including controls over financial reporting) to effectively support our business and our regulatory and reporting requirements. Our management does not expect that our disclosure controls or our internal controls will prevent all errors and all fraud. A control system, no matter how well conceived and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the objectives of the control system are met. Further, the design of a control system must reflect the fact that there are resource constraints, and the benefits of controls must be considered relative to their costs. As a result of the inherent limitations in all control systems, no evaluation of controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud, if any, within the company have been detected. These inherent limitations include the realities that judgments in decision-making can be faulty, and that breakdowns can occur because of
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simple error or mistake. Additionally, controls can be circumvented by the individual acts of some persons or by collusion of two or more people. The design of any system of controls also is based in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions; over time, controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. As a result of the inherent limitations in a cost-effective control system, misstatement due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected. Accordingly, our disclosure controls and procedures are designed to provide reasonable, not absolute, assurance that the disclosure controls and procedures are met.
We operate within an ERM framework designed to assess and monitor our risks. However, there can be no assurance that we can effectively review and monitor all risks or that all of our employees will operate within the ERM framework. There can be no assurance that our ERM framework will result in us accurately identifying all risks and accurately limiting our exposures based on our assessments.
A downgrade in our ratings or our inability to obtain a rating for our operating insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries may adversely affect our relationships with clients and brokers and negatively impact sales of our products.
Our operating insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are rated by ratings agencies. Brokers negotiate contracts of insurance between insured and insurer on behalf of the insured and intermediaries negotiate contracts of reinsurance between a primary insurer and reinsurer, on behalf of the primary insurer. Third-party rating agencies, such as A.M. Best, assess and rate the financial strength of insurers and reinsurers based upon criteria established by the rating agencies, which criteria are subject to change. Ratings are an important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance and reinsurance companies. Insureds, insurers, ceding insurers and intermediaries use these ratings as one measure by which to assess the financial strength and quality of insurers and reinsurers. These ratings are often an important factor in the decision by an insured, ceding insurer, broker or intermediary of whether to place business with a particular insurance or reinsurance provider. Our financial strength ratings are subject to periodic review as rating agencies evaluate us to confirm that we continue to meet their criteria for ratings assigned to us by them. Such ratings may be revised downward or revoked at the sole discretion of such ratings agencies in response to a variety of factors, including a minimum capital adequacy ratio, management, earnings, capitalization and risk profile. We can offer no assurances that our ratings will remain at their current levels. A ratings downgrade or the potential for such a downgrade, or failure to obtain a necessary rating, could adversely affect both our relationships with agents, brokers, wholesalers, intermediaries and other distributors of our existing products and services and new sales of our products and services. In addition, under certain of the reinsurance agreements assumed by our reinsurance operations, upon the occurrence of a ratings downgrade or other specified triggering event with respect to our reinsurance operations, such as a reduction in surplus by specified amounts during specified periods, our ceding company clients may be provided with certain rights, including, among other things, the right to terminate the subject reinsurance agreement and/or to require that our reinsurance operations post additional collateral. Any ratings downgrade or failure to obtain a necessary rating could adversely affect our ability to compete in our markets, could cause our premiums and earnings to decrease and have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations. In addition, a downgrade in ratings of certain of our operating subsidiaries would in certain cases constitute an event of default under our credit facilities. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsContractual Obligations and Commercial CommitmentsLetter of Credit and Revolving Credit Facilities" for a discussion of our credit facilities.
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In light of the difficulties experienced recently by many financial institutions, including our competitors in the insurance industry, we believe it is possible that rating agencies may heighten the level of scrutiny they apply when analyzing companies in our industry, may increase the frequency and scope of their reviews, may request additional information from the companies that they rate (including additional information regarding the valuation of investment securities held), and may adjust upward the capital and other requirements employed in their models for maintenance of certain rating levels.
The loss of our key employees or our inability to retain them could negatively impact our business.
Our success has been, and will continue to be, dependent on our ability to retain the services of our existing key executive officers and to attract and retain additional qualified personnel in the future. The pool of talent from which we actively recruit is limited. Although, to date, we have not experienced difficulties in attracting and retaining key personnel, the inability to attract and retain qualified personnel when available and the loss of services of key personnel could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. In addition, our underwriting staff is critical to our success in the production of business. While we do not consider any of our key executive officers or underwriters to be irreplaceable, the loss of the services of our key executive officers or underwriters or the inability to hire and retain other highly qualified personnel in the future could delay or prevent us from fully implementing our business strategy which could affect our financial performance. We are not aware of any intentions of any of our key personnel that would cause them no longer to provide their professional services to us in the near future.
The preparation of our financial statements requires us to make many estimates and judgments, which are even more difficult than those made in a mature company since relatively limited historical information has been reported to us through December 31, 2010.
The preparation of consolidated financial statements requires us to make many estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities (including reserves), revenues and expenses, and related disclosures of contingent liabilities. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our estimates, including those related to revenue recognition, insurance and other reserves, reinsurance recoverables, investment valuations, intangible assets, bad debts, income taxes, contingencies and litigation. We base our estimates on historical experience, where possible, and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, which form the basis for our judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Estimates and judgments for a relatively new insurance and reinsurance company, like our company, are even more difficult to make than those made in a mature company since relatively limited historical information has been reported to us through December 31, 2010. Instead, our current loss reserves are primarily based on estimates involving actuarial and statistical projections of our expectations of the ultimate settlement and administration costs of claims incurred but not yet reported. We utilize actuarial models as well as historical insurance industry loss development patterns to establish our initial loss reserves. Over time, other common reserving methodologies have begun to be employed. Actual claims and claim expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from the reserve estimates reflected in our financial statements.
The price of our common shares may be volatile.
There has been significant volatility in the market for equity securities. During 2010 and 2009, the price of our common shares fluctuated from a low of $65.70 to a high of $92.05 and from a low of $44.68 to a high of $72.25, respectively. On February 24, 2011, our common shares closed at a price of $87.56. The price of our common shares may not remain at or exceed current levels. The following
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factors, in addition to those described in other risk factors above, may have an adverse impact on the market price of our common stock:
Stock markets in the United States continue to experience volatile price and volume fluctuations. Such fluctuations, as well as general political conditions, the current poor economic conditions or interest rate or currency rate fluctuations, could adversely affect the market price of our stock.
Adverse developments in the financial markets could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial position and our businesses, and may also limit our access to capital; our policyholders, reinsurers and retrocessionaires may also be affected by such developments, which could adversely affect their ability to meet their obligations to us.
Adverse developments in the financial markets, such as disruptions, uncertainty or volatility in the capital and credit markets, may result in realized and unrealized capital losses that could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial position and our businesses, and may also limit our access to capital required to operate our business. Depending on market conditions, we could incur additional realized and unrealized losses on our investment portfolio in future periods, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and business. Current economic conditions could also have a material impact on the frequency and severity of claims and therefore could negatively impact our underwriting returns. In addition, our policyholders, reinsurers and retrocessionaires may be affected by such developments in the financial markets, which could adversely affect their ability to meet their obligations to us. The volatility in the financial markets could continue to significantly affect our investment returns, reported results and shareholders' equity.
Our business is dependent upon insurance and reinsurance brokers and intermediaries, and the loss of important broker relationships could materially adversely affect our ability to market our products and services.
We market our insurance and reinsurance products primarily through brokers and intermediaries. We derive a significant portion of our business from a limited number of brokers. During 2010, approximately 18.8% and 15.1% of our gross premiums written were generated from or placed by Aon Corporation and its subsidiaries and Marsh & McLennan Companies and its subsidiaries, respectively. No other broker and no one insured or reinsured accounted for more than 10% of gross premiums written for 2010. Some of our competitors have had longer term relationships with the brokers we use than we have, and the brokers may promote products offered by companies that may offer a larger variety of products than we do. Loss of all or a substantial portion of the business provided by these brokers could have a material adverse effect on us.
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We could be materially adversely affected to the extent that managing general agents, general agents and other producers exceed their underwriting authorities or if our agents, our insureds or other third parties commit fraud or otherwise breach obligations owed to us.
For certain business conducted by our insurance group, following our underwriting, financial, claims and information technology due diligence reviews, we authorize managing general agents, general agents and other producers to write business on our behalf within underwriting authorities prescribed by us. We rely on the underwriting controls of these agents to write business within the underwriting authorities provided by us. Although we monitor such business on an ongoing basis, our monitoring efforts may not be adequate or our agents may exceed their underwriting authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us. In addition, our agents, our insureds or other their parties may commit fraud or otherwise breach their obligations to us. To the extent that our agents, our insureds or other third parties exceed their underwriting authorities, commit fraud or otherwise breach obligations owed to us in the future, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
We are exposed to credit risk in certain of our business operations.
In addition to exposure to credit risk related to our investment portfolio, reinsurance recoverables and reliance on brokers (each discussed elsewhere in this section), we are exposed to credit risk in other areas of our business related to policyholders. We are exposed to credit risk in our insurance group's surety unit where we guarantee to a third party that our policyholder will satisfy certain performance or financial obligations. If our policyholder defaults, we may suffer losses and be unable to be reimbursed by our policyholder. We are exposed to credit risk in our insurance group's construction and national accounts casualty units where we write large deductible insurance policies. Under these policies we are typically obligated to pay the claimant the full amount of the claim. We are subsequently reimbursed by the policyholder for the deductible amount, which can be a set amount per claim and/or an aggregate amount for all covered claims. As such, we are exposed to credit risk to the policyholder. Additionally, we write retrospectively rated policies (i.e., policies in which premiums are adjusted after the policy period based on the actual loss experience of the policyholder during the policy period). In this instance, we are exposed to credit risk to the extent the adjusted premium is greater than the original premium. While we generally seek to mitigate this risk through collateral agreements that require the posting of collateral in such forms as cash and letters of credit from banks, our efforts to mitigate the credit risk that we have to our policyholders may not be successful. Although we have not experienced any material credit losses to date, an increased inability of our policyholders to meet their obligations to us could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Our investment performance may affect our financial results and ability to conduct business.
Our operating results depend in part on the performance of our investment portfolio. A significant portion of our cash and invested assets consists of fixed maturities (77.3% as of December 31, 2010). Although our current investment guidelines and approach stress preservation of capital, market liquidity and diversification of risk, our investments are subject to market-wide risks and fluctuations. In addition, we are subject to risks inherent in particular securities or types of securities, as well as sector concentrations. We may not be able to realize our investment objectives, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial results. In the event that we are unsuccessful in correlating our investment portfolio with our expected insurance and reinsurance liabilities, we may be forced to liquidate our investments at times and prices that are not optimal, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial results and ability to conduct our business.
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We may be adversely affected by changes in economic conditions, including interest rate changes, as well as legislative changes.
Our operating results are affected, in part, by the performance of our investment portfolio. Our investment portfolio contains fixed and floating rate securities and instruments, such as bonds, which may be adversely affected by changes in interest rates. Changes in interest rates could also have a material adverse effect on our financial results. For example, if interest rates increase, the value of our investment portfolio may decline. Although lower interest rates may increase the value of our portfolio, our investment income might suffer from the lower rates at which new cash could be deployed.
In addition, our investment portfolio includes residential mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"). As of December 31, 2010, MBS constituted approximately 15.3% of our cash and invested assets. As with other fixed income investments, the market value of these securities fluctuates depending on market and other general economic conditions and the interest rate environment. Changes in interest rates can expose us to changes in the prepayment rate on these investments. In periods of declining interest rates, mortgage prepayments generally increase and MBS are prepaid more quickly, requiring us to reinvest the proceeds at the then current market rates. Conversely, in periods of rising rates, mortgage prepayments generally fall, preventing us from taking full advantage of the higher level of rates. However, current economic conditions may curtail prepayment activity as refinancing becomes more difficult, thus limiting prepayments on MBS.
Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including the fiscal and monetary policies of the U.S. and other major economies, inflation, economic and political conditions and other factors beyond our control. Although we attempt to take measures to manage the risks of investing in changing interest rate environments, we may not be able to mitigate interest rate sensitivity effectively. Despite our mitigation efforts, an increase in interest rates could have a material adverse effect on our book value.
Since 2007, the residential mortgage market in the U.S. has experienced a variety of difficulties. During this time, delinquencies and losses with respect to residential mortgage loans generally have increased and may continue to increase, particularly in the subprime sector. In addition, during this period, residential property values in many states have declined or remained stable, after extended periods during which those values appreciated. A continued decline or an extended flattening in those values may result in additional increases in delinquencies and losses on residential mortgage loans generally, especially with respect to second homes and investment properties, and with respect to any residential mortgage loans where the aggregate loan amounts (including any subordinate loans) are close to or greater than the related property values. These developments may have a significant adverse effect on the prices of loans and securities, including those in our investment portfolio. The situation continues to have wide ranging consequences, including downward pressure on economic growth and the potential for increased insurance and reinsurance exposures, which could have an adverse impact on our results of operations, financial condition, business and operations. Our portfolio includes commercial mortgage backed securities ("CMBS"). At December 31, 2010, CMBS constituted approximately 9.9% of our cash and invested assets. The commercial real estate market has recently experienced price deterioration, which could lead to increased delinquencies and defaults on commercial real estate mortgages.
Certain of our investments are illiquid and are difficult to sell, or to sell in significant amounts at acceptable prices, to generate cash to meet our needs.
Our investments in certain securities, including certain fixed income and structured securities, investments in funds accounted for using the equity method, other investments and our investment in Gulf Re (joint venture) may be illiquid due to contractual provisions or investment market conditions. If we require significant amounts of cash on short notice in excess of anticipated cash requirements,
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then we may have difficulty selling these investments in a timely manner or may be forced to sell or terminate them at unfavorable values.
The determination of the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments is highly subjective and could materially impact our results of operations or financial position.
On a quarterly basis, we perform reviews of our investments to determine whether declines in market value below the cost basis are considered other-than-temporary in accordance with applicable accounting guidance regarding the recognition and presentation of other-than-temporary impairments. The process of determining whether a security is other-than-temporarily impaired requires judgment and involves analyzing many factors. These factors include (i) an analysis of the liquidity, business prospects and overall financial condition of the issuer, (ii) the time period in which there was a significant decline in value, (iii) the significance of the decline, and (iv) the analysis of specific credit events. We evaluate the unrealized losses of our equity securities by issuer and determine if we can forecast a reasonable period of time by which the fair value of the securities would increase and we would recover our cost. If we are unable to forecast a reasonable period of time in which to recover the cost of our equity securities, we record a net impairment loss in earnings equivalent to the entire unrealized loss. There can be no assurance that our management has accurately assessed the level of impairments taken and allowances reflected in our financial statements. Furthermore, additional impairments may need to be taken or allowances provided for in the future. Historical trends may not be indicative of future impairments or allowances.
We may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available or only available on unfavorable terms.
We monitor our capital adequacy on a regular basis. The capital requirements of our business depend on many factors, including our ability to write new business successfully and to establish premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Our ability to underwrite is largely dependent upon the quality of our claims paying and financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent rating agencies. To the extent that our existing capital is insufficient to fund our future operating requirements and/or cover claim losses, we may need to raise additional funds through financings or limit our growth. Any equity or debt financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are unfavorable to us. In the case of equity financings, dilution to our shareholders could result, and, in any case, such securities may have rights, preferences and privileges that are senior to those of our outstanding securities. Disruptions, uncertainty or volatility in the capital and credit markets may also limit our access to capital required to operate our business. Such market conditions may limit our ability to access the capital necessary to develop our business and replace, in a timely manner, our letters of credit facilities upon maturity. As such, we may be forced to delay raising capital or bear an unattractive cost of capital which could decrease our profitability and significantly reduce our financial flexibility. If we are not able to obtain adequate capital, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources."
