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iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NQ:SHY)

82.42 -0.06 (-0.07%)
Official Closing Price Updated: 4:15 PM EDT, Apr 2, 2025 Add to My Watchlist
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Near Horizon Recession Probability
Looking at the determinants makes one understand why the estimated recession likelihood is high. That said, aside from consumption, there’s been little sign of a recession in contemporaneous, hard-data... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Economy
Technical Market Report For March 22, 2025
Many economists consider the un-inverting of the yield curve a bad sign for the economy. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy Stocks / Equities
Exposures Interest Rates
A Fed Rate Cut May Be Near, But Not Today
The surge in macro uncertainty related to tariffs, including the possibility of a global trade war, has complicated the Fed’s already difficult task of setting interest rates to accommodate an unknown... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy World Trade
Exposures Interest Rates Tariff
Looking For Safe Havens During A Stock Market Correction
The US stock market fell on Thursday, Mar. 13, closing 10.1% below its previous peak, a decline that many analysts define as a “correction,” which is a slide ranging from 10% to 20%. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics ETFs
Politics And Policy Clouds Path Ahead For Fed
The central bank’s job is never easier, but in the current climate, it’s unusually tricky. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Loonie Going Loco…
CAD is being led lower by falling yield spreads. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Currencies/Forex Stocks / Equities
Markets Focus On Reflation Risk After Fed Cuts Rates
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Rates Ready To Plunge?
Rates seem to be forming their own very impressive topping patterns, similar to what happened before Covid. 
Via Talk Markets
Treasury Market Pricing In Higher Odds For Rate Cuts
The Federal Reserve may continue to be patient before deciding on the next change in monetary policy, but the Treasury market isn’t waiting and has been rapidly adjusting to changing expectations for... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Markets Kick Off The Week Facing A Geopolitical Double Whammy
Via Talk Markets
Real (Inflation-Adjusted) Treasury Yields Remain Elevated
At a time of increased uncertainty about inflation, the relatively elevated real yields available in inflation-indexed Treasuries offer a partial antidote of certainty for anxious investors. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Weekly Market Pulse: Here We Go Again
Stocks rallied during the week as earnings reports were pretty good, with exceptions as always, and the economic news wasn’t bad either. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Currencies/Forex Stocks / Equities
Risk-On Sentiment Endures, Despite Trade Uncertainty
Since returning to the White House last month, President Trump has outlined a wave of policy changes, plans and comments that have roiled markets and shaken expectations about the economic outlook. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics ETFs Government
Exposures Political
Treasury Yields Edge Lower Despite Threat Of Trade War
President Trump’s comments and executive orders have roiled markets and investor expectations, but from the vantage of the Treasury market a relative calm prevails. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Government
Exposures Political
Weekly Market Pulse: Is The Honeymoon Over Already?
President Trump’s first week on the job was a good one for markets. The S&P 500 was up 1.75%, with tech stocks taking the lead as the President welcomed a group of leading technology CEOs to D.C. to... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Artificial Intelligence Bonds Currencies/Forex
Exposures Artificial Intelligence Political US Equities
Bond Market Awaits News On Inflation, Tariffs And The Deficit
Treasury yields have taken a break from the sharp upswing that’s dominated trading in recent months. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Inauguration Caution Tempers Risk-On Rebound Amid US Holiday-Thinned Liquidity
The spectre of U.S. debt ceiling debates sharpens investor focus, adding another layer of caution to Monday's international market activities while the U.S. markets are closed for the MLk holiday. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Stocks / Equities
Are Treasury Yields Flashing A Warning Sign For Inflation?
The risk of reflation has been bubbling for several months and yesterday’s economic news on prices in the services sector fueled new concerns. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds
Risk-On Sentiment Prevails For 2025’s Debut, Fueled By U.S. Stocks
There are many reasons to question a bullish outlook at the start of the year, but the gravity-defying trend remains intact overall. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics ETFs
Speculator Extremes: Ultra T-Bonds, AUD, 5-Year & USD Index Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Bonds Commodities Currencies/Forex
Rising Treasury Yields Raise Doubts About Another Fed Rate Cut
Fed funds futures are still leaning into expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce its target rate next by a quarter point, but the related confidence of the forecast is slipping. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Fed: Why They Will Cut Rates (But Probably Should NOT)
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25 basis points today. If we were on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), we would strongly dissent in favor of a pause. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Are Institutions Getting Defensive Before Election?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question, 
Via Talk Markets
Inflation Threats Make Yield Curve ETFs a Top Trade
As inflation risks for the United States economy come back online, the trade for a yield curve steepening becomes the best alternative for investors to watch 
Via MarketBeat
Topics Bonds ETFs Economy
Exposures Debt Markets Economy Interest Rates
Has The Bond Market Rally Peaked?
Fresh doubts are bubbling as the market reconsiders a range of risk factors, including renewed skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s commitment to cutting interest rates. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Mixed Signals Persist For Risk-On Sentiment Outlook
Investor sentiment has wobbled recently, but there’s still room for debate on whether the appetite for risk has peaked for this market cycle. 
Via Talk Markets
Stocks: Are You Missing The Big Picture?
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts to help us answer the question - are you missing the big picture? 
Via Talk Markets
“Bond Market Yield Curve Returns to Normal”? Signals for Gold, Stocks, Economy
The financial media appear to once again be leading the public astray about the Yield Curve situation. 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
Mixed Risk-Appetite Signals Sharpen Debate For Markets Outlook
Recent market volatility has raised questions about the staying power of the rally for global assets that began in late-2023. 
Via Talk Markets
The Fed “Train” Is Leaving The Station: Destination Unknown
The markets are pricing in the first rate cut in more than four years. As of this writing, it looks like we can expect a 50-basis-point cut on Wednesday, with a 50% probability of a 1.25% cut by... 
Via Talk Markets
Topics Economy
Exposures Interest Rates
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