Racing, gaming, and entertainment company Churchill Downs (NASDAQ: CHDN) will be reporting earnings this Wednesday after market close. Here’s what to expect.
Churchill Downs beat analysts’ revenue expectations by 1.4% last quarter, reporting revenues of $934.4 million, up 4.9% year on year. It was a mixed quarter for the company, with a narrow beat of analysts’ revenue estimates but a miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.
Is Churchill Downs a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.
This quarter, analysts are expecting Churchill Downs’s revenue to grow 7.3% year on year to $674.2 million, slowing from the 9.8% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.98 per share.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Churchill Downs has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates twice over the last two years.
Looking at Churchill Downs’s peers in the consumer discretionary segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Nike delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 1.1%, beating analysts’ expectations by 6.5%, and Delta reported revenues up 6.4%, topping estimates by 3.8%. Nike traded up 6.5% following the results while Delta’s stock price was unchanged.
Read our full analysis of Nike’s results here and Delta’s results here.
Debates over possible tariffs and corporate tax adjustments have raised questions about economic stability in 2025. While some of the consumer discretionary stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 4.3% on average over the last month. Churchill Downs’s stock price was unchanged during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $136.73 (compared to the current share price of $96.18).
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