We sold our prior reinsurance operations in May 2000 and may have liability to the purchaser and continuing liability from those reinsurance operations if the purchaser should fail to make payments on the reinsurance liabilities it assumed.
On May 5, 2000, we sold our prior reinsurance operations to WTM Re. The WTM Re transaction was structured as a transfer and assumption agreement (and not reinsurance), and, accordingly, the loss reserves (and any related reinsurance recoverables) relating to the transferred business are not included as assets or liabilities on our balance sheet. In addition, in connection with that asset sale, we made
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extensive representations and warranties about us and our reinsurance operations, some of which survived the closing of the asset sale. Breach of these representations and warranties could result in liability for us. In the event that WTM Re refuses or is unable to make payment for reserved losses transferred to it by us in the May 2000 sale and the notice given to reinsureds is found not to be an effective release by such reinsureds, we would be liable for such claims. A.M. Best has assigned an "A-" (Excellent) financial strength rating to WTM Re. WTM Re reported policyholders' surplus of $832.0 million at December 31, 2009.
We sold our non-standard automobile insurance operations and merchant banking operations in 2004 and may have liability to the purchasers.
In 2004, we sold our non-standard automobile insurance operations and merchant banking operations to third party purchasers. In connection with such sales, we made representations and warranties about us and our transferred businesses, some of which survived the closing of such sales. Breach of these representations and warranties could result in liability to us.
Any future acquisitions, growth of our operations through the addition of new lines of insurance or reinsurance business through our existing subsidiaries or through the formation of new subsidiaries, expansion into new geographic regions and/or joint ventures or partnerships may expose us to risks.
We may in the future make strategic acquisitions either of other companies or selected blocks of business, expand our business lines or enter into joint ventures. Any future acquisitions may expose us to challenges and risks, including:
Our failure to manage successfully these operational challenges and risks may impact our results of operations. In addition, if the reserves established by us, as they relate to any acquired book of business, prove to be inadequate, then subject to whatever recourse we may have against the seller or reinsurers, we may be responsible for adverse development in such reserves.
Some of the provisions of our bye-laws and our shareholders agreement may have the effect of hindering, delaying or preventing third party takeovers or changes in management initiated by shareholders. These provisions may also prevent our shareholders from receiving premium prices for their shares in an unsolicited takeover.
Some provisions of our bye-laws could have the effect of discouraging unsolicited takeover bids from third parties or changes in management initiated by shareholders. These provisions may encourage companies interested in acquiring us to negotiate in advance with our board of directors, since the board has the authority to overrule the operation of several of the limitations.
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Among other things, our bye-laws provide:
Our bye-laws provide that certain provisions which may have anti-takeover effects may be repealed or altered only with prior board approval and upon the affirmative vote of holders of shares representing at least 65% of the total voting power of our shares entitled generally to vote at an election of directors.
The bye-laws also contain a provision limiting the rights of any U.S. person (as defined in section 7701(a)(30) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code")) that owns shares of ACGL, directly, indirectly or constructively (within the meaning of section 958 of the Code), representing more than 9.9% of the voting power of all shares entitled to vote generally at an election of directors. The votes conferred by such shares of such U.S. person will be reduced by whatever amount is necessary so that after any such reduction the votes conferred by the shares of such person will constitute 9.9% of the total voting power of all shares entitled to vote generally at an election of directors. Notwithstanding this provision, the board may make such final adjustments to the aggregate number of votes conferred by the shares of any U.S. person that the board considers fair and reasonable in all circumstances to ensure that such votes represent 9.9% of the aggregate voting power of the votes conferred by all shares of ACGL entitled to vote generally at an election of directors. ACGL will assume that all shareholders (other than the Warburg Pincus funds) are U.S. persons unless we receive assurance satisfactory to us that they are not U.S. persons.
Moreover, most states, including states in which our subsidiaries are domiciled, have laws and regulations that require regulatory approval of a change in control of an insurer or an insurer's holding company. Where such laws apply to us and our subsidiaries, there can be no effective change in our control unless the person seeking to acquire control has filed a statement with the regulators and has obtained prior approval for the proposed change from such regulators. The usual measure for a presumptive change in control pursuant to these laws is the acquisition of 10% or more of the voting power of the insurance company or its parent, although this presumption is rebuttable. Consequently, a person may not acquire 10% or more of our common shares without the prior approval of insurance regulators in the state in which our subsidiaries are domiciled.
The bye-laws also provide that the affirmative vote of at least 662/3% of the outstanding voting power of our shares (excluding shares owned by any person (and such person's affiliates and associates) that is the owner of 15% of more (a "15% Holder") of our outstanding voting shares) shall be required (the "extraordinary vote") for various corporate actions, including:
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provided, however, the extraordinary vote will not apply to any transaction approved by the board.
The provisions described above may have the effect of making more difficult or discouraging unsolicited takeover bids from third parties. To the extent that these effects occur, shareholders could be deprived of opportunities to realize takeover premiums for their shares and the market price of their shares could be depressed. In addition, these provisions could also result in the entrenchment of incumbent management.
Our operating insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are subject to regulation in various jurisdictions, and material changes in the regulation of their operations could adversely affect us.
Our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are subject to government regulation in each of the jurisdictions in which they are licensed or authorized to do business. Governmental agencies have broad administrative power to regulate many aspects of the insurance business, which may include trade and claim practices, accounting methods, premium rates, marketing practices, claims practices, advertising, policy forms, and capital adequacy. These agencies are concerned primarily with the protection of policyholders rather than shareholders. Moreover, insurance laws and regulations, among other things:
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") continuously examines existing laws and regulations in the United States. We cannot predict the effect that any NAIC recommendations or proposed or future legislation or rule making in the United States or elsewhere may have on our financial condition or operations.
Our Bermuda insurance and reinsurance subsidiary, Arch Re Bermuda, conducts its business from its offices in Bermuda and is not licensed or admitted to do business in any jurisdiction except Bermuda. We do not believe that Arch Re Bermuda is subject to the insurance laws of any state in the United States; however, recent scrutiny of the insurance and reinsurance industry in the U.S. and other countries could subject Arch Re Bermuda to additional regulation. Our U.S. reinsurance subsidiary, Arch Re U.S., and our U.S. insurance subsidiaries, Arch Insurance, Arch Specialty, Arch E&S and Arch Indemnity, write reinsurance and insurance in the U.S. These subsidiaries are subject to extensive regulation under state statutes which delegate regulatory, supervisory and administrative powers to state insurance commissioners. Such regulation generally is designed to protect policyholders rather than investors. In addition, the Canadian branch of Arch Insurance writes insurance in Canada and is subject to federal, as well as provincial and territorial, regulation in Canada.
Arch Insurance Europe conducts its business from London and branch offices in certain EU countries and is Arch subject to the insurance regulations of the U.K. Arch Re Europe, our reinsurance subsidiary in Ireland, conducts its business from its office in Ireland and branches in Switzerland and Denmark. It is subject to the reinsurance regulations of Ireland. Arch Insurance Europe and Arch Re Europe are also subject to the EU regulations and regulations of the respective
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Member States where they have established branches or in which they conduct business, but with respect to the conduct of their business in such Member State, but each company remains subject only to the financial and operational supervision by the FSA, in the case of Arch Insurance Europe, and the CBOI, in the case of Arch Re Europe. Arch Insurance Europe and Arch Re Europe have the freedom to provide their respective insurance and reinsurance services anywhere in the EEA subject to compliance with certain rules governing such provision, including notification to the FSA and the CBOI, respectively. Arch Insurance Company Europe is also approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer in 17 states and the District of Columbia in the U.S.
Our U.S., Bermuda, U.K. and Ireland subsidiaries and the Canadian branch of Arch Insurance are required to maintain minimum capital and surplus as mandated by their respective jurisdictions of incorporation and, in some cases, by the jurisdictions in which those subsidiaries write business. Arch Insurance Company Europe is required to maintain minimum capital surplus as mandated by the NAIC and certain states where it is approved as an excess and surplus lines insurer. All of our subsidiaries are currently in compliance with these capital and surplus requirements.
We periodically review our corporate structure so that we can optimally deploy our capital. Changes in that structure require regulatory approval. Delays or failure in obtaining any of these approvals could limit the amount of insurance that we can write in the U.S.
If ACGL or any of our subsidiaries were to become subject to the laws of a new jurisdiction in which such entity is not presently admitted, ACGL or such subsidiary may not be in compliance with the laws of the new jurisdiction. Any failure to comply with applicable laws could result in the imposition of significant restrictions on our ability to do business, and could also result in fines and other sanctions, any or all of which could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.
If our Bermuda operating subsidiary becomes subject to insurance statutes and regulations in jurisdictions other than Bermuda or if there is a change in Bermuda law or regulations or the application of Bermuda law or regulations, there could be a significant and negative impact on our business.
Arch Re Bermuda, our Bermuda insurance and reinsurance subsidiary, is a registered Bermuda Class 4 insurer and long-term insurer. As such, it is subject to regulation and supervision in Bermuda. Bermuda insurance statutes and the regulations and policies of the BMA require Arch Re Bermuda to, among other things:
These statutes and regulations may restrict our ability to write insurance and reinsurance policies, distribute funds and pursue our investment strategy. We do not presently intend for Arch Re Bermuda to be admitted to do business in the U.S., U.K. or any jurisdiction other than Bermuda. However, we cannot assure you that insurance regulators in the U.S., U.K. or elsewhere will not review the activities
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or Arch Re Bermuda or its subsidiaries or agents and claim that Arch Re Bermuda is subject to such jurisdiction's licensing requirements.
Generally, Bermuda insurance statutes and regulations applicable to Arch Re Bermuda are less restrictive than those that would be applicable if they were governed by the laws of any states in the U.S. If in the future we become subject to any insurance laws of the U.S. or any state thereof or of any other jurisdiction, we cannot assure you that we would be in compliance with such laws or that complying with such laws would not have a significant and negative effect on our business.
The process of obtaining licenses is very time consuming and costly and Arch Re Bermuda may not be able to become licensed in jurisdictions other than Bermuda should we choose to do so. The modification of the conduct of our business that would result if we were required or chose to become licensed in certain jurisdictions could significantly and negatively affect our financial condition and results of operations. In addition, our inability to comply with insurance statutes and regulations could significantly and adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations by limiting our ability to conduct business as well as subject us to penalties and fines.
Because Arch Re Bermuda is a Bermuda company, it is subject to changes in Bermuda law and regulation that may have an adverse impact on our operations, including through the imposition of tax liability or increased regulatory supervision. In addition, Arch Re Bermuda will be exposed to any changes in the political environment in Bermuda, including, without limitation, changes as a result of the independence issues currently being discussed in Bermuda. The Bermuda insurance and reinsurance regulatory framework recently has become subject to increased scrutiny in many jurisdictions, including the U.K. While we cannot predict the future impact on our operations of changes in the laws and regulation to which we are or may become subject, any such changes could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
ACGL is a holding company and is dependent on dividends and other payments from its operating subsidiaries, which are subject to dividend restrictions, to make payments, including the payment of debt service obligations and operating expenses we may incur and any payments of dividends, redemption amounts or liquidation amounts with respect to our preferred shares and common shares.
ACGL is a holding company whose assets primarily consist of the shares in our subsidiaries. Generally, ACGL depends on its available cash resources, liquid investments and dividends or other distributions from subsidiaries to make payments, including the payment of debt service obligations and operating expenses it may incur and any payments of dividends, redemption amounts or liquidation amounts with respect to our preferred shares and common shares, and to fund the share repurchase program. The ability of our regulated insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to pay dividends or make distributions is dependent on their ability to meet applicable regulatory standards. In addition, the ability of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to pay dividends to ACGL and to intermediate parent companies owned by ACGL could be constrained by our dependence on financial strength ratings from independent rating agencies. Our ratings from these agencies depend to a large extent on the capitalization levels of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries. We believe that ACGL has sufficient cash resources and available dividend capacity to service its indebtedness and other current outstanding obligations. See "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsFinancial Condition, Liquidity and Capital ResourcesLiquidity and Capital Resources."
If our Bermuda reinsurance subsidiary is unable to provide collateral to ceding companies, its ability to conduct business could be significantly and negatively affected.
Arch Re Bermuda is a registered Bermuda insurance company and is not licensed or admitted as an insurer in any jurisdiction in the United States. Because insurance regulations in the United States
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do not permit insurance companies to take credit for reinsurance obtained from unlicensed or non-admitted insurers on their statutory financial statements unless security is posted, Arch Re Bermuda's contracts generally require it to post a letter of credit or provide other security. Although, to date, Arch Re Bermuda has not experienced any difficulties in providing collateral when required, if we are unable to post security in the form of letters of credit or trust funds when required, the operations of Arch Re Bermuda could be significantly and negatively affected.
We may become subject to taxes in Bermuda after March 28, 2016, which may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
Under current Bermuda law, we are not subject to tax on income or capital gains. Furthermore, we have obtained from the Minister of Finance of Bermuda under the Exempted Undertakings Tax Protection Act, 1966, an assurance that, in the event that Bermuda enacts legislation imposing tax computed on profits, income, any capital asset, gain or appreciation, or any tax in the nature of estate duty or inheritance tax, then the imposition of the tax will not be applicable to us or our operations until March 28, 2016. We could be subject to taxes in Bermuda after that date. This assurance does not, however, prevent the imposition of taxes on any person ordinarily resident in Bermuda or any company in respect of its ownership of real property or leasehold interests in Bermuda.
Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuation may adversely affect our financial results.
We write business on a worldwide basis, and our results of operations may be affected by fluctuations in the value of currencies other than the U.S. Dollar. The primary foreign currencies in which we operate are the Euro, the British Pound Sterling and the Canadian Dollar. Changes in foreign currency exchange rates can reduce our revenues, increase our liabilities and costs and cause fluctuations in the valuation of our investment portfolio. We may therefore suffer losses solely as a result of exchange rate fluctuations. In order to mitigate our exposure to foreign currency fluctuations in our net insurance liabilities, we have invested and expect to continue to invest in securities denominated in currencies other than the U.S. Dollar. In addition, we may replicate investment positions in foreign currencies using derivative financial instruments. Net foreign exchange gains for 2010, recorded in the statement of income, were $28.1 million, compared to net foreign exchange losses for 2009 of $39.2 million and net foreign exchange gains for 2008 of $96.6 million. Changes in the value of investments due to foreign currency rate movements are reflected as a direct increase or decrease to shareholders' equity and are not included in the statement of income. We have chosen not to hedge the currency risk on the capital contributed to Arch Insurance Europe in May 2004, which is held in British Pounds Sterling, and may continue to choose not to hedge our currency risks. There can be no assurances that arrangements to match projected liabilities in foreign currencies with investments in the same currencies or derivative financial instruments will mitigate the negative impact of exchange rate fluctuations, and we may suffer losses solely as a result of exchange rate fluctuations.
Certain employees of our Bermuda operations are required to obtain work permits before engaging in a gainful occupation in Bermuda. Required work permits may not be granted or may not remain in effect.
Under Bermuda law, only persons who are Bermudians, spouses of Bermudians, holders of a permanent resident's certificate or holders of a working resident's certificate ("exempted persons") may engage in gainful occupation in Bermuda without an appropriate governmental work permit. Our success may depend in part on the continued services of key employees in Bermuda. A work permit may be granted or renewed upon showing that, after proper public advertisement, no exempted person is available who meets the minimum standards reasonably required by the employer. The Bermuda government's policy places a six-year term limit on individuals with work permits, subject to certain exemptions for key employees. A work permit is issued with an expiry date (up to five years) and no assurances can be given that any work permit will be issued or, if issued, renewed upon the expiration
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of the relevant term. We consider our key officers in Bermuda who require work permits to be Constantine Iordanou, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer (work permit expires November 12, 2014), John C.R. Hele, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (work permit expires April 1, 2014), Marc Grandisson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Arch Worldwide Reinsurance Group (work permit expires May 12, 2015), and Nicolas Papadopoulo, President and Chief Executive Officer of Arch Re Bermuda (work permit expires March 31, 2015). We also have other key positions in Bermuda held by persons who hold work permits subject to renewal. If work permits are not obtained or renewed for our principal employees, we could lose their services, which could materially affect our business.
The enforcement of civil liabilities against us may be difficult.
We are a Bermuda company and in the future some of our officers and directors may be residents of various jurisdictions outside the United States. All or a substantial portion of our assets and the assets of those persons may be located outside the United States. As a result, it may be difficult for you to effect service of process within the United States upon those persons or to enforce in United States courts judgments obtained against those persons.
We have appointed National Registered Agents, Inc., New York, New York, as our agent for service of process with respect to actions based on offers and sales of securities made in the United States. We have been advised by our special Bermuda legal counsel, Conyers Dill & Pearman Limited, that the United States and Bermuda do not currently have a treaty providing for reciprocal recognition and enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts in civil and commercial matters and that a final judgment for the payment of money rendered by a court in the United States based on civil liability, whether or not predicated solely upon the U.S. federal securities laws, would, therefore, not be automatically enforceable in Bermuda. We also have been advised by Conyers Dill & Pearman that a final and conclusive judgment obtained in a court in the United States under which a sum of money is payable as compensatory damages (i.e., not being a sum claimed by a revenue authority for taxes or other charges of a similar nature by a governmental authority, or in respect of a fine or penalty or multiple or punitive damages) may be the subject of an action on a debt in the Supreme Court of Bermuda under the common law doctrine of obligation. Such an action should be successful upon proof that the sum of money is due and payable, and without having to prove the facts supporting the underlying judgment, as long as:
A Bermuda court may impose civil liability on us or our directors or officers in a suit brought in the Supreme Court of Bermuda against us or such persons with respect to a violation of U.S. federal securities laws, provided that the facts surrounding such violation would constitute or give rise to a cause of action under Bermuda law.
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Risk Relating to our Preferred Shares
General market conditions and unpredictable factors could adversely affect market prices for our outstanding preferred shares.
There can be no assurance about the market prices for any series of our preferred shares. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the market value of such series of preferred shares. Factors that might influence the market value of any series of our preferred shares include, but are not limited to:
Dividends on our preferred shares are non-cumulative.
Dividends on our preferred shares are non-cumulative and payable only out of lawfully available funds of ACGL under Bermuda law. Consequently, if ACGL's board of directors (or a duly authorized committee of the board) does not authorize and declare a dividend for any dividend period with respect to any series of our preferred shares, holders of such preferred shares would not be entitled to receive any such dividend, and such unpaid dividend will not accrue and will never be payable. ACGL will have no obligation to pay dividends for a dividend period on or after the dividend payment date for such period if its board of directors (or a duly authorized committee of the board) has not declared such dividend before the related dividend payment date; if dividends on any series of our preferred shares are authorized and declared with respect to any subsequent dividend period, ACGL will be free to pay dividends on any other series of preferred shares and/or our common shares. In the past, we have not paid dividends on our common shares.
Our preferred shares are equity and are subordinate to our existing and future indebtedness.
Our preferred shares are equity interests and do not constitute indebtedness. As such, our preferred shares will rank junior to all of our indebtedness and other non-equity claims with respect to assets available to satisfy our claims, including in our liquidation. As of December 31, 2010, our total consolidated long-term debt was $400.0 million, excluding TALF borrowings. We may incur additional debt in the future. Our existing and future indebtedness may restrict payments of dividends on our preferred shares. Additionally, unlike indebtedness, where principal and interest would customarily be payable on specified due dates, in the case of preferred shares like our preferred shares, (1) dividends are payable only if declared by the board of directors of ACGL (or a duly authorized committee of the board) and (2) as described above under "Risks Relating to Our CompanyACGL is a holding company and is dependent on dividends and other payments from its operating subsidiaries, which are subject to dividend restrictions, to make payments, including the payment of debt service obligations and operating expenses we may incur and any payments of dividends, redemption amounts or liquidation amounts with respect to our preferred shares and common shares," we are subject to certain regulatory and other constraints affecting our ability to pay dividends and make other payments.
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The voting rights of holders of our preferred shares are limited.
Holders of our preferred shares have no voting rights with respect to matters that generally require the approval of voting shareholders. The limited voting rights of holders of our preferred shares include the right to vote as a class on certain fundamental matters that affect the preference or special rights of our preferred shares as set forth in the certificate of designations relating to each series of preferred shares. In addition, if dividends on any series of our preferred shares have not been declared or paid for the equivalent of six dividend payments, whether or not for consecutive dividend periods, holders of the outstanding preferred shares of any series will be entitled to vote for the election of two additional directors to our board of directors subject to the terms and to the limited extent as set forth in the certificate of designations relating to such series of preferred shares.
There is no limitation on our issuance of securities that rank equally with or senior to our preferred shares.
We may issue additional securities that rank equally with or senior to our preferred shares without limitation. The issuance of securities ranking equally with or senior to our preferred shares may reduce the amount available for dividends and the amount recoverable by holders of such series in the event of a liquidation, dissolution or winding-up of ACGL.
Risks Relating to Taxation
We and our non-U.S. subsidiaries may become subject to U.S. federal income taxation.
ACGL and its non-U.S. subsidiaries intend to operate their business in a manner that will not cause them to be treated as engaged in a trade or business in the United States and, thus, will not be required to pay U.S. federal income taxes (other than U.S. excise taxes on insurance and reinsurance premium and withholding taxes on certain U.S. source investment income) on their income. However, because there is uncertainty as to the activities which constitute being engaged in a trade or business in the United States, there can be no assurances that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service will not contend successfully that ACGL or its non-U.S. subsidiaries are engaged in a trade or business in the United States. If ACGL or any of its non-U.S. subsidiaries were subject to U.S. income tax, our shareholders' equity and earnings could be adversely affected.
Congress has been considering legislation intended to eliminate certain perceived tax advantages of Bermuda and other non-U.S. insurance companies and U.S. insurance companies having Bermuda and other non-U.S. affiliates, including perceived tax benefits resulting principally from reinsurance between or among U.S. insurance companies and their Bermuda affiliates. Some U.S. insurance companies have also been lobbying Congress recently to pass such legislation. In this regard, the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 (the "Jobs Act") permits the United States Internal Revenue Service ("IRS") to re-allocate, re-characterize or adjust items of income, deduction or certain other items related to a reinsurance agreement between related parties to reflect the proper source, character and amount for each item (in contrast to prior law, which only covered source and character). The Jobs Act also eliminated the tax benefits available to a U.S. company that, after March 4, 2003, changed its legal domicile to a non-U.S. jurisdiction, a transaction commonly known as an inversion. We changed our legal domicile from the U.S. to Bermuda, but were not affected by the anti-inversion rule because our change in domicile occurred in November 2000. The American Infrastructure Investment and Improvement Act of 2008 as passed by the Senate Finance Committee would have made the Jobs Act anti-inversion rule applicable retroactively to inversions that occurred after March 20, 2002. Although this modification would not affect ACGL, no assurance can be given that if reintroduced in the current Congress the final bill will not make the Jobs Act anti-inversion rule applicable retroactively to inversions that occurred on an earlier date, in which case ACGL could be adversely affected. A recently reintroduced legislative proposal would treat certain foreign corporations as U.S. corporations if such corporation is primarily managed and controlled within the U.S. While we believe ACGL is not
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primarily managed and controlled within the U.S., there is no assurance that the proposal would not apply to ACGL. Another recent legislative proposal would treat a foreign corporation as a U.S. corporation if it is determined that the foreign corporation was formed or organized principally for the purpose of avoiding being treated as a U.S. corporation. It is uncertain whether this proposal would apply to ACGL, but it would adversely affect us if enacted and found to apply. Another legislative proposal has been introduced that would treat certain "tax haven CFCs" as U.S. corporations for federal income tax purposes. The term "tax haven CFC" would include a Bermuda corporation that is a controlled foreign corporation, but would exclude corporations that engage in the active conduct of a trade or business in Bermuda. It is not clear how this bill would apply to ACGL, which conducts its insurance and reinsurance businesses through its subsidiaries. Further, it is not clear whether this bill was intended to apply to a publicly traded company such as ACGL. There is no assurance that this legislative proposal, if enacted, would not apply to ACGL or any of its non-U.S. subsidiaries. In addition, Congress has recently conducted hearings relating to the tax treatment of reinsurance between affiliates and is reported to be considering legislation that would adversely affect reinsurance between U.S. and non-U.S. affiliates. One such proposal would increase the excise tax rate on reinsurance premiums paid to affiliated non-U.S. reinsurers. A recently introduced legislative proposal in the House of Representatives as well as a prior Senate Finance Committee staff discussion draft and other prior proposals would limit deductions for premiums ceded to affiliated non-U.S. reinsurers above certain levels. The Administration's Fiscal Year 2012 Revenue Proposals contain a similar but more restrictive provision that would deny deductions for all premiums ceded to affiliated non-U.S. reinsurers, offset by an exclusion for any ceding commissions received or reinsurance recovered from such affiliates. Enactment of such legislation or proposal as well as other changes in U.S. tax laws, regulations and interpretations thereof to address these issues could adversely affect us.
Reduced tax rate for qualified dividend income received by individuals and other non-corporate holders may not be available in the future.
Dividends received by individuals and other non-corporate United States persons on our common shares or preferred shares in taxable years beginning on or before December 31, 2012 may constitute qualified dividend income that is subject to U.S. federal income tax at the rate applicable for long-term capital gains, rather than the higher rates applicable to ordinary income, provided that certain holding period requirements and other conditions are met. For taxable years beginning after December 31, 2012, qualified dividend income will no longer be taxed at the rate applicable for long-term capital gains unless legislation is enacted providing otherwise. In addition, there has been proposed legislation before both Houses of Congress that would exclude shareholders of certain foreign corporations from this advantageous tax treatment. If such legislation were to become law, non-corporate U.S. shareholders would no longer qualify for the capital gains tax rate on the dividends paid by us.
Our non-U.S. companies may be subject to U.K. tax that may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations.
We intend to operate in such a manner so that none of our companies, other than our U.K. subsidiaries ("U.K. Group"), should be resident in the U.K. for tax purposes or have a permanent establishment in the U.K. Accordingly, we do not expect that any companies other than U.K. Group should be subject to U.K. taxation. However, since applicable law and regulations do not specifically and conclusively define the activities that constitute conducting business in the U.K. through a permanent establishment, HM Revenue and Customs might contend successfully that one or more of our companies, in addition to the U.K. Group, is conducting business in the U.K. through a permanent establishment in the U.K. and, therefore, subject to U.K. tax, which could have a material adverse effect on us.
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ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
None.
We lease a total of approximately 21,850 square feet in Bermuda for the operations of Arch Re Bermuda, ACGL and our internal investment management group. Our U.S. reinsurance group leases approximately 19,200 square feet in Morristown, New Jersey. Our property facultative reinsurance group leases approximately 17,500 square feet for its offices throughout the U.S. and in Toronto. Arch Re Denmark leases approximately 3,650 square feet in Denmark, and Arch Re Europe leases a total of approximately 1,800 square feet in Dublin and Zurich.
The principal U.S. office of our insurance group support operations (excluding underwriting units) is in Jersey City, New Jersey where we lease approximately 106,800 square feet. Such lease expires in 2024. We lease approximately 71,300 square feet in New York City for the headquarters of the U.S. insurance group's underwriting product lines and Northeast regional underwriting operations. Our insurance group also leases a total of approximately 270,000 square feet for its other primary U.S. offices and its office in Canada. Arch Insurance Europe leases approximately 15,770 square feet in London.
For 2010, 2009 and 2008, our rental expense, net of income from subleases, was approximately $15.0 million, $16.9 million and $17.5 million, respectively. Our future minimum rental charges for the remaining terms of our existing leases, exclusive of escalation clauses and maintenance costs and net of rental income, will be approximately $126.7 million. We believe that the above described office space is adequate for our needs. However, as we continue to develop our business, we may open additional office locations during 2011.
We, in common with the insurance industry in general, are subject to litigation and arbitration in the normal course of our business. As of December 31, 2010, we were not a party to any litigation or arbitration which is expected by management to have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition and liquidity.
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
None.
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ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Our common shares are traded on the NASDAQ Stock Market under the symbol "ACGL." For the periods presented below, the high and low sales prices and closing prices for our common shares as reported on the NASDAQ Stock Market were as follows:
|
Three Months Ended | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
December 31, 2010 | September 30, 2010 | June 30, 2010 | March 31, 2010 | |||||||||
High |
$ | 92.05 | $ | 84.55 | $ | 78.57 | $ | 76.83 | |||||
Low |
$ | 82.49 | $ | 73.50 | $ | 65.70 | $ | 69.00 | |||||
Close |
$ | 88.05 | $ | 83.80 | $ | 74.50 | $ | 76.25 |
|
Three Months Ended | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
December 31, 2009 | September 30, 2009 | June 30, 2009 | March 31, 2009 | |||||||||
High |
$ | 72.25 | $ | 68.90 | $ | 61.10 | $ | 70.00 | |||||
Low |
$ | 65.66 | $ | 57.24 | $ | 52.26 | $ | 44.68 | |||||
Close |
$ | 71.55 | $ | 67.54 | $ | 58.58 | $ | 53.86 |
On February 24, 2011, the high and low sales prices and the closing price for our common shares as reported on the NASDAQ Stock Market were $88.05, $87.17 and $87.56, respectively.
As of February 17, 2011, and based on information provided to us by our transfer agent and proxy solicitor, there were 488 holders of record of our common shares and approximately 29,800 beneficial holders of our common shares.
Any determination to pay dividends on ACGL's series A and series B non-cumulative preferred shares or common shares will be at the discretion of ACGL's board of directors (or a duly authorized committee of the board of directors) and will be dependent upon its results of operations, financial condition and other factors deemed relevant by ACGL's board of directors. As a holding company, ACGL will depend on future dividends and other permitted payments from its subsidiaries to pay dividends to its shareholders. ACGL's subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends, as well as its ability to pay dividends, is subject to regulatory, contractual, rating agency and other constraints. So long as any series A or series B non-cumulative preferred shares remain outstanding for any dividend period, unless the full dividends for the latest completed dividend period on all outstanding series A and series B non-cumulative preferred shares and parity shares have been declared and paid (or declared and a sum sufficient for the payment thereof has been set aside), (a) no dividend may be paid or declared on ACGL's common shares or any of its other securities ranking junior to the series A and series B non-cumulative preferred shares (other than a dividend payable solely in common shares or in such other junior securities) and (b) no common shares or other junior shares may be purchased, redeemed or otherwise acquired for consideration by ACGL, directly or indirectly (other than (i) as a result of a reclassification of junior shares for or into other junior shares, or the exchange or conversion of one junior share for or into another junior share, (ii) through the use of the proceeds of a substantially contemporaneous sale of junior shares and (iii) as permitted by the bye-laws of ACGL in effect on the date of issuance of the series A and series B non-cumulative preferred shares).
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ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
The following table summarizes our purchases of our common shares for the 2010 fourth quarter:
|
Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities | |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period
|
Total Number of Shares Purchased(1) |
Average Price Paid per Share |
Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs(2) |
Approximate Dollar Value of Shares that May Yet be Purchased Under the Plan or Programs ($000's)(2) |
||||||||||
10/1/2010 - 10/31/2010 |
6,596 | $ | 82.41 | 6,203 | $ | 487,168 | ||||||||
11/1/2010 - 11/30/2010 |
1,405,215 | $ | 88.72 | 1,403,490 | $ | 362,652 | ||||||||
12/1/2010 - 12/31/2010 |
1,483,797 | $ | 89.75 | 1,483,324 | $ | 229,529 | ||||||||
Total |
2,895,608 | $ | 89.23 | 2,893,017 | $ | 229,529 | ||||||||
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The following graph compares the cumulative total shareholder return on our common shares for each of the last five years through December 31, 2010 to the cumulative total return, assuming reinvestment of dividends, of (1) Standard & Poor's ("S&P") 500 Composite Stock Index ("S&P 500 Index") and (2) the S&P 500 Property & Casualty Insurance Index. The share price performance presented below is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CUMULATIVE TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN(1)(2)(3)
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ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
The following table sets forth summary historical consolidated financial and operating data for the five-year period ended December 31, 2010 and should be read in conjunction with "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and our financial statements and the related notes.
|
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(U.S. dollars in thousands except share data) |
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | ||||||||||||
Statement of Income Data: |
|||||||||||||||||
Revenues: |
|||||||||||||||||
Net premiums written |
$ | 2,511,040 | $ | 2,763,112 | $ | 2,805,726 | $ | 2,901,936 | $ | 3,017,418 | |||||||
Net premiums earned |
2,552,483 | 2,842,745 | 2,845,454 | 2,944,650 | 3,081,665 | ||||||||||||
Net investment income |
364,878 | 390,131 | 468,080 | 463,241 | 377,534 | ||||||||||||
Equity in net income (loss) of investment funds accounted for using the equity method |
61,400 | 167,819 | (178,608 | ) | (171 | ) | 2,671 | ||||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) |
252,751 | 143,582 | (3,939 | ) | 58,338 | (19,437 | ) | ||||||||||
Total revenues |
3,244,067 | 3,501,622 | 2,966,813 | 3,452,445 | 3,452,678 | ||||||||||||
Income before income taxes |
850,456 | 897,653 | 304,505 | 873,544 | 739,893 | ||||||||||||
Net Income |
$ |
842,588 |
$ |
876,945 |
$ |
290,966 |
$ |
857,943 |
$ |
713,214 |
|||||||
Preferred dividends |
(25,844 | ) | (25,844 | ) | (25,844 | ) | (25,844 | ) | (20,655 | ) | |||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 816,744 | $ | 851,101 | $ | 265,122 | $ | 832,099 | $ | 692,559 | |||||||
Diluted net income per share |
$ | 15.55 | $ | 13.74 | $ | 4.09 | $ | 11.28 | $ | 9.08 | |||||||
Cash dividends per share |
| | | | | ||||||||||||
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders(1) |
$ | 491,074 | $ | 651,805 | $ | 537,386 | $ | 846,458 | $ | 734,919 | |||||||
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders per sharediluted(1) |
$ | 9.35 | $ | 10.53 | $ | 8.29 | $ | 11.47 | $ | 9.63 | |||||||
After-tax operating return on average common equity(2) |
12.0 | % | 18.3 | % | 15.8 | % | 24.3 | % | 25.6 | % | |||||||
Weighted average common shares and common share equivalents outstandingdiluted |
52,521,719 | 61,927,132 | 64,789,052 | 73,762,419 | 76,246,725 |
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|
December 31, | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(U.S. dollars in thousands except share data) |
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | ||||||||||||
Balance Sheet Data: |
|||||||||||||||||
Total investments and cash(1) |
$ | 11,986,560 | $ | 11,325,112 | $ | 9,992,239 | $ | 10,129,663 | $ | 9,319,148 | |||||||
Premiums receivable |
503,434 | 595,030 | 628,951 | 729,628 | 749,961 | ||||||||||||
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
1,703,201 | 1,659,500 | 1,729,135 | 1,609,619 | 1,552,157 | ||||||||||||
Total assets |
15,770,792 | 15,375,790 | 14,616,545 | 15,624,267 | 14,312,467 | ||||||||||||
Reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses: |
|||||||||||||||||
Before unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
8,098,454 | 7,873,412 | 7,666,957 | 7,092,452 | 6,463,041 | ||||||||||||
Net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable |
6,395,253 | 6,213,912 | 5,937,822 | 5,482,833 | 4,910,884 | ||||||||||||
Unearned premiums: |
|||||||||||||||||
Before prepaid reinsurance premiums |
1,370,075 | 1,433,331 | 1,526,682 | 1,765,881 | 1,791,922 | ||||||||||||
Net of prepaid reinsurance premiums |
1,106,627 | 1,155,346 | 1,222,975 | 1,285,419 | 1,321,784 | ||||||||||||
Senior notes |
300,000 | 300,000 | 300,000 | 300,000 | 300,000 | ||||||||||||
Revolving credit agreement borrowings |
100,000 | 100,000 | 100,000 | | | ||||||||||||
Total liabilities |
11,257,789 | 11,052,441 | 11,183,580 | 11,588,456 | 10,721,848 | ||||||||||||
Common shareholders' equity |
$ |
4,188,003 |
$ |
3,998,349 |
$ |
3,107,965 |
$ |
3,710,811 |
$ |
3,265,619 |
|||||||
Preferred shareholders' equity |
325,000 | 325,000 | 325,000 | 325,000 | 325,000 | ||||||||||||
Total shareholders' equity |
$ | 4,513,003 | $ | 4,323,349 | $ | 3,432,965 | $ | 4,035,811 | $ | 3,590,619 | |||||||
Book value per common share(2) |
$ | 89.98 | $ | 73.01 | $ | 51.36 | $ | 55.12 | $ | 43.97 | |||||||
Common shares outstanding, net of treasury shares(3) |
46,544,075 | 54,761,678 | 60,511,974 | 67,318,466 | 74,270,466 |
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion and analysis contains forward-looking statements which involve inherent risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on our current assessment of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements and, therefore, undue reliance should not be placed on them. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements are discussed in this report, including the sections entitled "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements," and "Risk Factors."
This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto presented under Item 8. Tabular amounts are in U.S. Dollars in thousands, except share amounts, unless otherwise noted.
GENERAL
Overview
Arch Capital Group Ltd. ("ACGL" and, together with its subsidiaries, "we" or "us") is a Bermuda public limited liability company with approximately $4.91 billion in capital at December 31, 2010 and, through operations in Bermuda, the United States, Europe and Canada, writes insurance and reinsurance on a worldwide basis. While we are positioned to provide a full range of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance lines, we focus on writing specialty lines of insurance and reinsurance. It is our belief that our underwriting platform, our experienced management team and our strong capital base that is unencumbered by significant pre-2002 risks have enabled us to establish a strong presence in the insurance and reinsurance markets.
The worldwide insurance and reinsurance industry is highly competitive and has traditionally been subject to an underwriting cycle in which a hard market (high premium rates, restrictive underwriting standards, as well as terms and conditions, and underwriting gains) is eventually followed by a soft market (low premium rates, relaxed underwriting standards, as well as broader terms and conditions, and underwriting losses). Insurance market conditions may affect, among other things, the demand for our products, our ability to increase premium rates, the terms and conditions of the insurance policies we write, changes in the products offered by us or changes in our business strategy.
The financial results of the insurance and reinsurance industry are influenced by factors such as the frequency and/or severity of claims and losses, including natural disasters or other catastrophic events, variations in interest rates and financial markets, changes in the legal, regulatory and judicial environments, inflationary pressures and general economic conditions. These factors influence, among other things, the demand for insurance or reinsurance, the supply of which is generally related to the total capital of competitors in the market.
The weather-related catastrophic events that occurred in the second half of 2005 caused significant industry losses and led to a strengthening of rating agency capital requirements for catastrophe-exposed business. The 2005 events also resulted in substantial improvements in market conditions in property and certain marine lines of business and slowed declines in premium rates in other lines. During 2006 and 2007, excellent industry results led to a significant increase in capacity, competition intensified and, in general, prices declined in all lines of business. During 2008, we increased our writings in property and certain marine lines of business in order to take advantage of market conditions and these lines represented a larger proportion of our overall book of business than in prior periods. During the second half of 2008, the financial markets experienced significant adverse credit events and a loss of liquidity, which reduced the amount and availability of capital in the insurance industry. In addition, certain of our competitors experienced significant financial difficulties. During 2009, with a low level of
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catastrophic activity and substantial improvements in market values across most investment sectors, the pricing environment was basically unchanged from 2008 levels. In our reinsurance business, we continue to see pressure from ceding companies to increase ceding commissions. During 2010, in general, rates for all lines of business were down from previous periods, with increased competition experienced in a number of specialty lines of business. With a light level of windstorm activity in 2010, significant excess capacity exists at year end 2010. These factors have led to, what we believe to be, inadequate pricing levels in a number of lines of business.
Current Outlook
The current economic conditions could continue to have a material impact on the frequency and severity of claims and, therefore, could negatively impact our underwriting returns. In addition, volatility in the financial markets could continue to significantly affect our investment returns, reported results and shareholders' equity. We consider the potential impact of economic trends in the estimation process for establishing unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and in determining our investment strategies.
With difficult market conditions and excess capacity in place at year end 2010, we anticipate that 2011 will continue to be challenging from an underwriting perspective. Our objective is to achieve an average operating return on average equity of 15% or greater over the insurance cycle, which we believe to be an attractive return to our common shareholders given the risks we assume. We continue to look for opportunities to find acceptable books of business to underwrite without sacrificing underwriting discipline and continue to believe that the most attractive area from a pricing point of view remains U.S. catastrophe-exposed business. We expect that catastrophe-exposed business will continue to represent a significant proportion of our overall book, which could increase the volatility of our operating results.
Natural Catastrophe Risk
We monitor our natural catastrophe risk globally for all perils and regions, in each case, where we believe there is significant exposure. Our models employ both proprietary and vendor-based systems and include cross-line correlations for property, marine, offshore energy, aviation, workers compensation and personal accident. Currently, we seek to limit our 1-in-250 year return period net probable maximum pre-tax loss from a severe catastrophic event in any geographic zone to approximately 25% of total shareholders' equity. We reserve the right to change this threshold at any time. Based on in-force exposure estimated as of January 1, 2011, our modeled peak zone catastrophe exposure is a windstorm affecting the Northeastern U.S., with a net probable maximum pre-tax loss of $733 million, followed by windstorms affecting the Florida Tri-County and Gulf areas with net probable maximum pre-tax losses of $683 million. Our exposures to other perils, such as U.S. earthquake and international events, are less than the exposures arising from U.S. windstorms and hurricanes. As of January 1, 2011, our modeled peak zone earthquake exposure (Los Angeles area earthquake) represented less than 50% of our peak zone catastrophe exposure, and our modeled peak zone international exposure (United Kingdom windstorm) is substantially less than both our peak zone windstorm and earthquake exposures. Net probable maximum pre-tax loss estimates are net of expected reinsurance recoveries, before income tax and before excess reinsurance reinstatement premiums. Loss estimates are reflective of the zone indicated and not the entire portfolio. Since hurricanes and windstorms can affect more than one zone and make multiple landfalls, our loss estimates include clash estimates from other zones.
The loss estimates shown above do not represent our maximum exposures and it is highly likely that our actual incurred losses would vary materially from the modeled estimates. There can be no assurances that we will not suffer a net loss greater than 25% of our total shareholders' equity from one or more catastrophic events due to several factors, including the inherent uncertainties in
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estimating the frequency and severity of such events and the margin of error in making such determinations resulting from potential inaccuracies and inadequacies in the data provided by clients and brokers, the modeling techniques and the application of such techniques or as a result of a decision to change the percentage of shareholders' equity exposed to a single catastrophic event. In addition, actual losses may increase if our reinsurers fail to meet their obligations to us or the reinsurance protections purchased by us are exhausted or are otherwise unavailable. See "Risk FactorsRisk Relating to Our Industry" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of OperationsNatural and Man-Made Catastrophic Events."
Financial Measures
Management uses the following three key financial indicators in evaluating our performance and measuring the overall growth in value generated for ACGL's common shareholders:
Book Value per Common Share
Book value per common share represents total common shareholders' equity divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Management uses growth in book value per common share as a key measure of the value generated for our common shareholders each period and believes that book value per common share is the key driver of ACGL's common share price over time. Book value per common share is impacted by, among other factors, our underwriting results, investment returns and share repurchase activity, which has an accretive or dilutive impact on book value per common share depending on the purchase price.
Book value per common share was $89.98 at December 31, 2010, a 23.2% increase from $73.01 at December 31, 2009. The growth in 2010 was generated through underwriting results and investment returns and also reflects the accretive impact of share repurchase activity.
After-Tax Operating Return on Average Common Equity
After-tax operating return on average common equity ("Operating ROAE") represents after-tax operating income available to common shareholders divided by the average of beginning and ending common shareholders' equity during the period. After-tax operating income available to common shareholders, a "non-GAAP measure" as defined in the SEC rules, represents net income available to common shareholders, excluding net realized gains or losses, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and net foreign exchange gains or losses, net of income taxes. Management uses Operating ROAE as a key measure of the return generated to common shareholders and has set an objective to achieve an average Operating ROAE of 15% or greater over the insurance cycle, which it believes to be an attractive return to common shareholders given the risks we assume. See "Comment on Non-GAAP Financial Measures."
Our Operating ROAE was 12.0% for 2010, compared to 18.3% for 2009 and 15.8% for 2008. The lower level of Operating ROAE for 2010 than in 2009 was primarily due to a higher amount of losses from catastrophic events and also reflected the impact of current insurance and reinsurance market conditions and the impact of lower interest yields on the investment portfolio. The higher level of Operating ROAE for 2009 compared to 2008 was primarily due to a lower level of claims from catastrophic events.
Total Return on Investments
Total return on investments includes net investment income, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method, net realized gains and losses and the change in unrealized gains and losses generated by our investment portfolio. Total return is calculated on a
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pre-tax basis and before investment expenses and includes the effect of financial market conditions along with foreign currency fluctuations. Management uses total return on investments as a key measure of the return generated to common shareholders on the capital held in the business, and compares the return generated by our investment portfolio against a benchmark return index.
The benchmark return index is a customized combination of indices intended to approximate a target portfolio by asset mix and average credit quality while also matching the approximate estimated duration and currency mix of our insurance and reinsurance liabilities. Although the estimated duration and average credit quality of this index will move as the duration and rating of its constituent securities change, generally we do not adjust the composition of the benchmark return index. The benchmark return index should not be interpreted as expressing a preference for or aversion to any particular sector or sector weight. The index is intended solely to provide, unlike many master indices that change based on the size of their constituent indices, a relatively stable basket of investable indices.
At December 31, 2010, the benchmark return index had an average credit quality of "AA", an estimated duration of 3.32 years and included weightings to the following indices:
|
Weighting | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Merrill Lynch Unsubordinated U.S. Treasuries/Agencies, 1 - 10 Years Index |
30.875 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch U.S. Corporates and All Yankees, 1 - 10 Years Index |
20.875 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Master Index |
11.875 | % | |||
Barclays Capital CMBS, AAA Index |
10.000 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch Municipals, 1 - 10 Years Index |
7.125 | % | |||
MSCI World Free Index |
5.000 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch U.S. Treasury Bills, 0 - 3 Months Index |
4.750 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Master II Constrained Index |
2.375 | % | |||
Barclays Capital U.S. High-Yield Corporate Loan Index |
2.375 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch U.K. Gilts, 1 - 10 Years Index |
2.375 | % | |||
Merrill Lynch EMU Direct Government 1 - 10 Years Index |
2.375 | % | |||
Total |
100.000 | % | |||
The following table summarizes the pre-tax total return (before investment expenses) of our investment portfolio compared to the benchmark return against which we measured our portfolio during the periods:
|
Arch Portfolio(1) |
Benchmark Return Index |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-tax total return (before investment expenses): |
||||||||
Year ended December 31, 2010 |
7.00 | % | 6.38 | % | ||||
Year ended December 31, 2009 |
11.28 | % | 9.71 | % | ||||
Year ended December 31, 2008 |
(2.84 | )% | (1.42 | )% |
Total return for our investment portfolio exceeded that of the benchmark return index in 2010. This excess return was the product of a general outperformance (versus their specific benchmarks) by our investment portfolio's managers, somewhat offset by an underweight in equities and in Euro and British Pound-denominated fixed income securities.
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Comment on Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Throughout this filing, we present our operations in the way we believe will be the most meaningful and useful to investors, analysts, rating agencies and others who use our financial information in evaluating the performance of our company. This presentation includes the use of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders, which is defined as net income available to common shareholders, excluding net realized gains or losses, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and net foreign exchange gains or losses, net of income taxes. The presentation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders is a "non-GAAP financial measure" as defined in Regulation G. The reconciliation of such measure to net income available to common shareholders (the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure) in accordance with Regulation G is included under "Results of Operations" below.
We believe that net realized gains or losses, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and net foreign exchange gains or losses in any particular period are not indicative of the performance of, or trends in, our business. Although net realized gains or losses, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and net foreign exchange gains or losses are an integral part of our operations, the decision to realize investment gains or losses, the recognition of net impairment losses, the recognition of equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and the recognition of foreign exchange gains or losses are independent of the insurance underwriting process and result, in large part, from general economic and financial market conditions. Furthermore, certain users of our financial information believe that, for many companies, the timing of the realization of investment gains or losses is largely opportunistic. In addition, net impairment losses recognized in earnings on our investments represent other-than-temporary declines in expected recovery values on securities without actual realization. The use of the equity method on certain of our investments in certain funds that invest in fixed maturity securities is driven by the ownership structure of such funds (either limited partnerships or limited liability companies). In applying the equity method, these investments are initially recorded at cost and are subsequently adjusted based on our proportionate share of the net income or loss of the funds (which include changes in the market value of the underlying securities in the funds). This method of accounting is different from the way we account for our other fixed maturity securities and the timing of the recognition of equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method may differ from gains or losses in the future upon sale or maturity of such investments. Due to these reasons, we exclude net realized gains or losses, net impairment losses recognized in earnings, equity in net income or loss of investment funds accounted for using the equity method and net foreign exchange gains or losses from the calculation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders.
We believe that showing net income available to common shareholders exclusive of the items referred to above reflects the underlying fundamentals of our business since we evaluate the performance of and manage our business to produce an underwriting profit. In addition to presenting net income available to common shareholders, we believe that this presentation enables investors and other users of our financial information to analyze our performance in a manner similar to how management analyzes performance. We also believe that this measure follows industry practice and, therefore, allows the users of financial information to compare our performance with our industry peer group. We believe that the equity analysts and certain rating agencies which follow us and the insurance industry as a whole generally exclude these items from their analyses for the same reasons.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following table summarizes, on an after-tax basis, our consolidated financial data, including a reconciliation of after-tax operating income available to common shareholders to net income available to common shareholders:
|
Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||
After-tax operating income available to common shareholders |
$ | 491,074 | $ | 651,805 | $ | 537,386 | ||||
Net realized gains (losses), net of tax |
247,054 | 137,428 | (9,132 | ) | ||||||
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings, net of tax |
(11,321 | ) | (66,056 | ) | (181,023 | ) | ||||
Equity in net income (loss) of investment funds accounted for using the equity method, net of tax |
61,400 | 167,819 | (178,608 | ) | ||||||
Net foreign exchange gains (losses), net of tax |
28,537 | (39,895 | ) | 96,499 | ||||||
Net income available to common shareholders |
$ | 816,744 | $ | 851,101 | $ | 265,122 | ||||
The lower level of after-tax operating income in 2010 than in 2009 was primarily due to a higher amount of losses from catastrophic events and also reflected the impact of current insurance and reinsurance market conditions and the impact of lower interest yields on the investment portfolio. The higher level of after-tax operating income in 2009 compared to 2008 was primarily due to a lower level of claims from catastrophic events.
Segment Information
We classify our businesses into two underwriting segmentsinsurance and reinsuranceand corporate and other (non-underwriting). Accounting guidance regarding disclosures about segments of an enterprise and related information requires certain disclosures about operating segments in a manner that is consistent with how management evaluates the performance of the segment. For a description of our underwriting segments, refer to Note 3, "Segment Information," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements. Management measures segment performance based on underwriting income or loss.
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Insurance Segment
The following table sets forth our insurance segment's underwriting results:
|
Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 2,402,202 | $ | 2,512,127 | $ | 2,490,919 | ||||
Net premiums written |
1,658,963 | 1,704,284 | 1,657,603 | |||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ |
1,651,106 |
$ |
1,688,519 |
$ |
1,675,089 |
||||
Fee income |
3,252 | 3,362 | 3,445 | |||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
(1,117,564 | ) | (1,139,415 | ) | (1,194,528 | ) | ||||
Acquisition expenses, net |
(263,201 | ) | (238,261 | ) | (224,539 | ) | ||||
Other operating expenses |
(312,404 | ) | (281,340 | ) | (288,883 | ) | ||||
Underwriting income (loss) |
$ | (38,811 | ) | $ | 32,865 | $ | (29,416 | ) | ||
Underwriting Ratios |
||||||||||
Loss ratio |
67.7 | % | 67.5 | % | 71.3 | % | ||||
Acquisition expense ratio(1) |
15.7 | % | 13.9 | % | 13.2 | % | ||||
Other operating expense ratio |
18.9 | % | 16.7 | % | 17.2 | % | ||||
Combined ratio |
102.3 | % | 98.1 | % | 101.7 | % | ||||
The components of the insurance segment's underwriting results are discussed below.
Premiums Written.
2010 versus 2009: Gross premiums written by the insurance segment in 2010 were 4.4% lower than in 2009, as reductions in commercial aviation, construction and surety lines of business were partially offset by increases in alternative markets and collateral protection lines of business. The reduction in commercial aviation business primarily resulted from a strategic decision to exit the business, while the lower level of property, construction and surety lines was due to current market conditions. The higher level of collateral protection business was generated through new business opportunities while growth in alternative markets business, which is significantly reinsured, primarily resulted from increased renewal premiums on existing accounts. Net premiums written were 2.7% lower than in the 2009 period, reflecting changes in the mix of business, reinstatement premiums, and the impact of changes in reinsurance structure.
2009 versus 2008: Gross premiums written by the insurance segment in 2009 were 0.9% higher than 2008, with growth in executive assurance, national accounts casualty, property, and travel and accident business, primarily resulting from new business, in addition to renewal rate increases for the executive assurance business. Such growth was largely offset by reductions in casualty, surety, professional liability, and other business, as the insurance segment continued to maintain underwriting discipline in response to the current market environment. In addition, the program business experienced growth resulting from new business. However, such growth in the program business was offset by a reduction resulting from $10.9 million of premium adjustments related to involuntary pools in the 2008 period ($10.5 million on an earned basis). Net premiums written increased by 2.8%, reflecting changes in the mix of business noted above, reinstatement premiums and the impact of changes in reinsurance structure.
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For information regarding net premiums written produced by major line of business and geographic location, refer to note 3, "Segment Information," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned by the insurance segment were 2.2% lower in 2010 than in 2009, reflecting changes in net premiums written over the previous five quarters. Net premiums earned by the insurance segment in 2009 increased 0.8% from 2008.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. The table below shows the components of the insurance segment's loss ratio:
|
Year Ended December 31, |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||
Current year |
68.9 | % | 70.3 | % | 76.0 | % | |||||
Prior period reserve development |
(1.2 | )% | (2.8 | )% | (4.7 | )% | |||||
Loss ratio |
67.7 | % | 67.5 | % | 71.3 | % | |||||
Current Year Loss Ratio.
2010 versus 2009: The insurance segment's current year loss ratio was 1.4 points lower in 2010 than in 2009. The 2010 loss ratio benefited from a lower level of large, specific risk loss activity than in 2009. In addition, the 2010 loss ratio included 1.9 points for current year catastrophic event activity, while the 2009 loss ratio did not include any significant catastrophic event activity. Specific 2010 catastrophic events included the Chilean earthquake and the 2010 fourth quarter Queensland, Australia floods.
2009 versus 2008: The insurance segment's current year loss ratio was 5.7 points lower in 2009 than in 2008, primarily due to the lack of any significant catastrophic event activity in 2009, while the 2008 current year loss ratio included 7.2 points of catastrophic activity, primarily Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. The 2009 loss ratio also reflected increases in expected loss ratios across a number of lines of business, primarily due to the anticipated impact of rate changes, partially offset by a lower level of large, specific risk loss activity and changes in the mix of business.
Prior Period Reserve Development.
2010 prior period reserve development: The insurance segment's net favorable development of $19.1 million, or 1.2 points, reflected reductions in property reserves from the 2005 to 2009 accident years (i.e., the year in which a loss occurred) of $5.3 million, $6.8 million, $7.9 million, $23.4 million and $4.3 million, respectively, and reductions in healthcare and other lines of $11.4 million and $11.5 million, respectively, which were spread across a number of accident years. In addition, the insurance segment had reductions in professional liability reserves from the 2007 and 2008 accident years of $11.2 million and $7.9 million, respectively, partially offset by adverse development from the 2006 accident year of $8.4 million. The loss ratio for the year ended December 31, 2010 reflected adverse development in casualty reserves from the 2003 to 2005 accident years of $16.6 million, $9.8 million and $11.0 million, respectively, which was primarily due to a small number of high severity claims in excess casualty and a high frequency of small claims in specialty casualty. Additionally, there was adverse development in program reserves from the 2003, 2005 and 2009 accident years of $7.6 million, $6.7 million and $9.3 million, respectively, partially offset by reductions from the 2006 to 2008 accident years of $6.1 million, $4.7 million and $4.2 million, respectively. In addition, the insurance segment had adverse development in executive assurance reserves from the 2008 and 2009 accident years of $14.1 million and $21.3 million, respectively, due to large specific risk loss activity
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relating to the credit crisis, partially offset by reductions from the 2003, 2004, 2006 and 2007 accident years of $2.0 million, $2.6 million, $3.4 million and $7.6 million, respectively.
2009 prior period reserve development: The insurance segment's net favorable development of $47.1 million, or 2.8 points, was primarily due to reductions in reserves in medium-tailed and short-tailed lines of business. Such amount included favorable development in professional liability reserves from the 2005 to 2007 accident years of $6.3 million, $16.1 million and $8.6 million, respectively, and adverse development on the 2008 accident year of $9.4 million. In addition, favorable development on construction reserves from the 2005 and 2006 accident years contributed $10.6 million and $5.4 million, respectively, which resulted from lower than expected large loss activity. Favorable development in short-tailed lines primarily consisted of reductions in property reserves from the 2007 and 2008 accident years of $9.4 million and $11.1 million, respectively. Offsetting favorable development on medium-tailed and short-tailed lines of business were increases in executive assurance reserves for the 2007 and 2008 accident years of $14.8 million and $28.3 million, respectively, due to large specific risk loss activity relating to the credit crisis, partially offset by favorable development in the 2004 to 2006 accident years of $4.1 million, $17.5 million and $3.6 million, respectively. Reductions in the 2004 to 2006 accident years relate to less large loss activity than expected in commercial D&O, a distinctive downward trend in security class action cases filed from 2004 through 2006, and to the claims-made nature of the coverage. The claims-made aspect eliminates the potential of new claims being reported for these years, and narrows the remaining liability to changes in reserve estimation for claims which have already been reported.
2008 prior period reserve development: The insurance segment's net favorable development of $79.0 million, or 4.7 points, was primarily due to reductions in reserves in medium-tailed and long-tailed lines of business. Over 80 percent of this development is related to the executive assurance and professional liability lines of business. Executive assurance reserves developed favorably for accident years 2004 through 2006 by $15.8 million, $17.3 million, and $17.6 million, respectively. These reductions relate to less large loss activity than expected in commercial D&O, a distinctive downward trend in security class action cases filed from 2004 through 2006, and to the claims-made nature of the coverage. Accident year 2007 experienced unfavorable development of $19.7 million relating to the re-evaluation of claims given additional information available during 2008 regarding the impact of the credit crisis. Reserves for professional liability developed favorably as well, with the majority of the favorable development relating to accident years 2003 through 2005 with $5.2 million, $8.1 million, and $19.1 million, respectively.
Underwriting Expenses.
2010 versus 2009: The insurance segment's underwriting expense ratio was 34.6% in the 2010 period, compared to 30.6% in the 2009 period. The acquisition expense ratio was 15.7% for the 2010 period, compared to 13.9% for the 2009 period. The acquisition expense ratio is influenced by, among other things, (1) the amount of ceding commissions received from reinsurers, (2) the amount of business written on a surplus lines (non-admitted) basis and (3) mix of business. The 2010 acquisition expense ratio included 0.4 points related to prior year reserve development, compared to a 0.2 points in the 2009 period ratio, included a higher level of premium assessments and other charges and reflected changes in the form of reinsurance ceded and mix of business. The insurance segment's other operating expense ratio was 18.9% for 2010, compared to 16.7% for 2009. The 2010 operating expense ratio reflected 0.4 points related to an accrual for certain employee benefit costs which are not expected to impact the insurance segment's results in 2011 and also reflected expenses related to the expansion of the insurance segment's presence in executive assurance business.
2009 versus 2008: The insurance segment's underwriting expense ratio was 30.6% in 2009, compared to 30.4% in 2008. The acquisition expense ratio was 13.9% for 2009, compared to 13.2% for
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2008. In addition, the 2009 acquisition expense ratio reflected an increase of 0.2 points related to the estimated net favorable development in prior year loss reserves, compared to a 0.9 point increase in 2008. The comparison of the 2009 and 2008 acquisition expense ratios reflects changes in the form of reinsurance ceded and the mix of business. The insurance segment's other operating expense ratio was 16.7% for 2009, compared to 17.2% in 2008. The operating expense ratio for the 2008 period included approximately 0.7 points of costs related to an expense management plan which incorporated workforce reductions and the relocation of certain of the insurance segment's U.S. operations. The 2009 operating expenses reflected expenses related to an expansion of the insurance segment's presence in the executive assurance business, partially offset by the benefits of the expense management plan implemented in 2008.
Reinsurance Segment
The following table sets forth our reinsurance segment's underwriting results:
|
Year Ended December 31, | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | |||||||
Gross premiums written |
$ | 874,957 | $ | 1,093,940 | $ | 1,201,903 | ||||
Net premiums written |
852,077 | 1,058,828 | 1,148,123 | |||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ |
901,377 |
$ |
1,154,226 |
$ |
1,170,365 |
||||
Fee income |
2,113 | 100 | 1,261 | |||||||
Losses and loss adjustment expenses |
(400,151 | ) | (515,259 | ) | (654,216 | ) | ||||
Acquisition expenses, net |
(178,001 | ) | (255,299 | ) | (265,970 | ) | ||||
Other operating expenses |
(91,523 | ) | (80,567 | ) | (78,421 | ) | ||||
Underwriting income |
$ | 233,815 | $ | 303,201 | $ | 173,019 | ||||
Underwriting Ratios |
||||||||||
Loss ratio |
44.4 | % | 44.6 | % | 55.9 | % | ||||
Acquisition expense ratio |
19.7 | % | 22.1 | % | 22.7 | % | ||||
Other operating expense ratio |
10.2 | % | 7.0 | % | 6.7 | % | ||||
Combined ratio |
74.3 | % | 73.7 | % | 85.3 | % | ||||
The components of the reinsurance segment's underwriting results are discussed below.
Premiums Written.
2010 versus 2009: Gross premiums written by the reinsurance segment in 2010 were 20.0% lower than in 2009, primarily due to reductions in casualty and property other than property catastrophe business, partially offset by growth in the reinsurance segment's other specialty line. The decrease in casualty and property business in 2010 resulted from the impact of non-renewals of a number of contracts and contract participation decreases, reflecting the impact of current market conditions. The increase in other specialty business primarily resulted from new business written in accident and health and trade credit. Net premiums written by the reinsurance segment in 2010 were 19.5% lower than in 2009, primarily due to the items noted above.
2009 versus 2008: Gross premiums written by the reinsurance segment in 2009 were 9.0% lower than 2008, primarily due to reductions in casualty, marine and aviation, and other specialty business. The decrease in casualty and marine and aviation business resulted from the impact of non-renewals of a number of contracts and contract participation decreases, while the lower level of other specialty business was due to the non-renewal of a non-standard auto treaty in addition to impacts of non-renewals and contract participation decreases. The decreases were partially offset by increases in
83
property business which resulted from new business, the renewal of a two-year treaty, and a $28 million increase in writings by the reinsurance segment's property facultative operation.
For information regarding net premiums written produced by major line of business and geographic location, refer to note 3, "Segment Information," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements.
Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned in 2010 were 21.9% lower than in 2009, reflecting changes in net premiums written over the previous five quarters, including the mix and type of business written. Net premiums earned in 2009 were 1.4% lower than 2008.
Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. The table below shows the components of the reinsurance segment's loss ratio:
|
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||
Current year |
58.6 | % | 56.9 | % | 75.7 | % | |||||
Prior period reserve development |
(14.2 | )% | (12.3 | )% | (19.8 | )% | |||||
Loss ratio |
44.4 | % | 44.6 | % | 55.9 | % | |||||
Current Year Loss Ratio.
2010 versus 2009: The reinsurance segment's current year loss ratio was 1.7 points higher in 2010 than in 2009. The 2010 loss ratio included 9.9 points for current year catastrophic event activity, compared to 2.0 points in 2009. Specific 2010 catastrophic events included the Chilean and New Zealand earthquakes, the 2010 first quarter Australian hailstorm and flood event and the 2010 fourth quarter Queensland, Australia floods. In addition, 2010 benefited from a higher percentage of property (both treaty and facultative) and short-tail business than in 2009. Net premiums earned in property and other short-tailed lines were approximately 74% of the total for 2010, compared to 70% in 2009.
2009 versus 2008: The reinsurance segment's current year loss ratio was 18.8% lower in 2009 than in 2008, and benefited from a higher level of property and short-tail business and a minimal level of catastrophic activity in the period. Net premiums earned in property and other short-tailed lines were approximately 70% of the total for 2009, compared to 64% in 2008. The 2009 current year loss ratio included 2.0 points of current period catastrophic event activity, compared to 19.6 points for 2008, primarily related to Hurricanes Gustav and Ike.
Prior Period Reserve Development.
2010 prior period reserve development: The reinsurance segment's net favorable development of $127.6 million, or 14.2 points, consisted of $84.2 million from short-tailed lines, $34.1 million from long-tailed lines and $9.3 million from medium-tailed lines. Favorable development in short-tailed lines included $61.0 million of favorable development from property catastrophe and property other than property catastrophe reserves. Such amount included reductions of $9.4 million, $11.2 million and $28.6 million from the 2007, 2008 and 2009 underwriting years, respectively, and $11.8 million from prior underwriting years. In addition, favorable development in other specialty business included $4.7 million and $7.8 million from the 2008 and 2009 underwriting years, respectively, and $10.7 million from prior underwriting years. The reduction of loss estimates for the reinsurance segment's short-tailed lines primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated which led to decreases in certain loss ratio selections during 2010. Net favorable development of $34.1 million in long-tailed lines included reductions in casualty reserves from the 2002
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to 2006 underwriting years of $10.8 million, $17.5 million, $33.3 million, $13.5 million and $5.8 million, respectively, which primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated on U.S. and international excess liability, professional liability and D&O lines. Such amounts were partially offset by adverse development of $7.5 million, $31.9 and $5.6 million from the 2007 to 2009 underwriting years, respectively, on long-tailed lines which primarily resulted from increases in loss selections due to the reinsurance segment's view of the current insurance environment. Favorable development on medium-tailed lines resulted from reductions in marine and aviation reserves of $8.3 million from the 2007 underwriting year and $7.7 million from other underwriting years, partially offset by adverse development of $6.7 million from the 2008 underwriting year. The reinsurance segment's reserves for more mature underwriting years are now based more on actual loss activity and historical patterns than on the initial assumptions based on pricing indications.
2009 prior period reserve development: The reinsurance segment's net favorable development of $142.1 million, or 12.3 points, consisted of $83.4 million from short-tailed lines and $78.7 million came from long-tailed lines, partially offset by $20.0 million of adverse development on medium-tailed lines. Favorable development in short-tailed lines included $58.5 million of favorable development from property catastrophe and other property lines. Such amount included reductions in 2005 to 2008 underwriting years of $8.1 million, $5.6 million, $21.0 million and $20.9 million, respectively. In addition, favorable development in short-tailed lines included $22.7 million from other specialty business, which included reductions of $9.7 million, $4.3 million and $5.3 million from the 2004, 2005 and 2008 underwriting years. The reduction of loss estimates for the reinsurance segment's short-tailed lines primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated which led to decreases in certain loss ratio selections during 2009. Net favorable development of $78.7 million in long-tailed lines included reductions in casualty reserves of $14.4 million, $25.9 million, $25.0 million and $32.3 million from the 2002 to 2005 underwriting years which primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated on U.S. and international excess liability, professional liability and D&O lines. Such amounts were partially offset by adverse development of $25.0 million from the 2007 underwriting year, which primarily resulted from increases in loss selections due to the reinsurance segment's view of the insurance environment. Adverse development on medium-tailed lines resulted from increases on marine exposures in the 2007 and 2008 underwriting years of $7.2 million and $26.9 million, respectively, due in part to increases in Hurricane Ike estimates, partially offset by reductions in prior underwriting years.
2008 prior period reserve development: The reinsurance segment's net favorable development of $231.2 million, or 19.8 points, consisted of $126.1 million from short-tailed lines and $105.1 million from medium-tailed and long-tailed business. The reinsurance segment's favorable development in short-tailed lines of $126.1 million included $73.5 million of favorable development from property catastrophe and other property lines. Of such amount, $42.0 million of favorable development came from the reinsurance segment's property catastrophe business, including $10.8 million, $11.4 million and $15.7 million from the 2005 to 2007 underwriting years, respectively. The remainder was attributable to favorable development on other property business, primarily from the 2005 underwriting year. In addition, favorable development in short-tailed lines reflected $46.5 million of favorable development in other specialty business, including $16.7 million, $5.1 million and $9.5 million from the 2005 to 2007 underwriting years, respectively, with the remainder attributable to earlier underwriting years. The reduction of loss estimates for the reinsurance segment's short-tailed lines primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated which led to decreases in certain loss ratio selections during 2008. The net favorable development of $105.1 million in medium-tailed and long-tailed lines was primarily in casualty reserves from the 2003 to 2005 underwriting years, which contributed $31.0 million, $38.7 million and $14.2 million, respectively. The reductions in casualty reserves primarily resulted from a lower level of reported and paid claims activity than previously anticipated on U.S. and international excess liability, professional liability and D&O lines.
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Underwriting Expenses.
2010 versus 2009: The underwriting expense ratio for the reinsurance segment was 29.9% in 2010, compared to 29.1% in 2009. The acquisition expense ratio for 2010 was 19.7%, compared to 22.1% for 2009. The comparison of the 2010 and 2009 acquisition expense ratios is influenced by, among other things, the mix and type of business written and earned and the level of ceding commission income. The operating expense ratio for 2010 of 10.2% was higher than the 2009 ratio primarily due to the lower level of net premiums earned and a higher contribution to net premiums earned from the reinsurance segment's property facultative operations which operate primarily on a direct basis and, accordingly, at a higher operating expense ratio.
2009 versus 2008: The underwriting expense ratio for the reinsurance segment was 29.1% in 2009, compared to 29.4% in 2008. The acquisition expense ratio for 2009 was 22.1%, compared to 22.7% for 2008. Commencing in 2006, Arch Reinsurance Ltd. ("Arch Re Bermuda") ceded certain lines of property and marine premiums written under a quota share reinsurance treaty (the "Treaty") to Flatiron Re Ltd. ("Flatiron"). Under the Treaty, which expired by its terms on December 31, 2007, Flatiron assumed a quota share of certain lines of property and marine business underwritten by Arch Re Bermuda for the 2006 and 2007 underwriting years. Commission income from Flatiron (in excess of the reimbursement of direct acquisition expenses) reduced the reinsurance segment's acquisition expense ratio by 0.7 points in 2009, compared to 2.0 points in 2008. In addition, the 2009 acquisition expense ratio reflected 0.3 points related to estimated net favorable development in prior year loss reserves, compared to 1.0 points in 2008. The comparison of the 2009 and 2008 acquisition expense ratios is influenced by, among other things, the mix and type of business written and earned and the level of ceding commission income. The reinsurance segment's other operating expense ratio was 7.0% for 2009, compared to 6.7% for 2008. The higher ratio in 2009 resulted in part from a lower level of net premiums earned and a higher contribution to net premiums earned from the reinsurance segment's property facultative operations which operate primarily on a direct basis and, accordingly, at a higher operating expense ratio.
Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income were derived from the following sources:
|
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||
Fixed maturities |
$ | 378,682 | $ | 404,861 | $ | 437,492 | |||||
Short-term investments |
1,337 | 1,897 | 21,006 | ||||||||
Other(1) |
5,245 | 4,413 | 23,473 | ||||||||
Gross investment income |
385,264 | 411,171 | 481,971 | ||||||||
Investment expenses |
(20,386 | ) | (21,040 | ) | (13,891 | ) | |||||
Net investment income |
$ | 364,878 | $ | 390,131 | $ | 468,080 | |||||
The pre-tax investment income yield was 3.34% for 2010, compared to 3.74% for 2009 and 4.73% for 2008. The comparability of net investment income between the periods was influenced by our share repurchase program, as well as the decrease in the pre-tax investment income yield, due in part to the prevailing interest rate environment and a reduction of the portfolio's effective duration to 2.83 years at December 31, 2010, compared to 2.87 years and 3.62 years at December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively. The pre-tax investment income yields were calculated based on amortized cost. Yields on future investment income may vary based on financial market conditions, investment allocation decisions and other factors.
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Equity in Net Income (Loss) of Investment Funds Accounted for Using the Equity Method
We recorded $61.4 million of equity in net income for 2010, compared to $167.8 million of equity in net income for 2009 and equity in net losses of $178.6 million for 2008. Such amounts were primarily related to our investments in U.S. and Euro-denominated bank loan funds which use leverage to achieve a higher rate of return. While leverage presents opportunities for increasing the total return of such investments, it may increase losses as well. Accordingly, any event that adversely affects the value of the underlying securities held by such investments would be magnified to the extent leverage is used and our potential losses from such investments would be magnified. Losses during 2008 resulted from the extreme volatility in the capital and credit markets as the market values of the secured loans underlying the holdings in such funds declined significantly. Income during 2010 and 2009 reflected improving credit spreads, a lower level of volatility in the capital and credit markets and changes in foreign currency rates.
Net Realized Gains or Losses
The following table provides an analysis of net realized gains (losses):
|
Year Ended December 31, | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | 2008 | ||||||||
Fixed maturities |
$ | 186,363 | $ | 135,426 | $ | (17,793 | ) | ||||
Equity securities |
14,129 | 4,420 | | ||||||||
Other investments |
9,187 | 746 | (10,039 | ) | |||||||
Other(1) |
43,072 | 2,990 | 23,893 | ||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) |
$ | 252,751 | $ | 143,582 | $ | (3,939 | ) | ||||
Currently, our portfolio is actively managed to maximize total return within certain guidelines. In assessing returns under this approach, we include net investment income, net realized gains and losses and the change in unrealized gains and losses generated by our investment portfolio. The effect of financial market movements on the investment portfolio will directly impact net realized gains and losses as the portfolio is adjusted and rebalanced. Total return on our portfolio under management for 2010 was 7.00%, compared to 11.28% for 2009 and (2.84)% for 2008. Excluding foreign exchange, total return was 7.26% for 2010, compared to 10.56% for 2009 and (2.00)% for 2008. Total return is calculated on a pre-tax basis and before investment expenses. The lower total return in 2008 compared to 2009 and 2010 was primarily due to the widening credit spreads which occurred during the last half of 2008, along with the impact of foreign exchange rate changes. For all periods presented, net realized gains or losses from the sale of fixed maturities primarily resulted from our decisions to reduce credit exposure, to change duration targets, to rebalance our portfolios or due to relative value determinations. In addition, net realized gains or losses include changes in the market value of certain hybrid securities pursuant to applicable guidance. We recorded realized losses on such securities of $0.5 million in 2010, compared to realized gains of $14.8 million in 2009 and realized losses of $5.4 million in 2008. We elected to carry certain equity securities at fair value under the fair value option afforded by accounting guidance regarding the fair value option for financial assets and liabilities. The fair market values of such securities at December 31, 2010 were approximately $66.3 million, compared to $36.4 million at December 31, 2009. For 2010, we recorded $14.2 million of realized gains on such securities, compared to $4.4 million of realized gains for 2009 and nil in 2008.
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Net Impairment Losses Recognized in Earnings
We review our investment portfolio each quarter to determine if declines in market value are other-than-temporary. The process for identifying declines in the market value of investments that are other-than-temporary involves consideration of several factors. These factors include (i) an analysis of the liquidity, business prospects and overall financial condition of the issuer, (ii) the time period in which there was a significant decline in value, (iii) the significance of the decline and (iv) the analysis of specific credit events. For 2010, we recorded $11.3 million of credit related impairments in earnings, compared to $66.1 million in 2009. The other-than-temporary impairments ("OTTI") recorded in 2010 and 2009 primarily resulted from reductions in estimated recovery values on certain mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities following the review of such securities. We recorded $181.2 million of OTTI as a charge against earnings in 2008. Such amount was recorded prior to the adoption of accounting guidance regarding the recognition and presentation of OTTI, and included a portion related to credit losses and a portion related to all other factors. See note 7, "Investment InformationOther-Than-Temporary Impairments," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements for additional information.
Other Expenses
Other expenses, which are included in our other operating expenses and part of corporate and other (non-underwriting), were $28.9 million for 2010, compared to $30.2 million for 2009 and $28.5 million for 2008. Such amounts primarily represent certain holding company costs necessary to support our worldwide insurance and reinsurance operations, share based compensation expense and costs associated with operating as a publicly traded company.
Net Foreign Exchange Gains or Losses
Net foreign exchange gains for 2010 of $28.1 million consisted of net unrealized gains of $29.5 million and net realized losses of $1.4 million, compared to net foreign exchange losses for 2009 of $39.2 million which consisted of net unrealized losses of $37.6 million and net realized losses of $1.6 million. Net foreign exchange gains for 2008 of $96.6 million consisted of net unrealized gains of $97.4 million and net realized losses of $0.8 million. The 2010 and 2008 net foreign exchange gains primarily resulted from a strengthening of the U.S. Dollar against the Euro and other major currencies during those periods while the net foreign exchange losses in 2009 primarily resulted from a weakening of the U.S. Dollar. Net unrealized foreign exchange gains or losses result from the effects of revaluing our net insurance liabilities required to be settled in foreign currencies at each balance sheet date. Historically, we have held investments in foreign currencies which are intended to mitigate our exposure to foreign currency fluctuations in our net insurance liabilities. However, changes in the value of such investments due to foreign currency rate movements are reflected as a direct increase or decrease to shareholders' equity and are not included in the consolidated statements of income. As a result of the current financial and economic environment as well as the potential for additional investment returns, we may not match a portion of our projected liabilities in foreign currencies with investments in the same currencies, which could increase our exposure to foreign currency fluctuations and increase the volatility in our shareholders' equity.
Income Taxes
ACGL changed its legal domicile from the United States to Bermuda in November 2000. Under current Bermuda law, we are not obligated to pay any taxes in Bermuda based upon income or capital gains. We have received a written undertaking from the Minister of Finance in Bermuda under the Exempted Undertakings Tax Protection Act of 1966 that in the event legislation is enacted in Bermuda imposing tax computed on profits, income, gain or appreciation on any capital asset, or tax in the nature of estate duty or inheritance tax, such tax will not be applicable to us or our operations until March 28, 2016.
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ACGL will be subject to U.S. federal income tax only to the extent that it derives U.S. source income that is subject to U.S. withholding tax or income that is effectively connected with the conduct of a trade or business within the U.S. and is not exempt from U.S. tax under an applicable income tax treaty. ACGL will be subject to a withholding tax on dividends from U.S. investments and interest from certain U.S. taxpayers. ACGL does not consider itself to be engaged in a trade or business within the U.S. and, consequently, does not expect to be subject to direct U.S. income taxation. However, because there is uncertainty as to the activities which constitute being engaged in a trade or business within the United States, there can be no assurances that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service will not contend successfully that ACGL or its non-U.S. subsidiaries are engaged in a trade or business in the United States. If ACGL or any of its non-U.S. subsidiaries were subject to U.S. income tax, ACGL's shareholders' equity and earnings could be materially adversely affected. ACGL has subsidiaries and branches that operate in various jurisdictions around the world that are subject to tax in the jurisdictions in which they operate. The significant jurisdictions in which ACGL's subsidiaries and branches are subject to tax include the United States, United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Switzerland and Denmark. See "Risk FactorsRisks Relating to Taxation" and "BusinessTax Matters."
The income tax provision on income before income taxes resulted in an effective tax rate of 0.9% for 2010, compared to 2.3% for 2009 and 4.4% for 2008. Our effective tax rate fluctuates from year to year consistent with the relative mix of income reported by jurisdiction due primarily to the varying tax rates in each jurisdiction. We currently estimate that our comparable income tax provision in 2011 will result in an effective tax rate of approximately 1% to 3%, although no assurances can be given to that effect. See note 11, "Income Taxes," of the notes accompanying our consolidated financial statements for a reconciliation of the difference between the provision for income taxes and the expected tax provision at the weighted average statutory tax rate for 2010, 2009 and 2008.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES, ESTIMATES AND RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS
The preparation of consolidated financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires us to make many estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities (including reserves), revenues and expenses, and related disclosures of contingent liabilities. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our estimates, including those related to revenue recognition, insurance and other reserves, reinsurance recoverables, allowance for doubtful accounts, investment valuations, intangible assets, bad debts, income taxes, contingencies and litigation. We base our estimates on historical experience, where possible, and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, which form the basis for our judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Estimates and judgments for a relatively new insurance and reinsurance company, like our company, are even more difficult to make than those made in a mature company since relatively limited historical information has been reported to us through December 31, 2010. Actual results will differ from these estimates and such differences may be material. We believe that the following critical accounting policies affect significant estimates used in the preparation of our consolidated financial statements.
Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
We are required by applicable insurance laws and regulations and GAAP to establish reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses ("Loss Reserves") that arise from the business we underwrite. Loss Reserves for our insurance and reinsurance operations are balance sheet liabilities representing estimates of future amounts required to pay losses and loss adjustment expenses for insured or reinsured events which have occurred at or before the balance sheet date. Loss Reserves do not reflect contingency reserve allowances to account for future loss occurrences. Losses arising from future events will be estimated and recognized at the time the losses are incurred and could be substantial.
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At December 31, 2010 and 2009, our Loss Reserves, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, by type and by operating segment were as follows:
|
December 31, | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | ||||||
Insurance: |
||||||||
Case reserves |
$ | 1,251,896 | $ | 1,166,441 | ||||
IBNR reserves |
2,590,529 | 2,431,193 | ||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 3,842,425 | $ | 3,597,634 | ||||
Reinsurance: |
||||||||
Case reserves. |
$ | 747,545 | $ | 812,455 | ||||
Additional case reserves |
93,110 | 61,226 | ||||||
IBNR reserves |
1,712,173 | 1,742,597 | ||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 2,552,828 | $ | 2,616,278 | ||||
Total: |
||||||||
Case reserves. |
$ | 1,999,441 | $ | 1,978,896 | ||||
Additional case reserves |
93,110 | 61,226 | ||||||
IBNR reserves |
4,302,702 | 4,173,790 | ||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 6,395,253 | $ | 6,213,912 | ||||
Insurance Operations
Loss Reserves for our insurance operations are comprised of (1) estimated amounts for claims reported ("case reserves") and (2) incurred but not reported ("IBNR") losses. For our insurance operations, generally, claims personnel determine whether to establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate settlement of individual claims. The estimate reflects the judgment of claims personnel based on general corporate reserving practices, the experience and knowledge of such personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim and, where appropriate, advice of counsel. Our insurance operations also contract with a number of outside third party administrators in the claims process who, in certain cases, have limited authority to establish case reserves. The work of such administrators is reviewed and monitored by our claims personnel. Loss Reserves are also established to provide for loss adjustment expenses and represent the estimated expense of settling claims, including legal and other fees and the general expenses of administering the claims adjustment process. Periodically, adjustments to the reported or case reserves may be made as additional information regarding the claims is reported or payments are made. IBNR reserves are established to provide for incurred claims which have not yet been reported at the balance sheet date as well as to adjust for any projected variance in case reserving. Actuaries estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses using various generally accepted actuarial methods applied to known losses and other relevant information. Like case reserves, IBNR reserves are adjusted as additional information becomes known or payments are made. The process of estimating reserves involves a considerable degree of judgment by management and, as of any given date, is inherently uncertain.
Ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses are generally determined by extrapolation of claim emergence and settlement patterns observed in the past that can reasonably be expected to persist into the future. In forecasting ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to any line of business, past experience with respect to that line of business is the primary resource, developed through both industry and company experience, but cannot be relied upon in isolation. Uncertainties in estimating ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses are magnified by the time lag between when a claim actually occurs and when it is reported and settled. This time lag is sometimes referred to as the
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"claim-tail". The claim-tail for most property coverages is typically short (usually several months up to a few years). The claim-tail for certain professional liability, executive assurance and healthcare coverages, which are generally written on a claims-made basis, is typically longer than property coverages but shorter than casualty lines. The claim-tail for liability/casualty coverages, such as general liability, products liability, multiple peril coverage, and workers' compensation, may be especially long as claims are often reported and ultimately paid or settled years, or even decades, after the related loss events occur. During the long claims reporting and settlement period, additional facts regarding coverages written in prior accident years, as well as about actual claims and trends, may become known and, as a result, our insurance operations may adjust their reserves. If management determines that an adjustment is appropriate, the adjustment is recorded in the accounting period in which such determination is made in accordance with GAAP. Accordingly, should Loss Reserves need to be increased or decreased in the future from amounts currently established, future results of operations would be negatively or positively impacted, respectively.
In determining ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses, the cost to indemnify claimants, provide needed legal defense and other services for insureds and administer the investigation and adjustment of claims are considered. These claim costs are influenced by many factors that change over time, such as expanded coverage definitions as a result of new court decisions, inflation in costs to repair or replace damaged property, inflation in the cost of medical services and legislated changes in statutory benefits, as well as by the particular, unique facts that pertain to each claim. As a result, the rate at which claims arose in the past and the costs to settle them may not always be representative of what will occur in the future. The factors influencing changes in claim costs are often difficult to isolate or quantify and developments in paid and incurred losses from historical trends are frequently subject to multiple and conflicting interpretations. Changes in coverage terms or claims handling practices may also cause future experience and/or development patterns to vary from the past. A key objective of actuaries in developing estimates of ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses, and resulting IBNR reserves, is to identify aberrations and systemic changes occurring within historical experience and accurately adjust for them so that the future can be projected reliably. Because of the factors previously discussed, this process requires the substantial use of informed judgment and is inherently uncertain.
At December 31, 2010 and 2009, the insurance segment's Loss Reserves by major line of business, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, were as follows:
|
December 31, | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | ||||||
Casualty |
$ | 656,446 | $ | 641,793 | ||||
Executive assurance |
599,753 | 536,151 | ||||||
Property, energy, marine and aviation |
519,560 | 533,859 | ||||||
Professional liability |
542,551 | 504,454 | ||||||
Programs |
504,068 | 452,143 | ||||||
Construction |
450,660 | 421,729 | ||||||
Healthcare |
145,343 | 139,414 | ||||||
National accounts casualty |
132,064 | 96,251 | ||||||
Surety |
79,264 | 89,501 | ||||||
Travel and accident |
31,707 | 29,033 | ||||||
Other |
181,009 | 153,306 | ||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 3,842,425 | $ | 3,597,634 | ||||
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The initial reserving method for our insurance operations to date has been, to a large extent, the expected loss method, which is commonly applied when limited loss experience exists. Our insurance operations employ a number of different reserving methods depending on the line of business, the availability of historical loss experience and the stability of that loss experience. Over time, such techniques have been given more weight in the reserving process due to the continuing maturation of their Loss Reserves and the increased availability and credibility of the historical experience. Any estimates and assumptions made as part of the reserving process could prove to be inaccurate due to several factors, including the fact that relatively limited historical information has been reported to our insurance operations through December 31, 2010 in some lines of business. See below for a discussion of the key assumptions in our insurance operations' reserving process.
Although Loss Reserves are initially determined based on underwriting and pricing analysis, our insurance operations apply several generally accepted actuarial methods, as discussed below, on a quarterly basis to evaluate their Loss Reserves, in addition to the expected loss method, in particular for Loss Reserves from more mature accident years (the year in which a loss occurred). As noted below, beginning in 2005, our insurance operations began to give a relatively small amount of weight to their own experience following reviews of open claims on lines of business written on a claims-made basis for which they developed a reasonable level of credible data. Each quarter, as part of the reserving process, actuaries at our insurance operations reaffirm that the assumptions used in the reserving process continue to form a sound basis for the projection of liabilities. If actual loss activity differs substantially from expectations based on historical information, an adjustment to loss reserves may be supported. Estimated Loss Reserves for more mature accident years are now based more on historical loss activity and patterns than on the initial assumptions based on pricing indications. More recent accident years rely more heavily on internal pricing assumptions. Our insurance operations place more or less reliance on a particular actuarial method based on the facts and circumstances at the time the estimates of Loss Reserves are made. These methods generally fall into one of the following categories or are hybrids of one or more of the following categories:
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past, such as inflation or the effects of litigation, will remain constant in the future. Because historical paid loss development methods do not use incurred losses to estimate ultimate losses, they may be more reliable than the other methods that use incurred losses in situations where there are significant changes in how incurred losses are established by a company's claims adjusters. However, historical paid loss development methods are more leveraged (meaning that small changes in payments have a larger impact on estimates of ultimate losses) than actuarial methods that use incurred losses because cumulative loss payments take much longer to equal the expected ultimate losses than cumulative incurred amounts. In addition, and for similar reasons, historical paid loss development methods are often slow to react to situations when new or different factors arise than those that have affected paid losses in the past.
In the initial reserving process for casualty business, primarily consisting of primary and excess exposures written on an occurrence basis, our insurance operations primarily rely on the expected loss method. The development of our insurance operations' casualty business may be unstable due to its long-tail nature and the occurrence of high severity events, as a portion of our insurance operations' casualty business is in high excess layers. As time passes, for a given accident year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. Our insurance operations make a number of key assumptions in reserving for casualty business, including that the pricing loss ratio is the best estimate of the ultimate loss ratio at the time the policy is entered into, that our insurance operations' loss development patterns, which are based on a combination of company and industry loss development patterns and adjusted to reflect differences in our insurance operations' mix of business, are reasonable and that our insurance operations' claims personnel and underwriters analyses of our exposure to major events are assumed to be our best estimate of our exposure to the known claims on those events. As noted earlier, due to the long claims reporting and settlement period for casualty business, additional facts regarding coverages written in prior accident years, as well as about actual claims and trends may become known and, as a result, our insurance operations may be required to adjust their casualty reserves. The expected loss ratios used in the initial reserving process for our insurance operations' casualty business for recent accident years have varied, in some cases significantly, from earlier accident years. As the credibility of historical experience for earlier accident years increases, the experience from these accident years will be given a greater weighting in the actuarial analysis to determine future accident year expected loss ratios, adjusted for changes in pricing, loss trends, terms and conditions and reinsurance structure.
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In the initial reserving process for property, energy, marine and aviation business, which are primarily short-tail exposures, our insurance operations rely on a combination of the reserving methods discussed above. For catastrophe-exposed business, our insurance operations' reserving process also includes the usage of catastrophe models for known events and a heavy reliance on analysis of individual catastrophic events and management judgment. The development of property losses can be unstable, especially for policies characterized by high severity, low frequency losses. As time passes, for a given accident year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. Our insurance operations make a number of key assumptions in their reserving process, including that historical paid and reported development patterns are stable, catastrophe models provide useful information about our exposure to catastrophic events that have occurred and our underwriters' judgment as to potential loss exposures can be relied on. The expected loss ratios used in the initial reserving process for our insurance operations' property business have varied over time due to changes in pricing, reinsurance structure, estimates of catastrophe losses, policy changes (such as attachment points, class and limits) and geographical distribution. As losses in property lines are reported relatively quickly, expected loss ratios are selected for the current accident year based upon actual attritional loss ratios for earlier accident years, adjusted for rate changes, inflation, changes in reinsurance programs and expected attritional losses based on modeling. Due to the short-tail nature of property business, reported loss experience emerges quickly and ultimate losses are known in a reasonably short period of time.
In addition to the assumptions and development characteristics noted above for casualty and property business, our insurance operations authorize managing general agents, general agents and other producers to write program business on their behalf within prescribed underwriting authorities. This adds additional complexity to the reserving process. To monitor adherence to the underwriting guidelines given to such parties, our insurance operations periodically perform claims due diligence reviews. In the initial reserving process for program business, consisting of property and liability exposures which are primarily written on an occurrence basis, our insurance operations primarily rely on the expected loss method. As time passes, for a given accident year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. The expected loss ratios used in the initial reserving process for our insurance operations' program business have varied over time depending on the type of exposures written (casualty or property) and changes in pricing, loss trends, reinsurance structure and changes in the underlying business.
In the initial reserving process for executive assurance, professional liability and healthcare business, primarily consisting of medium-tail exposures written on a claims-made basis, our insurance operations primarily rely on the expected loss method. As time passes, for a given accident year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. Beginning in 2005, our insurance operations began to give a relatively small amount of weight to their own experience following reviews of open claims, in particular for lines of business written on a claims-made basis for which they developed a reasonable level of credible data. Over the last few years, our insurance operations have increased their reliance on reviews of open claims. In general, the expected loss ratios established for executive assurance, professional liability and healthcare business for recent accident years vary, in some cases materially, from earlier accident years based on analysis of pricing, loss cost trends and changes in policy coverage. Since this business is primarily written on a claims-made basis and is subject to high severity, low frequency losses, a great deal of uncertainty exists in setting these initial reserves. In addition, only a limited number of years of historical experience is available for use in projecting loss experience using standard actuarial methods. As the credibility of historical experience for earlier accident years increases, the experience from these accident years will be given a greater weighting in
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the actuarial analysis to determine future accident year expected loss ratios, adjusted for the occurrence or lack of large losses, changes in pricing, loss trends, terms and conditions and reinsurance structure.
In the initial reserving process for construction and surety business, consisting of primary and excess casualty and contract surety coverages written on an occurrence and claims-made basis, our insurance operations primarily rely on a combination of the reserving methods discussed above. Such business is subject to the assumptions and development characteristics noted above for casualty business. As time passes, for a given accident year, additional weight has been given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. In general, the expected loss ratios used in the initial reserving process for our insurance operations' construction and surety business for recent accident years vary, in some cases materially, from earlier accident years. As the credibility of historical experience for earlier accident years has increased, the experience from these accident years has been given a greater weighting in the actuarial analysis to determine future accident year expected loss ratios, adjusted for anticipated changes in the regulatory environment, pricing, loss trends, terms and conditions and reinsurance structure.
Reinsurance Operations
Loss Reserves for our reinsurance operations are comprised of (1) case reserves for claims reported, (2) additional case reserves ("ACRs") and (3) IBNR reserves. Our reinsurance operations receive reports of claims notices from ceding companies and record case reserves based upon the amount of reserves recommended by the ceding company. Case reserves on known events may be supplemented by ACRs, which are often estimated by our reinsurance operations' claims personnel ahead of official notification from the ceding company, or when our reinsurance operations' judgment regarding the size or severity of the known event differs from the ceding company. In certain instances, our reinsurance operations establish ACRs even when the ceding company does not report any liability on a known event. In addition, specific claim information reported by ceding companies or obtained through claim audits can alert our reinsurance operations to emerging trends such as changing legal interpretations of coverage and liability, claims from unexpected sources or classes of business, and significant changes in the frequency or severity of individual claims. Such information is often used in the process of estimating IBNR reserves.
The estimation of Loss Reserves for our reinsurance operations is subject to the same risk factors as the estimation of Loss Reserves for our insurance operations. In addition, the inherent uncertainties of estimating such reserves are even greater for reinsurers, due primarily to the following factors: (1) the claim-tail for reinsurers is generally longer because claims are first reported to the ceding company and then to the reinsurer through one or more intermediaries, (2) the reliance on premium estimates, where reports have not been received from the ceding company, in the reserving process, (3) the potential for writing a number of reinsurance contracts with different ceding companies with the same exposure to a single loss event, (4) the diversity of loss development patterns among different types of reinsurance contracts, (5) the necessary reliance on the ceding companies for information regarding reported claims and (6) the differing reserving practices among ceding companies.
As with our insurance operations, the process of estimating Loss Reserves for our reinsurance operations involves a considerable degree of judgment by management and, as of any given date, is inherently uncertain. As discussed above, such uncertainty is greater for reinsurers compared to insurers. As a result, our reinsurance operations obtain information from numerous sources to assist in the process. Pricing actuaries from our reinsurance operations devote considerable effort to understanding and analyzing a ceding company's operations and loss history during the underwriting of the business, using a combination of ceding company and industry statistics. Such statistics normally include historical premium and loss data by class of business, individual claim information for larger claims, distributions of insurance limits provided, loss reporting and payment patterns, and rate change
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history. This analysis is used to project expected loss ratios for each treaty during the upcoming contract period.
As mentioned above, there can be a considerable time lag from the time a claim is reported to a ceding company to the time it is reported to the reinsurer. The lag can be several years in some cases and may be attributed to a number of reasons, including the time it takes to investigate a claim, delays associated with the litigation process, the deterioration in a claimant's physical condition many years after an accident occurs, the case reserving approach of the ceding company, etc. In the reserving process, our reinsurance operations assume that such lags are predictable, on average, over time and therefore the lags are contemplated in the loss reporting patterns used in their actuarial methods. This means that our reinsurance operations must rely on estimates for a longer period of time than does an insurance company.
Backlogs in the recording of assumed reinsurance can also complicate the accuracy of loss reserve estimation. As of December 31, 2010, there were no significant backlogs related to the processing of assumed reinsurance information at our reinsurance operations.
Our reinsurance operations rely heavily on information reported by ceding companies, as discussed above. In order to determine the accuracy and completeness of such information, underwriters, actuaries, and claims personnel at our reinsurance operations often perform audits of ceding companies and regularly review information received from ceding companies for unusual or unexpected results. Material findings are usually discussed with the ceding companies. Our reinsurance operations sometimes encounter situations where they determine that a claim presentation from a ceding company is not in accordance with contract terms. In these situations, our reinsurance operations attempt to resolve the dispute with the ceding company. Most situations are resolved amicably and without the need for litigation or arbitration. However, in the infrequent situations where a resolution is not possible, our reinsurance operations will vigorously defend their position in such disputes.
At December 31, 2010 and 2009, the reinsurance segment's Loss Reserves by major line of business, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, were as follows:
|
December 31, | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2010 | 2009 | ||||||
Casualty |
$ | 1,748,888 | $ | 1,792,750 | ||||
Property excluding property catastrophe |
295,425 | 322,476 | ||||||
Marine and aviation |
194,925 | 228,708 | ||||||
Property catastrophe |
160,237 | 111,784 | ||||||
Other specialty |
106,241 | 116,799 | ||||||
Other |
47,112 | 43,761 | ||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 2,552,828 | $ | 2,616,278 | ||||
Any estimates and assumptions made as part of the reserving process could prove to be inaccurate due to several factors, including the fact that relatively limited historical information has been reported to our reinsurance operations through December 31, 2010 in some lines of business. See below for a discussion of the key assumptions in our reinsurance operations' reserving process.
Although Loss Reserves are initially determined based on underwriting and pricing analysis, our reinsurance operations apply several generally accepted actuarial methods, as discussed above, on a quarterly basis to evaluate their Loss Reserves in addition to the expected loss method, in particular for Loss Reserves from more mature underwriting years (the year in which business is underwritten). Each quarter, as part of the reserving process, actuaries at our reinsurance operations reaffirm that the assumptions used in the reserving process continue to form a sound basis for projection of liabilities. If actual loss activity differs substantially from expectations based on historical information, an adjustment
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to loss reserves may be supported. Estimated Loss Reserves for more mature underwriting years are now based more on actual loss activity and historical patterns than on the initial assumptions based on pricing indications. More recent underwriting years rely more heavily on internal pricing assumptions. Our reinsurance operations place more or less reliance on a particular actuarial method based on the facts and circumstances at the time the estimates of Loss Reserves are made.
In the initial reserving process for medium-tail and long-tail lines, consisting of casualty, other specialty, marine and aviation and other exposures, our reinsurance operations primarily rely on the expected loss method. The development of medium-tail and long-tail business may be unstable, especially if there are high severity major events, with business written on an excess of loss basis typically having a longer tail than business written on a pro rata basis. As time passes, for a given underwriting year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. Our reinsurance operations make a number of key assumptions in reserving for medium-tail and long-tail lines, including that the pricing loss ratio is the best estimate of the ultimate loss ratio at the time the contract is entered into, historical paid and reported development patterns are stable and our reinsurance operations' claims personnel and underwriters analyses of our exposure to major events are assumed to be our best estimate of our exposure to the known claims on those events. The expected loss ratios used in our reinsurance operations' initial reserving process for medium-tail and long-tail contracts have varied over time due to changes in pricing, terms and conditions and reinsurance structure. As the credibility of historical experience for earlier underwriting years increases, the experience from these underwriting years will be used in the actuarial analysis to determine future underwriting year expected loss ratios, adjusted for changes in pricing, loss trends, terms and conditions and reinsurance structure.
The process of estimating Loss Reserves for our reinsurance operations involves a considerable degree of judgment by management and, as of any given date, is inherently uncertain. The inherent uncertainties of estimating such reserves are even greater for reinsurers than for insurers due to the longer claim-tail for reinsurers, the reliance on premium estimates in the reserving process, the diversity and instability of loss development patterns, the necessary reliance on the ceding companies for information regarding reported claims and the differing reserving practices among ceding companies.
In the initial reserving process for short-tail lines, consisting of property excluding property catastrophe and property catastrophe exposures, our reinsurance operations rely on a combination of the reserving methods discussed above. For known catastrophic events, our reinsurance operations' reserving process also includes the usage of catastrophe models and a heavy reliance on analysis which includes ceding company inquiries and management judgment. The development of property losses may be unstable, especially where there is high catastrophic exposure, may be characterized by high severity, low frequency losses for excess and catastrophe-exposed business and may be highly correlated across contracts. As time passes, for a given underwriting year, additional weight is given to the paid and incurred B-F loss development methods and historical paid and incurred loss development methods in the reserving process. Our reinsurance operations make a number of key assumptions in reserving for short-tail lines, including that historical paid and reported development patterns are stable, catastrophe models provide useful information about our exposure to catastrophic events that have occurred and our underwriters' judgment and guidance received from ceding companies as to potential loss exposures may be relied on. The expected loss ratios used in the initial reserving process for our reinsurance operations' property exposures have varied over time due to changes in pricing, reinsurance structure, estimates of catastrophe losses, terms and conditions and geographical distribution. As losses in property lines are reported relatively quickly, expected loss ratios are selected for the current underwriting year incorporating the experience for earlier underwriting years, adjusted for rate changes, inflation, changes in reinsurance programs, expectations about present and future market conditions and expected attritional losses based on modeling. Due to the short-tail nature of property business, reported loss experience emerges quickly and ultimate losses are known in a reasonably short period of time.
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Potential Variability in Loss Reserves
The tables below summarize the effect of reasonably likely scenarios on the key actuarial assumptions used to estimate our Loss Reserves, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, at December 31, 2010 by operating segment. The scenarios shown in the tables summarize the effect of (i) changes to the expected loss ratio selections used at December 31, 2010, which represent loss ratio point increases or decreases to the expected loss ratios used, and (ii) changes to the loss development patterns used in our reserving process at December 31, 2010, which represent claims reporting that is either slower or faster than the reporting patterns used. We believe that the illustrated sensitivities are indicative of the potential variability inherent in the estimation process of those parameters. The results show the impact of varying each key actuarial assumption using the chosen sensitivity on our Loss Reserves, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, across all accident years.
|
Higher Expected Loss Ratios |
Slower Loss Development Patterns |
Lower Expected Loss Ratios |
Faster Loss Development Patterns |
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INSURANCE SEGMENT |
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Reserving lines selected assumptions: |
|||||||||||||
Property, energy, marine and aviation |
5 points | 3 months | (5) points | (3) months | |||||||||
Third party occurrence business(1) |
10 | 6 | (10 | ) | (6 | ) | |||||||
Third party claims-made business(2) |
10 | 6 | (10 | ) | (6 | ) | |||||||
All other(3) |
10 | 6 | (10 | ) | (6 | ) | |||||||
Increase (decrease) in Loss Reserves, net: |
|||||||||||||
Property, energy, marine and aviation |
$ | 31,702 | $ | 29,531 | $ | (31,702 | ) | $ | (18,361 | ) | |||
Third party occurrence business(1) |
154,788 | 90,811 | (154,788 | ) | (83,387 | ) | |||||||
Third party claims-made business(2) |
126,932 | 169,133 | (126,932 | ) | (103,887 | ) | |||||||
All other(3) |
80,372 | 56,337 | (80,372 | ) | (49,824 | ) |
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|
Higher Expected Loss Ratios |
Slower Loss Development Patterns |
Lower Expected Loss Ratios |
Faster Loss Development Patterns |
|||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REINSURANCE SEGMENT |
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Reserving lines selected assumptions: |
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Casualty |
10 points | 6 months | (10) points | (6) months | |||||||||
Property excluding property catastrophe |
5 | 3 | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||
Marine and aviation |
5 | 3 | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||
Property catastrophe |
5 | 3 | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||
Other specialty |
5 | 3 | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||
Other |
5 | 3 | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | |||||||
Increase (decrease) in Loss Reserves, net: |
|||||||||||||
Casualty |
$ | 153,885 | $ | 166,662 | $ | (153,885 | ) | $ | (140,970 | ) | |||
Property excluding property catastrophe |
11,796 | 28,039 | (11,796 | ) | (26,260 | ) | |||||||
Marine and aviation |
4,768 | 7,658 | (4,768 | ) | (7,594 | ) | |||||||
Property catastrophe |
15,792 | 24,765 | (15,792 | ) | (16,620 | ) | |||||||
Other specialty |
11,421 | 8,285 | (11,421 | ) | (10,056 | ) | |||||||
Other |
2,742 | 969 | (2,742 | ) | (991 | ) |
It is not necessarily appropriate to sum the total impact for a specific factor or the total impact for a specific business category as the business categories are not perfectly correlated. In addition, the potential variability shown in the tables above are reasonably likely scenarios of changes in our key assumptions at December 31, 2010 and are not meant to be a "best case" or "worst case" series of outcomes and, therefore, it is possible that future variations may be more or less than the amounts set forth above.
Simulation Results
In order to illustrate the potential volatility in our Loss Reserves, we used a Monte Carlo simulation approach to simulate a range of results based on various probabilities. Both the probabilities and related modeling are subject to inherent uncertainties. The simulation relies on a significant number of assumptions, such as the potential for multiple entities to react similarly to external events, and includes other statistical assumptions. At December 31, 2010, our recorded Loss Reserves by operating segment, net of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable, and the results of the simulation were as follows:
|
December 31, 2010 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Insurance | Reinsurance | Total | ||||||||
Total net reserves |
$ | 3,842,425 | $ | 2,552,828 | $ | 6,395,253 | |||||
Simulation results: |
|||||||||||
90th percentile(1) |
$ | 4,609,631 | $ | 3,335,549 | $ | 7,641,448 | |||||
10th percentile(2) |
$ | 3,134,431 | $ | 1,877,587 | $ | 5,255,472 |
The simulation results shown for each segment do not add to the total simulation results, as the individual segment simulation results do not reflect the diversification effects across our segments. For informational purposes, based on the total simulation results, a change in our Loss Reserves to the
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